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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-101
32-23 21-30 29-20 31-28
Position#16
Record19-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game102.3
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Dallas Mavericks
USA
Position#25
Record13-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
26 Oct 2026
MIA109
DAL113
24 Nov 2025
MIA106
DAL102
24 Nov 2024
MIA123
DAL118
10 Apr 2024
MIA92
DAL111
01 Apr 2023
MIA129
DAL122
15 Feb 2022
MIA99
DAL107
17 Aug 2021
MIA82
DAL83
04 May 2021
MIA113
DAL127
28 Feb 2020
MIA126
DAL118
28 Mar 2019
MIA105
DAL99
22 Dec 2017
MIA113
DAL101
19 Jan 2017
MIA99
DAL95
09 Jul 2016
MIA64
DAL83
01 Jan 2016
MIA106
DAL82
30 Jan 2015
MIA72
DAL93
15 Nov 2013
MIA110
DAL104
02 Jan 2013
MIA119
DAL109
29 Mar 2012
MIA106
DAL85
12 Jun 2011
MIA95
DAL105
02 Jun 2011
MIA93
DAL95
31 May 2011
MIA92
DAL84
20 Dec 2010
MIA96
DAL98
11 Dec 2009
MIA93
DAL106
31 Jan 2009
MIA96
DAL111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-123
95
123
-28
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
105-117
105
117
-12
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
28-19
29-26
26-25
36-33
24-29
17-37
18-24
35-27
23-30
24-29
23-31
24-26
26-27
25-19
26-17
21-23
24-19
25-18
37-22
33-21
27-29
19-20
16-32
24-19
29-28
26-24
25-27
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
30-29
27-29
19-29
28-23
15-24
21-20
26-15
28-30
199.1Avg total
99.6Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)99.8102.3202.1-2.651%
Season at home (16)101.5104.4205.9-2.956%
Season away (21)98.4100.7199.1-2.348%
Last 10 (10)99.699.5199.1+0.160%
Last 5 (5)96.696.8193.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.398.0184.3-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)99.5103.0202.5-3.448%
vs Weaker (6)106.397.3203.7+9.083%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
L
102-109
102
109
-7
A09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H13/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
97-112
97
112
-15
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A17/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
110-93
110
93
+17
H21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
35-21
27-28
22-16
39-23
25-24
29-35
29-23
26-24
31-23
16-23
17-27
25-22
29-27
24-28
24-32
24-23
24-24
21-24
23-26
30-23
16-21
21-25
28-20
28-24
20-24
25-32
24-32
31-18
22-25
27-28
16-27
22-25
28-24
25-19
16-29
22-25
43-28
24-13
21-27
198.2Avg total
100.3Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)100.2101.9202.1-1.734%
Season at home (21)102.699.2201.8+3.448%
Season away (17)97.2105.2202.4-7.918%
Last 10 (10)100.397.9198.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)97.897.8195.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)97.5105.2202.7-7.615%
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.1100.6202.6+1.544%
vs Weaker (1)91.097.0188.0-6.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
Miami HeatDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NBA
101.7Avg total
51.5Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.451.1103.5+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.351.2105.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)50.951.1102.0-0.159%-
Last 10 (10)51.550.2101.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.447.898.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.753.798.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.951.7104.6+1.262%-
vs Weaker (6)54.547.8102.3+6.783%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H21/12
NBA
100.9Avg total
54.4Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.249.8101.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.448.4101.9+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)48.751.3100.0-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)54.446.5100.9+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)52.447.499.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)49.948.898.7+1.246%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.450.6103.0+1.862%-
vs Weaker (1)50.049.099.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.2
51.9%
51.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.912.1
39.2%
36.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
76.5%14.9
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.926.5
50.1%
51.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.2
38.4%
36.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
76.5%13.7
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWWLLW
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLWLLLWW
#16
League position
#25
+0.1
Net rating
+2.6
105.8
Offensive rating
106.7
105.7
Defensive rating
104.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
11.3%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
16.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.2%
3-point %
38.4%
59.8%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 106.7Defence105.7 · 104.2Shooting54.6% · 52.7%3-point %39.2% · 38.4%Ball care14.8% · 11.3%Off. rebounds18.0% · 16.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateGameScore
12/07/17Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat78-73
28/02/17Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat96-89
20/01/17Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks99-95
10/07/16Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks64-83
04/02/16Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat90-93
02/01/16Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks106-82
31/01/15Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks72-93
10/11/14Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat96-105
19/02/14Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat106-117
16/11/13Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks110-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/17ABoston Celtics90-89
19/12/17AAtlanta Hawks104-110
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
16/12/17ACharlotte Hornets104-98
14/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
12/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies107-82
09/12/17ABrooklyn Nets101-89
07/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs105-117
04/12/17HGolden State Warriors95-123
02/12/17HCharlotte Hornets105-100
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/17HDetroit Pistons110-93
19/12/17HPhoenix Suns91-97
17/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs96-98
15/12/17AGolden State Warriors97-112
13/12/17HSan Antonio Spurs95-89
11/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves92-97
09/12/17AMilwaukee Bucks102-109
07/12/17ABoston Celtics90-97
05/12/17HDenver Nuggets122-105
02/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers108-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW51%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWWWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371621
Win %51%56%48%
Points / game99.8101.598.4
Allowed / game102.3104.4100.7
Point differential-2.6-2.9-2.3
Avg total202.1205.9199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%6%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW34%
HomeWWWLW48%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %34%48%18%
Points / game100.2102.697.2
Allowed / game101.999.2105.2
Point differential-1.7+3.4-7.9
Avg total202.1201.8202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)33% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets3428682%114.1103.7+10.4
2 Golden State Warriors3527877%115.9105.7+10.3
3 Boston Celtics3930977%103.498.0+5.4
4 Toronto Raptors35251071%111.3103.0+8.3
5 San Antonio Spurs38251366%101.898.2+3.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers38251366%109.8107.4+2.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves35211460%107.9106.8+1.1
8 Indiana Pacers35201557%107.7105.9+1.8
9 Portland Trail Blazers36201656%103.8100.7+3.1
10 Washington Wizards36201656%105.2103.6+1.6
11 Detroit Pistons37201754%102.8102.3+0.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder34181653%101.799.0+2.7
13 Denver Nuggets36191753%107.1107.1-0.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.3105.5-1.2
15 Miami Heat37191851%99.8102.3-2.6
16 Utah Jazz36181850%102.9100.6+2.3
17 New Orleans Pelicans36171947%109.8111.6-1.8
18 New York Knicks37172046%103.3104.8-1.5
19 Philadelphia 76ers36162044%108.5109.3-0.8
20 Brooklyn Nets35152043%107.9109.0-1.1
21 Los Angeles Clippers35142140%103.7105.9-2.2
22 Los Angeles Lakers35132237%105.8108.7-2.9
23 Charlotte Hornets36132336%104.0105.9-1.9
24 Orlando Magic39142536%104.4108.2-3.8
25 Chicago Bulls37132435%99.9106.6-6.7
26 Dallas Mavericks38132534%100.2101.9-1.7
27 Phoenix Suns38132534%105.7112.9-7.2
28 Memphis Grizzlies37122532%97.6100.1-2.5
29 Sacramento Kings37122532%95.5104.4-8.8
30 Atlanta Hawks3692725%102.1107.1-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32212931113
Dallas Mavericks23302028101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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