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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-96
18-24 27-22 17-21 23-29
Position#4
Record46-21
FormLLWWW
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Position#7
Record43-23
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
96-99
96
99
-3
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-125
95
125
-30
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
118-85
118
85
+33
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
110-80
110
80
+30
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
22-21
14-27
22-22
20-25
43-36
25-23
33-29
34-23
17-29
15-13
20-26
30-22
33-23
17-26
16-28
12-36
38-26
22-32
23-31
22-18
27-22
16-23
21-24
25-25
26-32
24-20
21-28
29-26
26-27
13-17
26-18
28-22
27-15
29-23
34-25
22-19
27-20
28-24
33-17
195.7Avg total
99.1Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)101.794.5196.2+7.269%
Season at home (34)103.193.3196.5+9.874%
Season away (33)100.295.7196.0+4.564%
Last 10 (10)99.196.6195.7+2.540%
Last 5 (5)100.889.0189.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)96.599.0195.5-2.536%
vs Weaker (19)105.096.9201.9+8.174%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#8
L
88-111
88
111
-23
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H27/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
113-89
113
89
+24
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
111-104
111
104
+7
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
H07/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
101-107
101
107
-6
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H12/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
116-89
116
89
+27
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
26-31
22-21
18-31
28-22
28-29
13-21
18-18
27-18
36-24
26-20
24-27
31-26
25-25
27-22
28-31
25-28
32-33
29-30
23-18
24-25
22-33
27-21
28-28
28-34
27-21
27-25
19-21
22-26
33-24
31-25
18-19
29-14
21-24
25-18
20-19
33-24
35-23
27-23
21-19
202.9Avg total
104.7Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)104.8101.7206.4+3.165%
Season at home (32)107.7101.5209.2+6.272%
Season away (34)102.1101.8203.9+0.359%
Last 10 (10)104.798.2202.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)105.294.0199.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.6103.8206.4-1.244%
vs Weaker (14)111.899.7211.5+12.193%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H15/03
NBA
102.9Avg total
53.9Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.848.9102.7+4.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.346.9101.2+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)53.350.9104.1+2.480%-
Last 10 (10)53.949.0102.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)51.845.297.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.548.7101.2+3.782%-
vs Weaker (19)54.648.9103.5+5.674%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#8
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H03/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H07/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H12/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A14/03
NBA
106.6Avg total
55.4Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.253.0108.3+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.552.5109.9+5.069%-
Last 30 away (17)53.553.5107.0+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)55.451.2106.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.849.6104.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.955.6108.4-2.725%-
vs Weaker (14)57.950.1108.1+7.879%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
2
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/11HSan Antonio Spurs110-80
12/03/11HMemphis Grizzlies118-85
11/03/11HLos Angeles Lakers94-88
09/03/11HPortland Trail Blazers96-105
06/03/11HChicago Bulls86-87
05/03/11ASan Antonio Spurs95-125
04/03/11HOrlando Magic96-99
28/02/11HNew York Knicks86-91
26/02/11HWashington Wizards121-113
25/02/11AChicago Bulls89-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/11AWashington Wizards116-89
13/03/11ACleveland Cavaliers95-75
12/03/11HDetroit Pistons104-94
10/03/11APhiladelphia 76ers110-105 OT
08/03/11AMemphis Grizzlies101-107
07/03/11HPhoenix Suns122-118 OT
05/03/11AAtlanta Hawks111-104
03/03/11HIndiana Pacers113-89
27/02/11HLos Angeles Lakers87-90
26/02/11AOrlando Magic88-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeLLWWW74%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %69%74%64%
Points / game101.7103.1100.2
Allowed / game94.593.395.7
Point differential+7.2+9.8+4.5
Avg total196.2196.5196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won28% (18)22% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayWLWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %65%72%59%
Points / game104.8107.7102.1
Allowed / game101.7101.5101.8
Point differential+3.1+6.2+0.3
Avg total206.4209.2203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (26)56% (9)71% (17)
Overtime %12%9%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs67541381%103.497.2+6.2
2 Chicago Bulls66481873%97.991.1+6.7
3 Boston Celtics66481873%97.691.0+6.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers68482071%101.595.0+6.5
5 Dallas Mavericks67472070%100.296.4+3.8
6 Miami Heat67462169%101.794.5+7.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder66432365%104.8101.7+3.1
8 Orlando Magic68422662%100.194.6+5.4
9 Denver Nuggets68412760%107.8103.6+4.2
10 Atlanta Hawks68392957%95.595.1+0.4
11 Portland Trail Blazers67382957%96.195.4+0.7
12 New Orleans Pelicans69393057%94.893.0+1.8
13 Memphis Grizzlies68373154%100.098.4+1.7
14 New York Knicks66343252%106.6106.0+0.6
15 Utah Jazz68353351%100.1101.3-1.2
16 Phoenix Suns65333251%104.9105.4-0.6
17 Philadelphia 76ers67343351%99.097.5+1.5
18 Houston Rockets68343450%105.8104.5+1.3
19 Golden State Warriors67303745%103.1105.8-2.6
20 Indiana Pacers68293943%99.4100.8-1.4
21 Charlotte Hornets66283842%93.396.8-3.5
22 Milwaukee Bucks66264039%91.192.5-1.4
23 Los Angeles Clippers68264238%98.5101.6-3.1
24 Detroit Pistons68244435%96.1100.3-4.2
25 Brooklyn Nets65224334%94.099.4-5.4
26 Toronto Raptors67184927%99.3105.1-5.8
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68175125%101.5106.7-5.2
28 Sacramento Kings65164925%98.8104.5-5.7
29 Washington Wizards66165024%96.2104.1-7.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers65125318%95.4105.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1827172385
Oklahoma City Thunder2422212996
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