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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2012
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 98-93
21-23 29-26 30-24 18-20
Position#4
Record39-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#3
Record42-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game96.3
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
26-12
12-26
15-22
31-22
19-25
17-16
24-18
28-22
21-31
23-22
27-20
27-20
32-16
13-21
16-16
24-25
25-35
20-20
18-23
24-24
22-25
19-29
25-27
24-29
36-24
20-19
26-13
31-27
28-24
24-32
30-18
19-29
25-20
12-31
16-11
29-27
22-27
25-16
23-23
183.4Avg total
92.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)101.093.6194.5+7.472%
Season at home (25)103.290.3193.6+12.992%
Season away (29)99.096.4195.4+2.655%
Last 10 (10)92.990.5183.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)96.095.0191.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)95.591.8187.3+3.770%
vs Weaker (20)99.891.0190.9+8.875%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
105-114
105
114
-9
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
111-95
111
95
+16
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
114-91
114
91
+23
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
149-140 OT
149
140
+9
H24/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
109-95
109
95
+14
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
29-35
31-27
26-22
31-15
26-27
27-28
27-25
25-24
19-28
26-24
20-21
33-30
33-20
22-21
26-20
30-29
33-32
31-27
22-28
25-24
35-25
20-20
23-18
32-18
33-29
19-28
25-20
18-30
26-19
34-19
24-25
27-20
22-19
31-12
12-27
22-21
22-21
20-26
24-26
204.7Avg total
106.3Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)102.996.3199.3+6.676%
Season at home (29)105.695.9201.5+9.783%
Season away (26)100.096.8196.8+3.269%
Last 10 (10)106.398.4204.7+7.970%
Last 5 (5)98.889.4188.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)104.796.3201.0+8.378%
vs Weaker (21)106.198.5204.6+7.671%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H30/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H03/04
NBA
100.6Avg total
52.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.346.498.7+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.246.697.8+4.667%-
Last 30 away (18)53.146.299.3+6.961%-
Last 10 (10)52.448.2100.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)52.051.2103.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.946.197.0+4.840%-
vs Weaker (20)53.046.599.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/04
NBA
103.6Avg total
54.0Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.849.6103.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.248.9104.2+6.372%-
Last 30 away (12)51.750.7102.3+1.042%-
Last 10 (10)54.049.6103.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)52.445.297.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.351.3106.7+4.056%-
vs Weaker (21)53.148.9102.0+4.262%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
4
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/12HPhiladelphia 76ers99-93
01/04/12ABoston Celtics72-91
30/03/12AToronto Raptors113-101
30/03/12HDallas Mavericks106-85
26/03/12AIndiana Pacers90-105
26/03/12AOklahoma City Thunder87-103
23/03/12ADetroit Pistons88-73
20/03/12HPhoenix Suns99-95
18/03/12HOrlando Magic91-81
16/03/12APhiladelphia 76ers84-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/12HMemphis Grizzlies88-94
01/04/12HChicago Bulls92-78
30/03/12ALos Angeles Lakers102-93
28/03/12APortland Trail Blazers109-95
26/03/12HMiami Heat103-87
24/03/12HMinnesota Timberwolves149-140 OT
22/03/12HLos Angeles Clippers114-91
21/03/12AUtah Jazz90-97
19/03/12HPortland Trail Blazers111-95
17/03/12HSan Antonio Spurs105-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW72%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542529
Win %72%92%55%
Points / game101.0103.299.0
Allowed / game93.690.396.4
Point differential+7.4+12.9+2.6
Avg total194.5193.6195.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %9%4%14%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552926
Win %76%83%69%
Points / game102.9105.6100.0
Allowed / game96.395.996.8
Point differential+6.6+9.7+3.2
Avg total199.3201.5196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)75% (4)73% (11)
Overtime %5%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls57441377%96.788.7+8.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder55421376%102.996.3+6.6
3 Miami Heat54391572%101.093.6+7.4
4 San Antonio Spurs54391572%101.396.2+5.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%97.694.9+2.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers56342261%96.394.4+1.9
7 Indiana Pacers56332359%96.594.0+2.5
8 Orlando Magic56332359%94.393.3+1.0
9 Boston Celtics55322358%91.089.2+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks57332458%94.792.5+2.2
11 Denver Nuggets55312456%104.0101.9+2.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies54302456%94.993.9+1.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers56312555%93.688.1+5.5
14 Houston Rockets56302654%98.197.3+0.8
15 Dallas Mavericks56302654%94.293.6+0.6
16 New York Knicks56292752%96.994.3+2.6
17 Utah Jazz56292752%98.698.9-0.4
18 Phoenix Suns55272849%96.998.0-1.1
19 Minnesota Timberwolves57273047%98.999.1-0.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers56263046%97.296.1+1.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks55253045%98.498.5-0.1
22 Golden State Warriors54213339%98.0100.2-2.2
23 Detroit Pistons55213438%90.195.2-5.1
24 Sacramento Kings56203636%98.7103.9-5.2
25 Toronto Raptors57203735%91.394.5-3.2
26 Cleveland Cavaliers53183534%93.199.3-6.2
27 Brooklyn Nets57193833%92.798.2-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans55154027%89.193.3-4.2
29 Washington Wizards56124421%92.9100.2-7.3
30 Charlotte Hornets5484615%87.6100.2-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2129301898
Oklahoma City Thunder2326242093
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