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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-95
23-28 27-23 24-25 23-19
Position#9
Record14-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#4
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game101.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
15 Jul 2024
MIA102
OKC73
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
08 Oct 2010
MIA103
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
91-103
91
103
-12
H18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
H20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
81-104
81
104
-23
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-23
30-16
22-13
29-23
21-26
25-17
26-22
28-22
18-23
20-21
26-25
25-20
25-25
19-17
22-41
25-21
31-25
26-30
34-33
16-28
16-19
35-27
29-17
26-19
26-11
21-26
22-22
19-25
24-35
19-23
19-21
26-27
24-22
24-14
23-15
23-32
28-25
24-24
20-24
188.3Avg total
96.0Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)96.293.7189.9+2.558%
Season at home (15)97.994.1191.9+3.867%
Season away (9)93.493.1186.6+0.344%
Last 10 (10)96.092.3188.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)92.891.2184.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.087.0166.0-8.040%
vs Similar (16)96.696.2192.9+0.450%
vs Weaker (9)93.885.3179.1+8.478%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H14/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
114-122
114
122
-8
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
110-103
110
103
+7
H19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H21/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
117-114
117
114
+3
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
111-89
111
89
+22
A24/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
H26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H28/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
30-19
23-18
31-24
24-24
28-21
22-27
11-28
25-27
27-31
28-21
34-43
21-27
32-18
27-29
30-29
20-25
24-23
18-25
28-20
31-25
29-27
27-33
30-29
23-20
40-26
25-22
23-21
25-26
31-26
27-24
27-23
29-31
19-24
28-16
27-16
21-31
31-22
22-26
26-27
204.0Avg total
104.2Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)108.0101.5209.5+6.565%
Season at home (13)106.197.8203.9+8.277%
Season away (10)110.5106.3216.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)104.299.8204.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)108.299.0207.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
vs Similar (5)90.690.0180.6+0.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)109.1101.8211.0+7.365%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H01/12
NBA
94.9Avg total
47.4Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.146.993.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.146.994.0+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)44.847.091.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)47.447.594.9-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.043.885.8-1.840%-
vs Similar (16)47.251.298.4-4.025%-
vs Weaker (9)46.641.187.7+5.489%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A17/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A24/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A01/12
NBA
102.5Avg total
52.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.749.3101.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.546.796.2+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)54.652.7107.3+1.946%-
Last 10 (10)52.849.7102.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.851.6107.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.038.574.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.644.086.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)55.051.4106.4+3.761%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.029.2
48.7%
49.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.7
29.7%
35.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws28.920.5
70.9%
75.5%20.5
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.330.7
50.1%
49.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.919.4
77.9%
75.5%19.4
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWWWLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLWLLW
#9
League position
#4
+3.9
Net rating
+4.4
101.1
Offensive rating
104.9
97.2
Defensive rating
100.5
47.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
33.1%
55.0%
Assist %
52.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 104.9Defence97.2 · 100.5Shooting47.7% · 49.9%3-point %29.7% · 33.1%Ball care14.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/15HBoston Celtics95-105
28/11/15ANew York Knicks97-78
26/11/15ADetroit Pistons81-104
24/11/15HNew York Knicks95-78
22/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers96-91
20/11/15HSacramento Kings116-109
18/11/15HMinnesota Timberwolves91-103
13/11/15HUtah Jazz92-91
11/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers101-88
08/11/15HToronto Raptors96-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/15AAtlanta Hawks100-106
28/11/15HDetroit Pistons103-87
26/11/15HBrooklyn Nets110-99
24/11/15AUtah Jazz111-89
23/11/15HDallas Mavericks117-114
21/11/15HNew York Knicks90-93
19/11/15HNew Orleans Pelicans110-103
17/11/15AMemphis Grizzlies114-122
16/11/15HBoston Celtics85-100
14/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers102-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %58%67%44%
Points / game96.297.993.4
Allowed / game93.794.193.1
Point differential+2.5+3.8+0.3
Avg total189.9191.9186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %65%77%50%
Points / game108.0106.1110.5
Allowed / game101.597.8106.3
Point differential+6.5+8.2+4.2
Avg total209.5203.9216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2723485%112.2101.1+11.1
2 Indiana Pacers2417771%102.096.0+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs2517868%97.590.4+7.0
4 Charlotte Hornets2617965%101.296.5+4.8
5 Toronto Raptors2617965%98.594.0+4.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2315865%108.0101.5+6.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies2516964%94.895.1-0.3
8 Chicago Bulls2415962%99.7100.1-0.4
9 Boston Celtics2314961%101.396.3+5.0
10 Orlando Magic25151060%101.499.5+1.9
11 Miami Heat24141058%96.293.7+2.5
12 Atlanta Hawks28161257%99.598.5+1.0
13 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%99.997.7+2.2
14 Los Angeles Clippers25131252%101.5101.8-0.3
15 New York Knicks24121250%97.197.8-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons27131448%99.697.4+2.2
17 Phoenix Suns25121348%105.4104.2+1.2
18 Sacramento Kings25121348%104.4105.9-1.5
19 Utah Jazz23111248%96.595.0+1.5
20 Washington Wizards22101245%101.9104.4-2.5
21 Dallas Mavericks26111542%97.7100.4-2.7
22 Houston Rockets27111641%103.7107.7-4.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves25101540%99.2102.4-3.2
24 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%101.5101.8-0.3
25 Denver Nuggets26101638%97.2101.2-4.0
26 Milwaukee Bucks2591636%96.7103.3-6.6
27 Brooklyn Nets2371630%96.2101.1-5.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans2671927%102.1108.5-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers2552020%96.8105.2-8.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers2732411%92.3102.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2327242397
Oklahoma City Thunder2823251995
← all games of the day
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