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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 24 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#30
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game120.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 99
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 99
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 99
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
94avg 99
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
79avg 99
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
85-117
85
117
-32
62avg 99
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 99
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
99-107
99
107
-8
79avg 99
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
18-29
29-19
29-32
24-32
14-28
27-34
38-25
23-22
29-24
31-27
27-38
20-32
27-25
18-33
29-33
23-26
21-26
13-32
38-27
13-32
28-30
22-31
23-33
39-29
15-23
22-29
35-32
27-23
219.9Avg total
102.3Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.2120.2226.4-14.18%
Season at home (7)108.9123.3232.1-14.414%
Season away (6)103.0116.7219.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)102.3117.6219.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)100.0117.0217.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)104.9122.1227.0-17.39%
vs Similar (7)117.7114.4232.1+3.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.4+4.4
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A14/11
NBA
102.5Avg total
44.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.259.7111.0-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.860.2114.0-6.440%-
Last 30 away (15)48.759.3107.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)44.558.0102.5-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)45.256.0101.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.360.5109.8-11.322%-
vs Similar (7)57.757.1114.9+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.4
37.8%
35.1%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
77.3%14.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLLLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
#30
League position
#7
-6.8
Net rating
+4.6
105.9
Offensive rating
110.9
112.7
Defensive rating
106.3
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
15.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.8%
3-point %
36.0%
66.1%
Assist %
57.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 110.9Defence112.7 · 106.3Shooting56.4% · 53.1%3-point %37.8% · 36.0%Ball care15.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds15.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOrlando Magic99-107
12/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-123
11/11/26ANew York Knicks85-117
09/11/26HBoston Celtics97-117
07/11/26HToronto Raptors107-121
05/11/26ABoston Celtics102-109
03/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-112
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.2108.9103.0
Allowed / game120.2123.3116.7
Point differential-14.1-14.4-13.7
Avg total226.4232.1219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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