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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-126
27-36 27-33 32-25 29-32
Position#30
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game114.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
130-132
130
132
-2
116avg 95
H21/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
88-130
88
130
-42
76avg 95
A22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
117-115
117
115
+2
115avg 95
H24/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
86avg 95
H26/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
107-114
107
114
-7
96avg 95
A29/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
122-114
122
114
+8
118avg 95
A31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 95
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
107-120
107
120
-13
85avg 95
A03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
88avg 95
A06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
92-98
92
98
-6
75avg 95
H07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-40
37-30
26-36
31-26
18-23
26-35
20-32
24-40
36-17
23-34
28-25
30-39
23-13
25-28
23-18
26-29
24-29
33-32
32-31
18-22
30-24
29-29
28-35
35-26
15-32
37-32
35-26
35-26
19-32
31-33
26-27
31-28
20-28
35-23
13-34
27-27
19-28
22-19
27-25
24-26
221.6Avg total
107.7Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)104.8114.8219.6-10.036%
Season at home (5)102.4111.4213.8-9.040%
Season away (6)106.8117.7224.5-10.833%
Last 10 (10)107.7113.9221.6-6.240%
Last 5 (5)107.6112.0219.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)107.0116.1223.1-9.018%
vs Similar (8)107.1114.6221.8-7.538%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-116
109
116
-7
95avg 93
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
112-108
112
108
+4
106avg 93
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 93
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
100-117
100
117
-17
88avg 93
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
80avg 93
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
110avg 93
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
97-91
97
91
+6
90avg 93
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
94-95
94
95
-1
90avg 93
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
104-101
104
101
+3
93avg 93
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
67avg 93
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-32
18-26
23-30
31-28
26-31
37-19
28-26
21-32
26-23
36-21
15-29
27-20
30-30
21-26
22-32
27-29
26-21
19-26
18-27
27-22
32-23
30-37
20-19
28-31
27-17
22-30
18-17
30-27
37-28
21-23
13-25
23-19
34-20
28-29
27-17
15-35
21-22
16-28
20-25
23-22
205.1Avg total
101.2Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)101.2103.9205.1-2.740%
Season at home (6)104.2105.0209.2-0.850%
Season away (4)96.8102.2199.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)101.2103.9205.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)99.4101.8201.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
vs Similar (23)106.7104.4211.1+2.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)103.597.2200.7+6.367%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H21/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H24/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A29/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H07/11
NBA
109.9Avg total
53.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.457.6110.0-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.957.9113.9-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)48.957.3106.2-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)53.856.1109.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.456.0107.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)52.058.5110.5-6.527%-
vs Similar (8)53.655.2108.9-1.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H26/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/11
NBA
105.6Avg total
54.4Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.951.7106.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.251.7107.9+4.561%-
Last 30 away (12)53.051.7104.7+1.358%-
Last 10 (10)54.451.2105.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.4105.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.050.087.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (23)55.752.4108.2+3.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)54.849.2104.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.229.3
47.9%
51.0%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws29.823.0
77.2%
76.5%23.0
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.7
51.6%
51.0%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.8
34.3%
36.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
76.5%13.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLWWLWWLL
Miami Heat
LWLWLLLWWL
#30
League position
#16
-5.9
Net rating
-2.7
102.2
Offensive rating
100.4
108.1
Defensive rating
103.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.3%
3-point %
34.3%
49.7%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 100.4Defence108.1 · 103.1Shooting48.9% · 51.5%3-point %34.3% · 34.3%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds24.1% · 18.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Phoenix Suns wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/17HBrooklyn Nets92-98
06/11/17ASan Antonio Spurs95-112
03/11/17ANew York Knicks107-120
01/11/17AWashington Wizards122-116
31/10/17ABrooklyn Nets122-114
29/10/17APortland Trail Blazers107-114
26/10/17HUtah Jazz97-88
24/10/17HSacramento Kings117-115
22/10/17ALos Angeles Clippers88-130
21/10/17HLos Angeles Lakers130-132
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/17AGolden State Warriors80-97
05/11/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
04/11/17ADenver Nuggets94-95
01/11/17HChicago Bulls97-91
30/10/17HMinnesota Timberwolves122-125 OT
29/10/17HBoston Celtics90-96
26/10/17HSan Antonio Spurs100-117
23/10/17HAtlanta Hawks104-93
22/10/17HIndiana Pacers112-108
18/10/17AOrlando Magic109-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game104.8102.4106.8
Allowed / game114.8111.4117.7
Point differential-10.0-9.0-10.8
Avg total219.6213.8224.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game101.2104.296.8
Allowed / game103.9105.0102.2
Point differential-2.7-0.8-5.5
Avg total205.1209.2199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1210283%103.894.6+9.2
2 Golden State Warriors118373%118.5108.5+10.1
3 Houston Rockets118373%109.9103.3+6.6
4 Detroit Pistons118373%105.6100.8+4.8
5 Minnesota Timberwolves107370%109.4109.8-0.4
6 Orlando Magic117464%109.3105.6+3.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies117464%101.598.0+3.5
8 San Antonio Spurs117464%101.7100.6+1.1
9 Toronto Raptors106460%108.9103.9+5.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers106460%107.3107.4-0.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers116555%106.3100.6+5.6
12 Denver Nuggets116555%106.5106.1+0.5
13 New Orleans Pelicans116555%106.3106.2+0.1
14 New York Knicks116555%105.4106.3-0.9
15 Los Angeles Clippers105550%107.5103.8+3.7
16 Washington Wizards105550%111.4109.6+1.8
17 Charlotte Hornets115645%104.9106.3-1.4
18 Utah Jazz115645%99.1100.5-1.4
19 Los Angeles Lakers115645%105.5107.3-1.7
20 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%109.9113.9-4.0
21 Indiana Pacers125742%109.3110.2-0.8
22 Oklahoma City Thunder104640%102.596.8+5.7
23 Miami Heat104640%101.2103.9-2.7
24 Milwaukee Bucks104640%105.4108.7-3.3
25 Brooklyn Nets114736%111.9116.2-4.3
26 Phoenix Suns114736%104.8114.8-10.0
27 Chicago Bulls92722%94.3100.6-6.2
28 Sacramento Kings102820%93.8103.8-10.0
29 Atlanta Hawks112918%103.1110.5-7.5
30 Dallas Mavericks1221017%99.2107.1-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns27273229115
Miami Heat36332532126
← all games of the day
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