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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-118
24-31 29-41 21-22 28-24
Position#17
Record24-25
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#10
Record32-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-99
115
99
+16
114avg 98
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-108
112
108
+4
106avg 98
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
86-124
86
124
-38
80avg 98
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 98
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
118avg 98
A20/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
99-107
99
107
-8
89avg 98
A21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 98
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
100-94
100
94
+6
93avg 98
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
106-97
106
97
+9
104avg 98
A28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
89-105
89
105
-16
78avg 98
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
33-19
22-29
32-27
30-34
33-27
28-22
21-25
23-30
22-39
18-24
23-31
17-30
22-23
30-12
24-33
31-30
24-27
28-19
34-27
23-33
27-17
18-37
31-20
31-27
23-27
18-23
27-34
27-23
21-30
32-17
20-24
25-26
27-32
29-12
25-27
21-31
27-19
20-28
21-27
206.2Avg total
101.6Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)105.3105.5210.9-0.249%
Season at home (25)105.0105.8210.8-0.744%
Season away (24)105.7105.2210.9+0.454%
Last 10 (10)101.6104.6206.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)98.6102.8201.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)98.1104.1202.2-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)104.7102.9207.6+1.854%
vs Weaker (9)106.3100.4206.8+5.967%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
147-154 OT
147
154
-7
135avg 101
A11/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
122-112
122
112
+10
115avg 101
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
126-142
126
142
-16
109avg 101
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
128-138 OT
128
138
-10
110avg 101
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
117-115
117
115
+2
104avg 101
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
127-109
127
109
+18
128avg 101
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
123-114
123
114
+9
115avg 101
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
120avg 101
H25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
118-112
118
112
+6
112avg 101
H27/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
126-117
126
117
+9
118avg 101
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
40-37
30-35
37-25
23-31
28-29
35-20
36-32
29-25
30-45
41-27
26-45
39-27
24-40
33-28
26-27
33-25
26-31
29-23
29-36
34-16
33-31
36-35
24-27
25-25
37-30
31-32
30-27
28-28
37-25
33-29
24-34
31-25
25-17
33-37
29-33
32-35
37-28
22-31
35-23
248.5Avg total
125.6Scored
122.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)114.5109.5223.9+5.064%
Season at home (24)115.5108.7224.2+6.871%
Season away (26)113.5110.2223.7+3.458%
Last 10 (10)125.6122.9248.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)123.2113.6236.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)118.3114.7233.0+3.677%
vs Weaker (16)116.3111.4227.8+4.950%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A20/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H31/01
NBA
106.3Avg total
51.5Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.552.1104.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.251.5105.7+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)50.752.8103.5-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)51.554.8106.3-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)50.453.0103.4-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.852.1100.9-3.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.252.2107.4+3.177%-
vs Weaker (9)51.852.1103.9-0.333%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A11/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
67-47
67
47
+20
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H27/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/01
NBA
119.7Avg total
61.4Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.655.7115.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.252.1112.2+8.169%-
Last 30 away (17)59.158.4117.5+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.3119.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)63.852.0115.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.042.098.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.957.6116.5+1.354%-
vs Weaker (16)60.354.9115.2+5.462%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.5
53.5%
51.7%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.811.8
66.3%
76.6%11.8
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 125.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.032.3
50.5%
51.7%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.213.4
42.9%
35.4%40.2
🏀 Free throws28.320.8
73.5%
76.6%20.8
They take 95.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLLWLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWLLWL
#17
League position
#10
-3.1
Net rating
+2.5
104.4
Offensive rating
116.0
107.4
Defensive rating
113.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
10.8%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
42.9%
64.5%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 116.0Defence107.4 · 113.5Shooting53.5% · 55.0%3-point %35.6% · 42.9%Ball care15.5% · 10.8%Off. rebounds22.5% · 23.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/19HChicago Bulls89-105
28/01/19ANew York Knicks106-97
26/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers100-94
24/01/19HLos Angeles Clippers99-111
21/01/19ABoston Celtics99-107
20/01/19AChicago Bulls117-103
19/01/19ADetroit Pistons93-98
16/01/19AMilwaukee Bucks86-124
12/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-108
11/01/19HBoston Celtics115-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19AOrlando Magic126-117
27/01/19HMilwaukee Bucks118-112
25/01/19HNew Orleans Pelicans122-116
23/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers123-114
21/01/19ANew York Knicks127-109
19/01/19APhiladelphia 76ers117-115
18/01/19HLos Angeles Lakers128-138 OT
16/01/19AAtlanta Hawks126-142
13/01/19HSan Antonio Spurs122-112
11/01/19ASan Antonio Spurs147-154 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL49%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %49%44%54%
Points / game105.3105.0105.7
Allowed / game105.5105.8105.2
Point differential-0.2-0.7+0.4
Avg total210.9210.8210.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %64%71%58%
Points / game114.5115.5113.5
Allowed / game109.5108.7110.2
Point differential+5.0+6.8+3.4
Avg total223.9224.2223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (3)50% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks50371374%117.0107.3+9.7
2 Golden State Warriors51361571%118.8111.8+7.0
3 Denver Nuggets50351570%111.5105.8+5.7
4 Toronto Raptors53371670%113.7108.6+5.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%115.6111.9+3.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder50321864%114.5109.5+5.0
7 Boston Celtics52331963%112.4105.5+6.9
8 Indiana Pacers51321963%108.1103.9+4.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers52322062%113.1110.0+3.1
10 San Antonio Spurs53312258%112.6110.1+2.5
11 Houston Rockets50292158%112.3110.9+1.4
12 Utah Jazz52292356%108.6105.7+3.0
13 Los Angeles Clippers52282454%114.2113.7+0.6
14 Brooklyn Nets53282553%111.9111.6+0.3
15 Los Angeles Lakers52272552%112.3112.1+0.3
16 Sacramento Kings51262551%113.4115.0-1.6
17 Charlotte Hornets51252649%111.2111.0+0.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves51252649%111.5111.3+0.2
19 Miami Heat49242549%105.3105.5-0.2
20 Dallas Mavericks51232845%109.3108.9+0.4
21 New Orleans Pelicans52232944%116.3114.9+1.4
22 Detroit Pistons50222844%105.6108.3-2.6
23 Washington Wizards51222943%112.7115.3-2.6
24 Orlando Magic52213140%104.3107.8-3.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies53203338%100.4103.7-3.3
26 Atlanta Hawks50163432%110.2117.9-7.6
27 Chicago Bulls52124023%101.4110.8-9.4
28 Cleveland Cavaliers52114121%102.6113.3-10.7
29 Phoenix Suns53114221%106.1115.7-9.6
30 New York Knicks51104120%106.1115.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat24292128102
Oklahoma City Thunder31412224118
← all games of the day
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