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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-94
28-37 23-21 25-13 19-23
Position#12
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game105.2
vs
Position#16
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
109-91
109
91
+18
113avg 105
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
96-106
96
106
-10
90avg 105
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 105
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
104-109
104
109
-5
102avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
93-110
93
110
-17
74avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
105-100
105
100
+5
96avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
124-111
124
111
+13
115avg 105
A29/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
110-116
110
116
-6
93avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
129-111
129
111
+18
128avg 105
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
34-18
26-31
26-16
25-26
31-38
30-21
25-20
30-21
28-28
25-29
13-28
17-18
25-16
24-18
30-27
29-29
26-27
22-22
27-31
23-27
16-35
29-23
25-25
26-23
27-29
22-19
30-29
29-36
31-27
40-21
24-27
25-35
18-30
38-19
29-32
34-19
26-27
43-25
26-40
211.5Avg total
107.7Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)107.1105.2212.4+1.950%
Season at home (3)109.799.7209.3+10.067%
Season away (5)105.6108.6214.2-3.040%
Last 10 (10)107.7103.8211.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)112.2109.6221.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.5113.8229.2+1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (19)112.2111.2223.3+1.053%
vs Weaker (7)111.099.3210.3+11.786%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
106-103
106
103
+3
94avg 93
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
114avg 93
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
110-102
110
102
+8
105avg 93
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
95avg 93
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
112-108
112
108
+4
106avg 93
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 93
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
100-117
100
117
-17
88avg 93
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
80avg 93
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
110avg 93
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
97-91
97
91
+6
90avg 93
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
26-31
37-19
28-26
21-32
26-23
36-21
15-29
27-20
30-30
21-26
22-32
27-29
26-21
19-26
18-27
27-22
32-23
30-37
20-19
28-31
27-17
22-30
18-17
30-27
214.6Avg total
107.4Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)104.9106.6211.4-1.743%
Season at home (6)104.2105.0209.2-0.850%
Season away (1)109.0116.0225.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)107.4107.2214.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)102.6104.4207.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.5104.6211.2+1.955%
vs Weaker (8)105.698.9204.5+6.862%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H22/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A29/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H02/11
NBA
105.8Avg total
52.3Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.654.4111.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.751.7107.4+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.8114.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)52.353.5105.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.057.6108.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.854.5112.2+3.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.556.0113.5+1.553%-
vs Weaker (7)53.750.1103.9+3.671%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/11
NBA
107.5Avg total
55.1Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.452.0107.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.651.3107.9+5.363%-
Last 30 away (11)53.353.2106.5+0.145%-
Last 10 (10)55.152.4107.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.8104.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.352.8108.0+2.555%-
vs Weaker (8)55.849.9105.6+5.962%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.828.8
49.8%
51.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.3
38.8%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.116.2
73.3%
76.5%16.2
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.031.1
53.6%
51.0%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.8
33.7%
36.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
76.5%15.8
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLLWLWW
Miami Heat
WLLLWWLWWW
#12
League position
#16
+3.9
Net rating
+0.2
107.5
Offensive rating
105.1
103.6
Defensive rating
105.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.8%
3-point %
33.7%
61.6%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 105.1Defence103.6 · 105.0Shooting52.6% · 52.6%3-point %38.8% · 33.7%Ball care14.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 19.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/17HToronto Raptors129-111
30/10/17ANew York Knicks110-116
29/10/17ABrooklyn Nets124-111
27/10/17AAtlanta Hawks105-100
25/10/17ACharlotte Hornets93-110
24/10/17HWashington Wizards104-109
22/10/17HSacramento Kings96-79
19/10/17AUtah Jazz96-106
13/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-105
12/04/17ADallas Mavericks109-91
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/17HChicago Bulls97-91
30/10/17HMinnesota Timberwolves122-125 OT
29/10/17HBoston Celtics90-96
26/10/17HSan Antonio Spurs100-117
23/10/17HAtlanta Hawks104-93
22/10/17HIndiana Pacers112-108
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game107.1109.7105.6
Allowed / game105.299.7108.6
Point differential+1.9+10.0-3.0
Avg total212.4209.3214.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %43%50%0%
Points / game104.9104.2109.0
Allowed / game106.6105.0116.0
Point differential-1.7-0.8-7.0
Avg total211.4209.2225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics86275%103.093.8+9.2
2 Los Angeles Clippers75271%109.0100.1+8.9
3 Houston Rockets107370%107.2102.6+4.6
4 Golden State Warriors96367%120.0111.7+8.3
5 Orlando Magic96367%111.3106.6+4.8
6 Detroit Pistons96367%104.4101.4+3.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies85362%100.496.2+4.1
8 Utah Jazz85362%97.994.4+3.5
9 Minnesota Timberwolves85362%108.8113.1-4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder74357%106.695.7+10.9
11 Toronto Raptors74357%109.3102.6+6.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers95456%107.7101.1+6.6
13 Indiana Pacers95456%111.3109.2+2.1
14 Charlotte Hornets95456%105.2104.3+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers95456%107.7108.6-0.9
16 San Antonio Spurs95456%98.6100.6-2.0
17 Washington Wizards84450%113.5110.9+2.6
18 Denver Nuggets84450%107.1105.2+1.9
19 New York Knicks84450%104.2105.4-1.1
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%106.2107.3-1.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks94544%103.9107.0-3.1
22 Cleveland Cavaliers94544%107.8113.0-5.2
23 Phoenix Suns94544%107.3117.0-9.7
24 Miami Heat73443%104.9106.6-1.7
25 Los Angeles Lakers83538%104.2107.4-3.1
26 Brooklyn Nets83538%114.6118.8-4.1
27 Chicago Bulls72529%92.198.6-6.4
28 Sacramento Kings81712%93.1105.5-12.4
29 Atlanta Hawks91811%101.1110.1-9.0
30 Dallas Mavericks101910%97.8107.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2823251995
Miami Heat3721132394
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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