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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-86
29-19 31-24 24-26 21-17
Position#19
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#3
Record10-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
128-119
128
119
+9
129avg 103
H02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
106avg 103
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
122-97
122
97
+25
123avg 103
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
128-94
128
94
+34
127avg 103
H09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
89avg 103
H11/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
107-104
107
104
+3
95avg 103
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
92avg 103
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
104-105
104
105
-1
102avg 103
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
116-121
116
121
-5
109avg 103
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
111-91
111
91
+20
101avg 103
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-27
22-31
25-20
42-41
33-19
26-34
12-15
36-21
32-22
35-20
30-18
25-37
32-19
34-26
33-26
29-23
26-31
28-17
16-31
34-22
23-30
23-20
28-26
33-28
23-29
27-19
27-31
23-27
28-20
27-29
20-32
29-24
27-29
26-34
28-29
35-29
21-28
24-18
29-22
37-23
215.4Avg total
112.7Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.0105.8215.8+4.254%
Season at home (8)112.8100.1212.9+12.688%
Season away (5)105.6114.8220.4-9.20%
Last 10 (10)112.7102.7215.4+10.070%
Last 5 (5)107.6105.4213.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)113.1121.1234.2-8.133%
vs Similar ◀ (12)108.5105.2213.8+3.258%
vs Weaker (3)120.3112.0232.3+8.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
125-114
125
114
+11
126avg 111
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
123-101
123
101
+22
126avg 111
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
134-116
134
116
+18
134avg 111
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-105
108
105
+3
96avg 111
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 111
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
111-108
111
108
+3
109avg 111
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-115
110
115
-5
111avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
119-124
119
124
-5
111avg 111
A23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-24
30-31
32-32
23-27
23-22
28-31
35-21
37-27
25-27
34-44
40-21
35-24
26-21
27-26
23-31
32-27
30-23
20-23
26-28
28-33
28-26
32-26
24-32
27-24
28-36
25-33
33-26
24-20
27-29
31-37
17-26
34-29
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
28-28
34-28
26-26
31-42
226.4Avg total
115.0Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)113.6108.8222.4+4.867%
Season at home (7)118.6107.6226.1+11.0100%
Season away (8)109.2109.9219.1-0.638%
Last 10 (10)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)111.2114.2225.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)115.6110.5226.1+5.165%
vs Weaker (10)109.099.9208.9+9.190%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H09/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H11/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/11
NBA
105.8Avg total
55.6Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.656.8111.3-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.454.1109.4+1.347%-
Last 30 away (13)53.560.3113.8-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)55.650.2105.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)49.851.2101.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.161.9116.9-6.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.451.6106.0+2.858%-
vs Weaker (3)52.752.0104.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/11
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.2Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.7112.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.951.3108.3+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)58.158.0116.1+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)57.257.0114.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)57.859.6117.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.456.7115.1+1.755%-
vs Weaker (10)55.750.6106.3+5.180%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.728.0
54.2%
54.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.4
37.6%
36.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
78.2%16.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.631.2
56.1%
54.4%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.2
37.3%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
78.2%16.0
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLLLWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWWW
#19
League position
#3
+10.2
Net rating
+3.7
114.9
Offensive rating
117.7
104.7
Defensive rating
114.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.9%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.6%
3-point %
37.3%
64.3%
Assist %
67.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 117.7Defence104.7 · 114.0Shooting55.1% · 56.1%3-point %37.6% · 37.3%Ball care11.7% · 11.9%Off. rebounds22.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-91
21/11/23AGolden State Warriors116-121
20/11/23ALos Angeles Lakers104-105
18/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-106
13/11/23HDenver Nuggets107-104
11/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans104-101
09/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers128-94
07/11/23HSacramento Kings122-97
05/11/23HSacramento Kings107-89
02/11/23HCharlotte Hornets128-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AOrlando Magic119-124
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103
19/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-121
18/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-115
15/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-108
13/11/23AHouston Rockets104-107
09/11/23HGolden State Warriors108-105
07/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans134-116
05/11/23HChicago Bulls123-101
04/11/23HDallas Mavericks125-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%88%0%
Points / game110.0112.8105.6
Allowed / game105.8100.1114.8
Point differential+4.2+12.6-9.2
Avg total215.8212.9220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%100%38%
Points / game113.6118.6109.2
Allowed / game108.8107.6109.9
Point differential+4.8+11.0-0.6
Avg total222.4226.1219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minnesota Timberwolves1411379%113.1105.8+7.4
2 Boston Celtics1612475%116.0107.6+8.4
3 Oklahoma City Thunder1511473%119.3110.2+9.1
4 Orlando Magic1611569%111.6106.8+4.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1510567%118.9112.2+6.7
6 Denver Nuggets1510567%113.6108.8+4.8
7 Milwaukee Bucks1510567%120.5117.8+2.7
8 Dallas Mavericks1510567%121.5119.1+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns1610662%117.2113.2+3.9
10 Miami Heat1610662%110.6107.6+3.1
11 New York Knicks159660%109.5105.3+4.2
12 Indiana Pacers148657%128.3126.4+1.9
13 Sacramento Kings148657%114.9115.6-0.7
14 Los Angeles Lakers169756%112.4112.1+0.3
15 Houston Rockets137654%110.0105.8+4.2
16 New Orleans Pelicans158753%113.5113.9-0.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers158753%110.9112.7-1.9
18 Atlanta Hawks147750%124.1122.6+1.5
19 Toronto Raptors168850%112.6112.9-0.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers136746%113.2109.1+4.1
21 Golden State Warriors167944%113.9114.1-0.2
22 Brooklyn Nets146843%115.4116.2-0.9
23 Charlotte Hornets145936%113.9121.6-7.7
24 Chicago Bulls1751229%106.5111.9-5.4
25 Utah Jazz1541127%114.9122.5-7.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers1541127%104.4113.0-8.6
27 Memphis Grizzlies1531220%106.2113.7-7.5
28 San Antonio Spurs1531220%109.7123.1-13.4
29 Washington Wizards1421214%115.1123.9-8.7
30 Detroit Pistons1521313%109.5115.9-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29312421105
Denver Nuggets1924261786
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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