PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 128-101
39-24 26-30 34-20 29-27
Position#19
Record31-35
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#26
Record21-45
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
07 Oct 2023
DAL96
MIN104
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-112
97
112
-15
A02/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-116
90
116
-26
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
H25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
122-116 OT
122
116
+6
H27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
30-22
17-24
23-9
15-27
31-26
27-33
24-26
21-21
25-26
19-27
25-19
12-27
14-35
34-26
30-28
25-30
29-22
25-28
23-22
29-21
29-30
29-27
23-32
13-31
38-25
30-16
17-26
28-30
38-24
29-26
34-23
24-33
27-25
30-29
22-29
20-28
24-28
32-24
32-28
213.4Avg total
105.9Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)100.4102.1202.5-1.747%
Season at home (32)102.4100.5202.9+1.953%
Season away (34)98.6103.6202.2-5.041%
Last 10 (10)105.9107.5213.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)115.4113.2228.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)101.4111.4212.8-10.020%
vs Similar ◀ (17)102.3101.1203.4+1.259%
vs Weaker (3)104.090.7194.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
115-119
115
119
-4
A03/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
102-116
102
116
-14
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
124-122
124
122
+2
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
105-114
105
114
-9
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
112-110
112
110
+2
A28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
26-39
29-26
34-27
27-27
26-28
23-19
32-28
26-21
23-34
35-29
28-21
22-28
24-35
24-32
32-21
26-32
29-36
33-21
29-23
27-28
21-23
33-25
23-33
16-31
32-28
13-22
34-22
31-23
28-30
34-31
31-38
28-37
30-24
28-26
19-27
25-26
20-30
31-30
36-24
220.6Avg total
109.4Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)100.5104.8205.3-4.332%
Season at home (34)100.5104.8205.4-4.335%
Season away (32)100.4104.8205.2-4.428%
Last 10 (10)109.4111.2220.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)108.0111.6219.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)101.5108.4209.9-6.927%
vs Similar ◀ (13)99.3101.8201.2-2.531%
vs Weaker (2)107.0114.0221.0-7.00%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
26-62
26
62
-36
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H27/02
NBA
102.7Avg total
49.3Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.550.9100.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.649.4100.9+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)46.852.899.6-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)49.353.4102.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.055.0109.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.951.698.5-4.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)49.650.5100.1-0.941%-
vs Weaker (3)57.750.3108.0+7.367%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A03/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/02
NBA
110.0Avg total
51.3Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.753.1102.8-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.752.3101.9-2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)49.753.9103.6-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)51.358.7110.0-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)51.656.0107.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)49.754.0103.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)49.551.5100.9-2.038%-
vs Weaker (2)51.056.5107.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.525.7
47.2%
49.0%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
35.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws29.223.3
79.8%
75.5%23.3
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws26.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.133.6
51.6%
49.0%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.05.4
36.0%
35.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws32.026.0
81.2%
75.5%26.0
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 19% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLLWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLLWLWWL
#19
League position
#26
-1.6
Net rating
-1.9
107.8
Offensive rating
112.5
109.5
Defensive rating
114.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
11.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.0%
3-point %
36.0%
58.4%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 112.5Defence109.5 · 114.3Shooting49.5% · 52.1%3-point %36.0% · 36.0%Ball care11.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds20.0% · 26.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/16HDenver Nuggets122-116 OT
25/02/16HOklahoma City Thunder103-116
22/02/16HPhiladelphia 76ers129-103
20/02/16AOrlando Magic104-110 OT
10/02/16HUtah Jazz119-121 OT
07/02/16AMemphis Grizzlies114-110 OT
06/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs90-116
04/02/16HMiami Heat90-93
02/02/16AAtlanta Hawks97-112
01/02/16HPhoenix Suns91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/16ANew Orleans Pelicans112-110
25/02/16AToronto Raptors105-114
23/02/16HBoston Celtics124-122
21/02/16HNew York Knicks95-103
20/02/16AMemphis Grizzlies104-109
11/02/16HToronto Raptors117-112
09/02/16HNew Orleans Pelicans102-116
07/02/16HChicago Bulls112-105
04/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers108-102
03/02/16ALos Angeles Lakers115-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %47%53%41%
Points / game100.4102.498.6
Allowed / game102.1100.5103.6
Point differential-1.7+1.9-5.0
Avg total202.5202.9202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%28%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)22% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %15%19%12%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLWLW35%
AwayLWLLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663432
Win %32%35%28%
Points / game100.5100.5100.4
Allowed / game104.8104.8104.8
Point differential-4.3-4.3-4.4
Avg total205.3205.4205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%6%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (25)60% (15)20% (10)
Overtime %8%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6556986%114.1104.2+10.0
2 San Antonio Spurs65521380%104.092.8+11.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder64451970%109.6102.3+7.3
4 Toronto Raptors65442168%101.596.9+4.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers65422365%102.097.6+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers64412364%104.3100.5+3.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies64392561%97.997.8+0.1
8 Boston Celtics65392660%105.5101.2+4.3
9 Charlotte Hornets66372956%101.299.2+1.9
10 Atlanta Hawks67373055%101.399.0+2.2
11 Indiana Pacers66363055%102.4100.2+2.2
12 Miami Heat66363055%96.896.8-0.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers67353252%103.7102.3+1.3
14 Chicago Bulls66343252%101.6102.7-1.1
15 Detroit Pistons68343450%102.0100.0+2.0
16 Washington Wizards64313348%103.3104.5-1.1
17 Houston Rockets67323548%105.6106.9-1.3
18 Utah Jazz65313448%98.097.1+0.9
19 Orlando Magic65313448%100.8101.8-1.0
20 Dallas Mavericks66313547%100.4102.1-1.7
21 Sacramento Kings63293446%106.6108.2-1.6
22 New York Knicks65283743%99.2101.3-2.1
23 Denver Nuggets66273941%100.8103.3-2.5
24 New Orleans Pelicans65263940%102.9105.8-2.9
25 Milwaukee Bucks65263940%98.8103.1-4.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves66214532%100.5104.8-4.3
27 Brooklyn Nets64194530%97.1103.1-6.1
28 Phoenix Suns65194629%100.9106.8-5.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers67135419%97.3106.8-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers66105615%96.1106.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks39263429128
Minnesota Timberwolves24302027101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.