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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-115
29-33 23-23 23-30 30-29
Position#10
Record44-31
FormLLWLW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#4
Record50-24
FormWWLWL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
110-118
110
118
-8
91avg 102
A09/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
108-96
108
96
+12
96avg 102
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
106-108
106
108
-2
98avg 102
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
88-110
88
110
-22
68avg 102
H17/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
no box
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
107avg 102
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-115
103
115
-12
82avg 102
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
107-99
107
99
+8
98avg 102
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-36
24-32
28-20
26-30
22-21
28-16
27-26
21-26
19-27
23-25
38-26
28-18
29-22
34-28
25-31
18-27
27-40
19-24
25-23
17-23
25-27
30-31
20-28
32-30
31-39
24-24
23-29
32-18
22-29
26-29
35-22
33-29
23-31
25-23
30-32
25-29
29-27
16-27
31-15
31-30
214.0Avg total
105.7Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)114.2110.9225.2+3.359%
Season at home (36)114.8109.7224.5+5.167%
Season away (39)113.7112.1225.8+1.651%
Last 10 (10)105.7108.3214.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)109.4112.4221.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)115.0114.2229.2+0.855%
vs Weaker (7)115.7113.1228.9+2.657%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-122
105
122
-17
91avg 105
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
139avg 105
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-99
100
99
+1
99avg 105
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 105
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-105
114
105
+9
no box
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
106avg 105
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
71avg 105
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
210.8Avg total
104.6Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)111.1106.9218.0+4.268%
Season at home (37)115.1104.4219.5+10.784%
Season away (37)107.1109.4216.5-2.351%
Last 10 (10)104.6106.2210.8-1.670%
Last 5 (5)98.4105.8204.2-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.1109.7218.9-0.650%
vs Weaker (16)113.1106.1219.2+6.981%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A09/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A12/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A14/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H17/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H28/03
NBA
106.6Avg total
50.8Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.358.1114.4-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.556.3110.7-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)58.160.0118.1-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)50.855.8106.6-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.4107.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.042.098.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.159.4115.5-3.232%-
vs Weaker (7)56.756.6113.3+0.129%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
108.6Avg total
54.4Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.157.5115.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.956.3119.1+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)53.958.6112.4-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)54.454.2108.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)54.651.6106.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.659.2115.9-2.643%-
vs Weaker (16)59.356.0115.3+3.356%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.827.5
46.8%
51.7%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.9
34.6%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.716.5
72.7%
76.6%16.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.3
50.6%
51.7%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.6
79.8%
76.6%14.6
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWLLLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#4
-0.7
Net rating
-1.8
103.6
Offensive rating
106.9
104.3
Defensive rating
108.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.6%
3-point %
34.7%
53.8%
Assist %
66.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 106.9Defence104.3 · 108.7Shooting48.7% · 51.1%3-point %34.6% · 34.7%Ball care12.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/19HIndiana Pacers107-99
26/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies103-115
22/03/19AToronto Raptors116-109
21/03/19HToronto Raptors114-123 OT
19/03/19HMiami Heat107-116
17/03/19HGolden State Warriors88-110
14/03/19AIndiana Pacers106-108
13/03/19HBrooklyn Nets108-96
12/03/19AUtah Jazz98-89
09/03/19ALos Angeles Clippers110-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLWLWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %59%67%51%
Points / game114.2114.8113.7
Allowed / game110.9109.7112.1
Point differential+3.3+5.1+1.6
Avg total225.2224.5225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)43% (7)46% (13)
Overtime %7%8%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWWWLL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %68%84%51%
Points / game111.1115.1107.1
Allowed / game106.9104.4109.4
Point differential+4.2+10.7-2.3
Avg total218.0219.5216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (22)89% (9)77% (13)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76571975%117.5108.1+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors76532370%114.2108.5+5.6
3 Golden State Warriors74512369%117.3111.5+5.7
4 Denver Nuggets74502468%111.1106.9+4.2
5 Portland Trail Blazers75482764%114.7110.5+4.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers75482764%115.2112.1+3.1
7 Houston Rockets76482863%112.9109.4+3.5
8 Utah Jazz75453060%110.9105.9+5.0
9 Boston Celtics76453159%112.6108.1+4.5
10 Indiana Pacers76453159%107.8104.1+3.7
11 Los Angeles Clippers76453159%114.9113.7+1.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder75443159%114.2110.9+3.3
13 San Antonio Spurs76443258%111.9110.3+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons75383751%107.6107.7-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets76383850%112.0112.5-0.5
16 Miami Heat75373849%105.7105.8-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings75373849%114.2114.8-0.6
18 Orlando Magic76373949%106.2106.2-0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets74353947%110.9111.7-0.8
20 Minnesota Timberwolves74334145%112.4113.5-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers75334244%111.7113.8-2.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans77324542%115.5116.3-0.8
23 Washington Wizards76314541%114.3117.1-2.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies75304540%102.8105.3-2.5
25 Dallas Mavericks75294639%108.5110.1-1.6
26 Atlanta Hawks76274936%112.7118.6-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls76215528%105.2113.2-8.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers76195725%104.5113.5-9.0
29 Phoenix Suns76175922%106.9116.2-9.3
30 New York Knicks75146119%105.0114.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder29232330105
Denver Nuggets33233029115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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