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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 122-125 (OT)
32-23 30-37 20-19 28-31 12-15
Position#16
Record5-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#13
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game113.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
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30 Oct 2017
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17 Mar 2017
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15 Oct 2016
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16 Jul 2013
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-107
88
107
-19
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
109-106
109
106
+3
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-115
117
115
+2
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
95-119
95
119
-24
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
100-117
100
117
-17
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
22-26
25-24
18-24
22-28
32-21
21-19
15-25
36-29
18-33
31-27
24-17
19-30
31-23
33-34
34-28
29-34
25-35
21-28
20-22
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
26-31
37-19
28-26
21-32
26-23
36-21
15-29
27-20
30-30
21-26
22-32
27-29
26-21
19-26
18-27
27-22
208.4Avg total
101.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)100.9105.5206.4-4.545%
Season at home (7)104.0103.6207.6+0.471%
Season away (4)95.5108.8204.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)101.4107.0208.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)103.0106.0209.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.098.5182.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)101.3103.6204.9-2.248%
vs Weaker (7)98.791.6190.3+7.186%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A01/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
111-95
111
95
+16
A05/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
110-142
110
142
-32
H08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A19/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H21/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
115-113
115
113
+2
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
107-130
107
130
-23
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
101-122
101
122
-21
A25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
119-116
119
116
+3
H28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
22-30
20-11
21-11
31-31
30-21
25-22
22-25
20-32
30-23
29-28
32-12
44-36
28-40
23-38
15-28
25-32
24-21
28-34
22-20
19-16
27-26
24-23
30-32
28-23
33-31
27-21
27-38
20-33
41-28
23-37
23-32
26-23
18-40
29-28
28-31
26-33
33-26
31-30
29-27
214.4Avg total
105.0Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)107.8113.4221.2-5.756%
Season at home (4)109.0121.2230.2-12.250%
Season away (5)106.8107.2214.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)105.0109.4214.4-4.460%
Last 5 (5)108.4115.6224.0-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.8113.0214.8-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (21)101.7106.0207.7-4.443%
vs Weaker (3)115.7114.7230.3+1.033%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A05/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H09/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H29/10
NBA
108.0Avg total
53.3Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.850.7100.5-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.751.1101.8-0.429%-
Last 30 away (13)48.650.298.8-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)53.354.7108.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)55.251.0106.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)50.552.2102.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker (7)49.946.496.3+3.443%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A01/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A05/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A19/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H28/10
NBA
110.8Avg total
54.2Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.7106.9-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.251.5102.8-0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)54.555.2109.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)54.256.6110.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.8110.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.857.3112.2-2.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.552.4104.0-0.952%-
vs Weaker (3)61.755.7117.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.6
52.1%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.6
30.5%
36.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
76.5%15.4
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.030.8
49.7%
51.0%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws26.621.1
79.3%
76.5%21.1
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWLLWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLLWWW
#16
League position
#13
-5.4
Net rating
-5.5
98.5
Offensive rating
107.0
104.0
Defensive rating
112.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
37.8%
55.0%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.0Defence104.0 · 112.5Shooting49.8% · 51.6%3-point %30.5% · 37.8%Ball care15.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds18.3% · 25.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/17HBoston Celtics90-96
26/10/17HSan Antonio Spurs100-117
23/10/17HAtlanta Hawks104-93
22/10/17HIndiana Pacers112-108
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116
14/10/17APhiladelphia 76ers95-119
11/10/17HWashington Wizards117-115
09/10/17HCharlotte Hornets109-106
07/10/17AOrlando Magic90-93
05/10/17ABrooklyn Nets88-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/17HOklahoma City Thunder119-116
25/10/17ADetroit Pistons101-122
25/10/17HIndiana Pacers107-130
22/10/17AOklahoma City Thunder115-113
21/10/17HUtah Jazz100-97
19/10/17ASan Antonio Spurs99-107
08/10/17HGolden State Warriors110-142
05/10/17AGolden State Warriors111-95
01/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers108-99
14/07/17AWashington Wizards80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%71%0%
Points / game100.9104.095.5
Allowed / game105.5103.6108.8
Point differential-4.5+0.4-13.2
Avg total206.4207.6204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game107.8109.0106.8
Allowed / game113.4121.2107.2
Point differential-5.7-12.2-0.4
Avg total221.2230.2214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics108280%102.895.0+7.8
2 Portland Trail Blazers118373%111.899.7+12.1
3 Memphis Grizzlies118373%102.494.5+7.9
4 Houston Rockets118373%104.299.7+4.5
5 Washington Wizards107370%110.1105.0+5.1
6 Utah Jazz96367%100.496.1+4.3
7 San Antonio Spurs117464%102.998.5+4.5
8 Toronto Raptors106460%110.2101.9+8.3
9 Los Angeles Clippers106460%105.699.9+5.7
10 Orlando Magic127558%108.1103.1+5.0
11 Detroit Pistons127558%105.1101.6+3.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder95456%103.495.6+7.9
13 Indiana Pacers95456%108.2107.4+0.8
14 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%107.8113.4-5.7
15 Golden State Warriors116555%116.6112.3+4.4
16 Brooklyn Nets116555%114.2112.6+1.5
17 Denver Nuggets116555%104.3104.2+0.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks105550%102.5104.9-2.4
19 Charlotte Hornets115645%102.1102.2-0.1
20 Miami Heat115645%100.9105.5-4.5
21 New Orleans Pelicans104640%106.9110.5-3.6
22 Dallas Mavericks135838%101.0103.1-2.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers114736%104.8108.5-3.6
24 Chicago Bulls114736%95.8105.9-10.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers124833%100.5106.2-5.7
26 Cleveland Cavaliers124833%102.5108.5-6.0
27 Phoenix Suns103730%103.6116.0-12.4
28 Atlanta Hawks123925%98.0103.9-5.9
29 New York Knicks102820%98.9107.0-8.1
30 Sacramento Kings1221017%93.3103.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat3230202812122
Minnesota Timberwolves2337193115125
← all games of the day
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