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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 103-97
27-24 27-24 20-24 29-25
Position#1
Record22-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#3
Record25-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game96.1
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
15 Jul 2024
MIA102
OKC73
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
08 Oct 2010
MIA103
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
101-105
101
105
-4
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
92-112
92
112
-20
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H11/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
102-72
102
72
+30
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
110-95
110
95
+15
A21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
105-89
105
89
+16
H23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
34-35
32-19
20-11
25-30
29-30
24-22
23-23
26-23
27-30
27-37
12-22
31-32
33-15
22-25
20-18
28-26
28-28
26-20
19-18
28-29
24-24
22-24
21-20
26-14
24-22
29-10
23-26
21-27
31-22
28-23
23-20
31-20
27-22
33-19
19-34
28-25
19-18
26-20
32-26
195.0Avg total
101.7Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)101.196.1197.2+5.069%
Season at home (20)104.095.8199.9+8.275%
Season away (12)96.296.6192.8-0.358%
Last 10 (10)101.793.3195.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)103.089.0192.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)97.4104.0201.4-6.644%
vs Weaker (21)104.193.7197.8+10.481%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#13
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
100-79
100
79
+21
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
117-111
117
111
+6
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
113-103
113
103
+10
H15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
107-93
107
93
+14
H18/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
32-22
29-25
23-27
30-21
24-23
30-13
16-22
31-28
30-20
29-38
27-25
26-27
41-26
22-22
25-33
25-22
32-34
27-18
20-19
17-19
19-25
22-18
34-26
29-26
32-16
21-26
31-35
30-26
23-22
29-16
25-29
23-20
32-21
18-25
27-26
18-30
26-23
25-23
24-23
200.6Avg total
104.6Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)103.996.1200.1+7.876%
Season at home (20)107.395.7203.0+11.690%
Season away (13)98.896.8195.5+2.054%
Last 10 (10)104.696.0200.6+8.690%
Last 5 (5)101.095.0196.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)102.796.7199.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (27)104.395.6199.9+8.781%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H11/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/12
NBA
103.2Avg total
53.6Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.849.9102.7+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (20)54.049.9103.8+4.165%-
Last 30 away (10)50.450.1100.5+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)53.649.6103.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.844.696.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)51.353.6104.9-2.244%-
vs Weaker (21)53.448.4101.8+5.067%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A21/12
NBA
101.3Avg total
54.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.645.698.3+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.345.099.3+9.389%-
Last 30 away (11)49.846.796.5+3.155%-
Last 10 (10)54.247.1101.3+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.845.695.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)50.747.398.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (27)52.945.498.3+7.478%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/12HUtah Jazz105-89
21/12/12ADallas Mavericks110-95
19/12/12HMinnesota Timberwolves103-92
16/12/12HWashington Wizards102-72
13/12/12HGolden State Warriors95-97
11/12/12HAtlanta Hawks101-92
09/12/12HNew Orleans Pelicans106-90
07/12/12HNew York Knicks92-112
05/12/12AWashington Wizards101-105
02/12/12HBrooklyn Nets102-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/12AMinnesota Timberwolves93-99
20/12/12AAtlanta Hawks100-92
18/12/12HSan Antonio Spurs107-93
15/12/12HSacramento Kings113-103
13/12/12HNew Orleans Pelicans92-88
10/12/12HIndiana Pacers104-93
08/12/12HLos Angeles Lakers114-108
05/12/12ABrooklyn Nets117-111
02/12/12ANew Orleans Pelicans100-79
01/12/12HUtah Jazz106-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %69%75%58%
Points / game101.1104.096.2
Allowed / game96.195.896.6
Point differential+5.0+8.2-0.3
Avg total197.2199.9192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %76%90%54%
Points / game103.9107.398.8
Allowed / game96.195.796.8
Point differential+7.8+11.6+2.0
Avg total200.1203.0195.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3325876%103.996.1+7.8
2 Los Angeles Clippers3526974%99.891.7+8.0
3 Miami Heat32221069%101.196.1+5.0
4 San Antonio Spurs35241169%104.497.9+6.6
5 New York Knicks34231168%101.397.4+3.9
6 Golden State Warriors35231266%100.598.2+2.3
7 Memphis Grizzlies32211166%96.892.6+4.2
8 Chicago Bulls33201361%92.390.2+2.1
9 Atlanta Hawks32191359%96.493.9+2.6
10 Houston Rockets33191458%105.1102.8+2.3
11 Indiana Pacers35201557%91.490.3+1.1
12 Minnesota Timberwolves31171455%94.291.7+2.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers35191654%95.395.3-0.1
14 Utah Jazz37201754%98.797.2+1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets33171652%94.995.2-0.3
16 Denver Nuggets35181751%100.3100.0+0.3
17 Milwaukee Bucks34171750%95.096.3-1.3
18 Boston Celtics33161748%96.696.7-0.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers33161748%97.599.4-1.9
20 Dallas Mavericks34151944%98.4100.8-2.4
21 Phoenix Suns35152043%97.399.7-2.4
22 Toronto Raptors34142041%97.399.3-2.0
23 Sacramento Kings34142041%96.5100.4-3.9
24 Orlando Magic35142140%93.896.5-2.7
25 Los Angeles Lakers36142239%98.8100.0-1.2
26 Detroit Pistons38132534%92.995.1-2.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans3592626%89.595.6-6.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers3582723%93.799.8-6.1
29 Charlotte Hornets3582723%94.6103.2-8.7
30 Washington Wizards3362718%90.497.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27272029103
Oklahoma City Thunder2424242597
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