PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 117-104
30-21 25-32 31-28 31-23
Position#11
Record9-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#4
Record9-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game97.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
W
117-100
117
100
+17
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A31/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H02/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
110-83
110
83
+27
H05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
117-121
117
121
-4
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
123-115
123
115
+8
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
35-23
25-20
29-34
17-30
36-23
26-30
23-28
23-22
22-24
26-23
18-23
26-21
21-15
25-35
27-19
24-30
24-18
20-26
23-12
27-17
29-22
29-25
25-19
24-32
17-15
21-16
34-25
25-37
30-25
30-32
32-27
27-26
19-28
18-24
17-16
35-28
33-24
32-28
23-35
200.5Avg total
102.5Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)105.997.5203.5+8.469%
Season at home (7)106.996.9203.7+10.086%
Season away (6)104.898.3203.2+6.550%
Last 10 (10)102.598.0200.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)105.4100.2205.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)102.7100.1202.8+2.653%
vs Weaker (11)110.697.1207.7+13.582%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
129-90
129
90
+39
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
118-83
118
83
+35
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
39-27
22-29
24-24
20-32
25-28
24-10
27-25
31-20
20-33
31-22
21-26
33-15
32-22
27-27
37-26
23-19
27-28
21-20
21-33
29-27
33-12
26-27
30-17
22-19
32-30
14-21
25-23
31-18
26-17
21-29
23-26
22-27
35-26
27-19
12-24
24-21
24-22
21-27
17-16
204.6Avg total
106.5Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.897.2204.0+9.569%
Season at home (5)114.493.0207.4+21.480%
Season away (8)102.099.9201.9+2.162%
Last 10 (10)106.598.1204.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)106.097.6203.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)94.992.2187.1+2.863%
vs Weaker (11)105.496.6202.0+8.773%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A31/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H12/01
NBA
100.5Avg total
52.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.450.2103.6+3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.849.2104.9+6.650%-
Last 30 away (14)50.751.3102.0-0.629%-
Last 10 (10)52.248.3100.5+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)53.250.8104.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.150.3102.4+1.737%-
vs Weaker (11)55.749.9105.6+5.845%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
65-37
65
37
+28
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/01
NBA
102.8Avg total
55.8Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.146.297.2+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.544.796.2+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)50.747.498.1+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.847.0102.8+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)55.643.899.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)48.646.394.9+2.453%-
vs Weaker (11)55.346.0101.3+9.382%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/12HBrooklyn Nets123-115
10/01/12HNew Orleans Pelicans81-94
08/01/12ASan Antonio Spurs117-121
07/01/12ANew Orleans Pelicans96-88
05/01/12HSacramento Kings110-83
03/01/12HMilwaukee Bucks91-86
02/01/12HLos Angeles Lakers99-90
31/12/11ALos Angeles Lakers89-92
30/12/11APortland Trail Blazers102-111
29/12/11HUtah Jazz117-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/12ALos Angeles Clippers89-95 OT
11/01/12AGolden State Warriors106-111 OT
08/01/12ABrooklyn Nets101-90
06/01/12AAtlanta Hawks116-109 OT
05/01/12HIndiana Pacers118-83
03/01/12HAtlanta Hawks92-100
01/01/12HCharlotte Hornets129-90
31/12/11AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
29/12/11ACharlotte Hornets96-95
28/12/11HBoston Celtics115-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game105.9106.9104.8
Allowed / game97.596.998.3
Point differential+8.4+10.0+6.5
Avg total203.5203.7203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %69%80%62%
Points / game106.8114.4102.0
Allowed / game97.293.099.9
Point differential+9.5+21.4+2.1
Avg total204.0207.4201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %23%0%38%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls1513287%95.285.3+9.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder1412286%99.594.7+4.8
3 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%101.385.8+15.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers107370%101.297.0+4.2
5 Miami Heat139469%106.897.2+9.5
6 Denver Nuggets139469%105.997.5+8.4
7 Orlando Magic139469%97.795.7+2.0
8 Atlanta Hawks149564%97.189.4+7.7
9 San Antonio Spurs149564%99.595.9+3.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers138562%98.794.7+4.0
11 Indiana Pacers138562%91.790.2+1.5
12 New York Knicks138562%93.592.0+1.5
13 Utah Jazz127558%92.195.4-3.3
14 Los Angeles Lakers148657%95.292.8+2.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%95.394.2+1.1
16 Dallas Mavericks147750%93.092.8+0.2
17 Boston Celtics126650%88.688.7-0.1
18 Minnesota Timberwolves136746%95.693.2+2.5
19 Houston Rockets135838%95.597.1-1.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans135838%87.990.1-2.2
21 Sacramento Kings145936%93.4101.8-8.4
22 Golden State Warriors124833%94.898.6-3.8
23 Memphis Grizzlies124833%90.294.2-4.0
24 Phoenix Suns134931%94.698.4-3.8
25 Milwaukee Bucks134931%92.196.3-4.2
26 Toronto Raptors1441029%86.090.9-4.9
27 Detroit Pistons1441029%85.493.6-8.2
28 Brooklyn Nets1431121%90.098.7-8.7
29 Charlotte Hornets1431121%87.599.8-12.3
30 Washington Wizards131128%84.497.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30253131117
Miami Heat21322823104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.