PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-108
38-35 23-29 24-21 18-23
Position#7
Record30-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#4
Record32-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game93.8
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H09/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
118-112
118
112
+6
A13/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
125-124
125
124
+1
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
101-98
101
98
+3
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
118-117 OT
118
117
+1
A27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
28-25
22-15
26-25
27-20
22-27
34-30
26-23
31-31
21-23
30-25
36-33
35-27
29-33
32-26
29-38
28-28
27-30
20-23
19-20
24-27
31-28
31-30
21-27
31-30
22-30
22-17
26-21
33-19
12-31
26-21
18-20
25-28
29-28
29-23
27-31
21-29
35-23
19-28
28-23
215.1Avg total
108.4Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)104.2102.6206.8+1.665%
Season at home (23)107.6102.9210.5+4.774%
Season away (23)100.8102.3203.1-1.457%
Last 10 (10)108.4106.7215.1+1.770%
Last 5 (5)107.8107.0214.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)101.3102.7204.0-1.450%
vs Weaker (12)110.2101.8212.1+8.483%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
102-130
102
130
-28
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
120-103
120
103
+17
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
21-31
26-19
28-19
30-18
25-30
20-24
16-19
27-26
19-18
19-23
28-26
26-44
32-24
20-18
27-25
23-26
20-34
25-38
34-32
19-28
34-20
17-25
26-26
11-19
24-15
20-24
22-19
32-17
34-23
26-37
28-26
24-23
24-23
25-18
15-29
19-22
20-20
25-26
24-19
199.7Avg total
99.7Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)101.293.8194.9+7.470%
Season at home (22)102.493.0195.4+9.377%
Season away (24)100.194.4194.5+5.762%
Last 10 (10)99.7100.0199.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)96.295.0191.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)97.0102.6199.6-5.620%
vs Weaker (25)102.392.0194.3+10.388%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H09/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A13/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/01
NBA
108.1Avg total
53.4Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.452.8105.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.151.6106.7+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)50.153.9103.9-3.812%-
Last 10 (10)53.454.7108.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.654.6107.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.054.8106.8-2.822%-
vs Weaker (12)53.049.9102.9+3.167%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H05/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/01
NBA
97.1Avg total
49.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.247.097.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.845.695.3+4.258%-
Last 30 away (18)50.547.998.4+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)49.048.197.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.090.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.248.095.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker (25)50.846.897.6+4.064%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/11HWashington Wizards124-117 OT
27/01/11AMinnesota Timberwolves118-117 OT
25/01/11ANew Orleans Pelicans89-91
23/01/11HNew York Knicks101-98
20/01/11ADenver Nuggets107-112
18/01/11ALos Angeles Lakers94-101
14/01/11HOrlando Magic125-124
13/01/11AHouston Rockets118-112
09/01/11HMemphis Grizzlies109-100
07/01/11ADallas Mavericks99-95
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/11HDetroit Pistons88-87
28/01/11ANew York Knicks88-93
23/01/11HToronto Raptors120-103
19/01/11HAtlanta Hawks89-93 OT
16/01/11AChicago Bulls96-99
14/01/11ADenver Nuggets102-130
13/01/11ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
10/01/11APortland Trail Blazers107-100 OT
08/01/11AMilwaukee Bucks101-95 OT
05/01/11HMilwaukee Bucks101-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %65%74%57%
Points / game104.2107.6100.8
Allowed / game102.6102.9102.3
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total206.8210.5203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)80% (5)69% (13)
Overtime %11%4%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW70%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWLLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %70%77%62%
Points / game101.2102.4100.1
Allowed / game93.893.094.4
Point differential+7.4+9.3+5.7
Avg total194.9195.4194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%45%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs4740785%104.496.9+7.5
2 Boston Celtics46351176%98.791.5+7.2
3 Los Angeles Lakers47331470%103.696.3+7.3
4 Chicago Bulls47331470%98.192.0+6.1
5 Miami Heat46321470%101.293.8+7.4
6 Dallas Mavericks46311567%97.194.5+2.5
7 Oklahoma City Thunder46301665%104.2102.6+1.6
8 New Orleans Pelicans48311765%94.791.4+3.2
9 Orlando Magic47301764%100.394.7+5.6
10 Atlanta Hawks48301862%97.395.5+1.8
11 Denver Nuggets46281861%107.9104.3+3.6
12 Utah Jazz47281960%100.299.7+0.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers47252253%95.495.1+0.4
14 New York Knicks46242252%106.3106.0+0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies48242450%99.498.4+1.0
16 Phoenix Suns45212447%105.4107.0-1.6
17 Houston Rockets49222745%105.1104.9+0.2
18 Philadelphia 76ers46202643%97.397.3+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets46202643%93.797.0-3.2
20 Milwaukee Bucks45192642%91.792.8-1.1
21 Golden State Warriors46192741%103.5107.0-3.6
22 Los Angeles Clippers46182839%99.4101.5-2.1
23 Indiana Pacers44172739%97.899.2-1.5
24 Detroit Pistons47173036%94.898.9-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets48143429%92.498.5-6.1
26 Washington Wizards46133328%97.2103.3-6.2
27 Toronto Raptors48133527%99.4105.1-5.8
28 Sacramento Kings45123327%97.2101.9-4.7
29 Minnesota Timberwolves47113623%103.2108.6-5.4
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4683817%93.6105.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder38232418103
Miami Heat35292123108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.