Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 00:00

Projected 118-113

Projected total 231.0

Final 114-119

23-30 25-34 33-29 33-26

Position#5

Record3-1

FormLWWWL

Points / game122.0

Allowed / game105.0

Minnesota Timberwolves

66%

34%

■ MIN 66%■ GSW 34%

Pythia win probability

Golden State Warriors 🏆

Position#9

Record1-3

FormLLLLW

Points / game117.2

Allowed / game120.8

NBA· Target Center

NBA2026-27

Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Minnesota Timberwolves host Golden State Warriors in the NBA. Pythia makes Minnesota Timberwolves the favourite at 66% and projects 118-113, about 231 points in all (over 227.5: 56%). On the market's main spread (Minnesota Timberwolves -4) Pythia gives Minnesota Timberwolves 57% to cover. Overtime chance: 6%. Minnesota Timberwolves are 3-1 this season (122.0 scored, 105.0 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Golden State Warriors are 1-3 this season (117.2 scored, 120.8 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost

66.2%fair 1.51

Best odds1.67

Implied60.2%

Edge+6.0pp

Golden State Warriors winWon

33.8%fair 2.96

Best odds2.45

Implied39.8%

Edge-6.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 28 Oct 12:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTimberwolves

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

104-102

104

102

91avg 109

A05/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

95-133

133

-38

76avg 109

A07/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

108-115

108

115

-7

95avg 109

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

114-109

114

109

103avg 109

H10/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

97-126

126

-29

82avg 109

A13/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

109-139

109

139

-30

81avg 109

H16/05

NBA

Miami Heat

#17

131-106

131

106

+25

116avg 109

A21/10

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

115-93

115

+22

111avg 109

A23/10

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

117-94

117

+23

120avg 109

H25/10

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#16

125-127 OT

125

127

-2

114avg 109

A26/10

NBA

24-23

21-22

24-27

35-30

17-24

18-35

28-39

32-35

22-23

29-28

28-35

29-29

34-30

26-26

20-28

34-25

30-34

17-25

26-32

24-35

27-36

34-38

23-36

25-29

34-32

35-27

30-22

32-25

26-20

31-25

29-15

29-33

32-21

23-26

35-15

27-32

31-24

29-26

26-36

27-27

225.9Avg total

111.5Scored

114.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	122.0	105.0	227.0	+17.0	75%
Season at home (1)	117.0	94.0	211.0	+23.0	100%
Season away (3)	123.7	108.7	232.3	+15.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	111.5	114.4	225.9	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	119.4	111.8	231.2	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	102.7	115.3	218.0	-12.7	33%
vs Similar (13)	113.0	112.8	225.8	+0.2	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	126.9	106.9	233.8	+20.0	88%

This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Golden State Warriors USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormWarriors

Date

Competition

Sacramento Kings

#27

110-105

110

105

104avg 105

H08/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

103-119

103

119

-16

98avg 105

H10/04

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#27

118-124

118

124

-6

115avg 105

A11/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#18

110-115

110

115

-5

102avg 105

A13/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#18

126-121

126

121

122avg 105

A16/04

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#16

96-111

111

-15

91avg 105

A18/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

105-127

105

127

-22

72avg 105

A22/10

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#11

108-111

108

111

-3

69avg 105

H24/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

122-131

122

131

-9

75avg 105

A25/10

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

134-114

134

114

+20

102avg 105

A27/10

NBA

25-26

41-27

19-28

25-24

23-28

26-25

24-29

30-37

27-32

24-31

38-19

29-42

26-25

22-27

33-31

29-32

22-31

31-30

30-28

43-32

15-33

30-17

24-28

27-33

33-34

19-32

16-36

37-25

34-33

22-27

34-24

18-27

25-22

29-35

38-45

30-29

28-32

32-24

40-28

34-30

231.0Avg total

113.2Scored

117.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	117.2	120.8	238.0	-3.5	25%
Season at home (1)	108.0	111.0	219.0	-3.0	0%
Season away (3)	120.3	124.0	244.3	-3.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	113.2	117.8	231.0	-4.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	113.0	118.8	231.8	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	105.1	115.2	220.4	-10.1	12%
vs Similar (11)	108.0	119.8	227.8	-11.8	9%
vs Weaker (11)	123.5	119.5	243.1	+4.0	64%

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 231 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 230-234 (11%). The market's main line is 227.5.

Over/Under 222.5Actual: Over 222.5

Over 222.5

66.8%

@ 1.58+6.4pp

Under 222.5

33.2%

@ 2.50-6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.58

Betfair

1.58

Marathon Be

1.57

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Under

WilliamHill

2.50

Bet365

2.40

Betfair

2.38

Betano

2.35

Marathon Be

2.17

Over/Under 227.5 · main lineActual: Over 227.5

Over 227.5

56.3%

@ 1.97+6.2pp

Under 227.5

43.7%

@ 2.01-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.97

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.87

Under

1xBet

2.01

Betano

1.95

BetVictor

1.95

Pinnacle

1.94

Betfair

1.91

Over/Under 232.5Actual: Over 232.5

Over 232.5

45.6%

@ 2.35+4.5pp

Under 232.5

54.4%

@ 1.62-4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Betfair

2.32

Marathon Be

2.27

Betano

2.25

WilliamHill

2.25

Under

1xBet

1.62

Betfair

1.61

BetVictor

1.60

WilliamHill

1.60

Betano

1.57

📊 3. Team Totals

Minnesota Timberwolves total 111.5Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves over 111.5

Over 111.5

71.8%

@ 1.42+7.2pp

Under 111.5

28.2%

@ 2.70-7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.47

Minnesota Timberwolves total 115.5 · main lineActual: Minnesota Timberwolves under 115.5

Over 115.5

59.3%

@ 1.91+9.1pp

Under 115.5

40.7%

@ 1.98-9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.83

Betano

1.82

Under

1xBet

1.98

Pinnacle

1.93

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

Minnesota Timberwolves total 119.5Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves under 119.5

Over 119.5

45.8%

@ 2.35+6.4pp

Under 119.5

54.2%

@ 1.55-6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.47

Golden State Warriors total 109Actual: Golden State Warriors over 109

Over 109

61.9%

@ 1.74+8.6pp

Under 109

38.1%

@ 1.98-8.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.74

Under

Marathon Be

1.98

Golden State Warriors total 113 · main lineActual: Golden State Warriors over 113

Over 113

48.2%

@ 1.96+0.1pp

Under 113

51.8%

@ 1.86-0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.96

1xBet

1.94

Under

1xBet

1.86

Marathon Be

1.75

Golden State Warriors total 117Actual: Golden State Warriors over 117

Over 117

34.9%

Under 117

65.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Minnesota Timberwolves's side (positive = Minnesota Timberwolves win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.5; Minnesota Timberwolves win by 1+ in 59% of simulations.

Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -7Actual: Golden State Warriors +7

MIN -7

46.7%

@ 2.35+5.7pp

GSW +7

53.3%

@ 1.57-5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

MIN

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.23

Marathon Be

2.19

GSW

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.55

Bet365

1.54

Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -4 · main lineActual: Golden State Warriors +4

MIN -4

57.2%

@ 1.96+7.7pp

GSW +4

42.8%

@ 1.92-7.7pp

Best 5 market prices

MIN

1xBet

1.96

Pinnacle

1.96

Bet365

1.93

Marathon Be

1.90

GSW

Pinnacle

1.92

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.80

Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -1Actual: Golden State Warriors +1

MIN -1

65.5%

@ 1.64+5.6pp

GSW +1

34.5%

@ 2.42-5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

MIN

1xBet

1.64

Pinnacle

1.62

Marathon Be

1.61

Bet365

1.60

GSW

Pinnacle

2.42

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.18

Marathon Be

2.17

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 56
Last 30 (30)	28.3	27.6	55.9	+0.8	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	28.6	27.3	55.9	+1.3	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	28.1	27.8	55.9	+0.3	56%	56%
Last 10 (10)	27.7	26.7	54.4	+1.0	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	30.0	26.6	56.6	+3.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	24.8	28.4	53.2	-3.7	33%	56%
vs Similar (13)	27.5	28.4	55.8	-0.9	31%	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	33.8	25.2	59.0	+8.5	100%	62%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 56
Last 30 (30)	28.3	28.5	56.8	-0.2	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	28.1	28.5	56.6	-0.4	42%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	28.4	28.5	56.9	-0.1	56%	50%
Last 10 (10)	25.8	29.6	55.4	-3.8	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	27.0	30.8	57.8	-3.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	28.4	27.0	55.4	+1.4	62%	50%
vs Similar (11)	26.7	30.2	56.9	-3.5	36%	36%
vs Weaker (11)	29.7	27.9	57.6	+1.8	55%	55%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 54
Last 30 (30)	28.0	27.2	55.2	+0.8	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	29.4	27.4	56.8	+1.9	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	26.8	27.0	53.8	-0.2	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	26.3	27.8	54.1	-1.5	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	30.4	28.4	58.8	+2.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	24.6	26.1	50.7	-1.6	33%	22%
vs Similar (13)	29.5	28.2	57.7	+1.4	46%	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	29.4	26.9	56.2	+2.5	75%	62%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 54
Last 30 (30)	26.3	29.2	55.5	-2.9	27%	50%
Last 30 at home (12)	25.6	29.5	55.1	-3.9	25%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	26.7	29.0	55.7	-2.3	28%	56%
Last 10 (10)	27.6	27.5	55.1	+0.1	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	26.4	27.0	53.4	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	23.4	29.2	52.6	-5.9	12%	38%
vs Similar (11)	24.4	27.5	51.9	-3.2	36%	27%
vs Weaker (11)	30.3	30.8	61.1	-0.5	27%	82%

Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Antonio Spurs

45-45

A05/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

35-59

-24

A07/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

51-51

H09/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

60-56

H10/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

47-59

-12

A13/05

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

61-74

-13

H16/05

NBA

Miami Heat

#17

69-59

+10

A21/10

NBA

Orlando Magic

#20

57-45

+12

A23/10

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

55-47

H25/10

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#16

60-50

+10

A26/10

NBA

108.5Avg total

54.0Scored

54.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 110.5
Last 30 (30)	56.3	54.8	111.1	+1.6	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	57.9	54.7	112.6	+3.2	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	54.9	54.8	109.8	+0.1	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	54.0	54.5	108.5	-0.5	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	60.4	55.0	115.4	+5.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	49.3	54.6	103.9	-5.2	22%	22%
vs Similar (13)	57.0	56.5	113.5	+0.5	46%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	63.1	52.1	115.2	+11.0	100%	50%

This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sacramento Kings

#27

66-53

+13

H08/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

49-53

-4

H10/04

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#27

51-63

-12

A11/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#18

48-52

-4

A13/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

#18

53-61

-8

A16/04

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#16

45-50

-5

A18/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

52-66

-14

A22/10

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#11

56-60

-4

H24/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

54-57

-3

A25/10

NBA

Denver Nuggets

#12

60-56

A27/10

NBA

110.5Avg total

53.4Scored

57.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 110.5
Last 30 (30)	54.5	57.7	112.2	-3.2	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	53.7	58.0	111.7	-4.3	25%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	55.1	57.5	112.6	-2.4	33%	67%
Last 10 (10)	53.4	57.1	110.5	-3.7	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	53.4	57.8	111.2	-4.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	51.8	56.2	108.0	-4.5	38%	38%
vs Similar (11)	51.1	57.7	108.8	-6.6	9%	55%
vs Weaker (11)	60.0	58.7	118.7	+1.3	45%	82%

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Golden State Warriors win

MIN win

59.2%

@ 1.72+1.3pp

GSW win

40.8%

@ 2.30-1.3pp

1st half Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -2 · main lineActual: Golden State Warriors +2

MIN -2

52.1%

@ 1.93+2.1pp

GSW +2

47.9%

@ 1.93-2.1pp

1st half Over/Under 110.5 · main lineActual: Over 110.5

Over

68.4%

@ 2.00+18.2pp

Under

31.6%

@ 2.20-18.2pp

Minnesota Timberwolves 1st half total 56.5 · main lineActual: Minnesota Timberwolves under 56.5

Over

64.2%

@ 1.96+14.6pp

Under

35.8%

@ 1.90-14.6pp

Golden State Warriors 1st half total 54.5 · main lineActual: Golden State Warriors over 54.5

Over

60.7%

@ 1.94+11.4pp

Under

39.3%

@ 1.90-11.4pp

1st half: MIN + total 110.5

MIN & over

39.0%

@ 3.35+13.0pp

MIN & under

18.3%

@ 3.35-7.7pp

1st half: Draw + total 110.5

Draw & over

2.3%

@ 26.00-1.1pp

Draw & under

1.1%

@ 26.00-2.2pp

1st half: GSW + total 110.5

GSW & over

27.2%

@ 4.20+6.5pp

GSW & under

12.2%

@ 4.20-8.5pp

1st half Over/Under 109Actual: Over 109

Over

73.2%

@ 1.73+17.8pp

Under

26.8%

@ 2.15-17.8pp

1st half Over/Under 112Push

Over

64.3%

@ 2.13+19.3pp

Under

35.7%

@ 1.74-19.3pp

1st half Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -3Actual: Golden State Warriors +3

MIN -3

48.7%

@ 2.11+2.9pp

GSW +3

51.3%

@ 1.78-2.9pp

1st half Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -1Actual: Golden State Warriors +1

MIN -1

55.7%

@ 1.77+1.3pp

GSW +1

44.3%

@ 2.11-1.3pp

1st half Over/Under 107.5Actual: Over 107.5

Over

76.4%

@ 1.60+16.9pp

Under

23.6%

@ 2.35-16.9pp

1st half Over/Under 113.5Actual: Under 113.5

Over

59.0%

@ 2.32+17.0pp

Under

41.0%

@ 1.80-17.0pp

1st half Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -4Actual: Golden State Warriors +4

MIN -4

45.2%

@ 2.28+3.0pp

GSW +4

54.8%

@ 1.66-3.0pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Golden State Warriors (regulation)

MIN

57.2%

@ 1.74+3.4pp

Draw

3.4%

@ 19.00-2.7pp

GSW

39.4%

@ 2.37-1.0pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 59.5
Last 30 (30)	27.3	28.7	55.9	-1.4	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	26.3	26.7	53.0	-0.4	50%	14%
Last 30 away (16)	28.1	30.4	58.5	-2.2	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	26.9	28.5	55.4	-1.6	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	28.6	24.8	53.4	+3.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	24.4	31.1	55.6	-6.7	11%	33%
vs Similar (13)	26.1	29.7	55.8	-3.6	46%	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	32.4	24.2	56.6	+8.1	75%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 59.5
Last 30 (30)	28.3	30.6	59.0	-2.3	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	28.2	30.7	58.9	-2.4	33%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	28.4	30.6	59.0	-2.2	39%	50%
Last 10 (10)	29.6	29.6	59.2	+0.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	30.4	32.2	62.6	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	26.9	31.4	58.2	-4.5	25%	62%
vs Similar (11)	27.4	31.4	58.7	-4.0	45%	27%
vs Weaker (11)	30.4	29.4	59.7	+1.0	36%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	29.1	27.6	56.7	+1.5	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	28.1	27.3	55.4	+0.8	36%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	30.0	27.9	57.9	+2.1	56%	56%
Last 10 (10)	29.4	30.0	59.4	-0.6	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	29.2	57.2	-1.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	28.9	29.7	58.6	-0.8	33%	78%
vs Similar (13)	28.8	25.5	54.3	+3.2	62%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	29.9	28.8	58.6	+1.1	38%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 57.5
Last 30 (30)	29.0	29.2	58.2	-0.2	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	29.6	29.4	59.0	+0.2	50%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	28.7	29.1	57.7	-0.4	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	30.2	31.1	61.3	-0.9	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	29.2	28.8	58.0	+0.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	24.8	26.1	50.9	-1.4	25%	25%
vs Similar (11)	29.5	30.7	60.3	-1.2	36%	73%
vs Weaker (11)	31.6	29.9	61.5	+1.7	73%	73%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 116.5
Last 30 (30)	56.4	56.3	112.7	+0.1	50%	30%
Last 30 at home (14)	54.4	54.0	108.4	+0.4	50%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	58.1	58.3	116.4	-0.2	50%	38%
Last 10 (10)	56.3	58.5	114.8	-2.2	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	56.6	54.0	110.6	+2.6	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	53.3	60.8	114.1	-7.4	33%	33%
vs Similar (13)	54.8	55.2	110.1	-0.4	46%	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	62.2	53.0	115.2	+9.2	75%	25%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 116.5
Last 30 (30)	57.4	59.8	117.2	-2.5	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	57.8	60.1	117.9	-2.2	50%	75%
Last 30 away (18)	57.1	59.7	116.7	-2.6	39%	50%
Last 10 (10)	59.8	60.7	120.5	-0.9	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	59.6	61.0	120.6	-1.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	51.6	57.5	109.1	-5.9	38%	38%
vs Similar (11)	56.9	62.1	119.0	-5.2	27%	64%
vs Weaker (11)	62.0	59.3	121.3	+2.7	64%	73%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MIN win + total 227.5

🔒 Pro

GSW win + total 227.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MIN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: GSW leads at half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: close (1-10 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
1st half: Over 110	70.4%	1.85	Pinnacle 1.85	-	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 109	73.2%	1.73	Pinnacle 1.73	-	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
Q2: Over 53	73.0%	1.72	Pinnacle 1.72	-	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 109.5	71.2%	1.72	Pinnacle 1.79	Betano 1.78	1xBet 1.73	Betfair 1.73	WilliamHill 1.57	+17.7pp	Won
Q2: Over 53.5	70.2%	1.81	Pinnacle 1.81	-	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 112	71.0%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.73	-	-	-	-	+17.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 108.5	74.0%	1.63	Betano 1.70	Pinnacle 1.68	1xBet 1.63	Bet365 1.62	WilliamHill 1.50	+16.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 107.5	76.4%	1.60	Betano 1.60	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 106.5	78.8%	1.50	Betano 1.52	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 54.5	72.7%	1.60	Betano 1.60	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Lost
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 53.5	76.4%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Lost
1st half: Over 104.5	83.1%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 51.5	83.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Lost
1st half: Over 102.5	86.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +18.5	95.3%	1.11	Betano 1.11	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Q1: Over 53.5	71.5%	1.56	Betano 1.57	1xBet 1.54	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Lost
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 49.5	88.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
Q1: Over 52.5	75.5%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 51.5	73.5%	1.47	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Over 221	70.1%	1.50	1xBet 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.49	Bet365 1.44	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
1st half: Over 100.5	89.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Q1: Minnesota Timberwolves over 26.5	72.0%	1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Lost
Over 219	73.8%	1.40	Marathon Bet 1.41	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Over 218	75.6%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Over 220	72.0%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.44	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 102.5	91.0%	1.12	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 47.5	92.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 50.5	77.4%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 110.5	74.6%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 48.5	84.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +17.5	94.7%	1.06	Betano 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 108.5	79.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 104.5	87.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.15	Betano 1.13	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Over 220.5	70.6%	1.47	1xBet 1.54	Betfair 1.51	Marathon Bet 1.47	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.41	+7.6pp	Won
Over 217.5	76.0%	1.37	Marathon Bet 1.41	Betfair 1.38	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.32	-	+7.5pp	Won
Over 215.5	79.3%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.43	Betfair 1.31	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.26	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 45.5	95.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Over 218.5	74.3%	1.38	Betfair 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.39	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.35	-	+7.3pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 109.5	77.3%	1.31	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 111.5	71.8%	1.42	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 46.5	89.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Over 219.5	72.5%	1.42	Betfair 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.43	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.37	-	+6.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 107.5	82.0%	1.22	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 105.5	86.1%	1.15	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Over 216.5	77.7%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.37	Betfair 1.34	Betano 1.29	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Over 207.5	89.6%	1.12	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.11	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 106.5	84.2%	1.19	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 103.5	89.5%	1.11	Betano 1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Over 212.5	83.7%	1.21	Betfair 1.23	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Over 206.5	90.6%	1.11	Betano 1.13	Betfair 1.09	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 210.5	86.3%	1.16	Betfair 1.17	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.15	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Over 213.5	82.3%	1.21	Betfair 1.25	Betano 1.21	Bet365 1.16	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 214.5	80.9%	1.27	Marathon Bet 1.39	Betfair 1.28	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.16	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 211.5	85.0%	1.18	Betfair 1.19	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 96.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 93.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 98.5	95.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5	82.3%	1.21	Betfair 1.22	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5	77.9%	1.27	Betfair 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 100.5	93.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5	92.3%	1.07	Betfair 1.08	Betano 1.06	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 94.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 200.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors over 44.5	92.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5	70.4%	1.43	BetVictor 1.50	Betfair 1.44	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.39	+5.4pp	Lost
Minnesota Timberwolves +21.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 97.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 209.5	87.5%	1.13	Betfair 1.15	Betano 1.14	Bet365 1.09	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5	90.1%	1.09	Betfair 1.10	Betano 1.08	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5	80.2%	1.25	Betfair 1.29	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +16.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	Betano 1.04	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 95.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves over 99.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +15.5	93.2%	1.05	Betano 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +4	74.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.34	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Golden State Warriors over 99.5	86.6%	1.13	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 208.5	88.6%	1.11	Betfair 1.13	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.08	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5	72.8%	1.36	Betfair 1.40	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5	75.5%	1.32	Betfair 1.36	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.30	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5	84.2%	1.17	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +3	72.1%	1.37	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Minnesota Timberwolves over 101.5	92.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 90.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +13.5	91.2%	1.08	Betfair 1.08	Betano 1.07	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5	85.9%	1.14	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.14	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5	87.4%	1.12	Betfair 1.13	Betano 1.12	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Over 205.5	91.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5	88.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.11	Betano 1.10	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 133.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 91.5	96.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 93.5	94.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 132.5	94.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 95.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 203.5	93.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 137.5	94.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5	70.7%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Golden State Warriors over 92.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 101.5	82.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +28.5	94.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 134.5	95.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 130.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 131.5	93.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5	72.7%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Golden State Warriors over 94.5	93.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 125.5	85.5%	1.12	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 136.5	94.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 97.5	89.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q2: Minnesota Timberwolves or Golden State Warriors	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.04	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 128.5	90.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 204.5	92.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q1: Minnesota Timberwolves or Golden State Warriors	95.4%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 135.5	93.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 129.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 123.5	81.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 96.5	91.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 124.5	83.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Betano 1.11	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +24.5	91.5%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 100.5	84.6%	1.12	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 102.5	80.2%	1.17	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 126.5	87.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 122.5	79.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 127.5	88.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 120.5	74.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 134.5	91.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +23.5	90.4%	1.04	Betano 1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 105.5	72.2%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 133.5	90.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 103.5	77.7%	1.21	Betano 1.21	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +22.5	89.2%	1.05	Betano 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 98.5	88.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 121.5	77.1%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5	73.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Lost
Golden State Warriors +21.5	87.9%	1.06	Betano 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors over 104.5	75.0%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors under 119.5	71.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Under 254.5	89.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Under 252.5	87.5%	1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +20.5	86.4%	1.07	Betano 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 132.5	88.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5	79.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5	83.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Minnesota Timberwolves under 131.5	87.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Under 253.5	88.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +19.5	84.8%	1.08	Betano 1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Under 247.5	81.6%	1.13	Betfair 1.14	Betano 1.13	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Under 251.5	86.5%	1.08	Betfair 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 128.5	81.0%	1.12	Betano 1.13	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Under 246.5	80.2%	1.15	Betfair 1.16	Betano 1.14	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 249.5	84.2%	1.11	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 129.5	83.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 127.5	78.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.13	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 130.5	85.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Under 248.5	82.9%	1.11	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.12	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +18.5	83.1%	1.10	Betano 1.10	Bet365 1.10	Betfair 1.10	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Under 245.5	78.7%	1.14	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Under 244.5	77.2%	1.18	Betfair 1.19	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Under 242.5	73.9%	1.23	Betfair 1.24	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Under 243.5	75.6%	1.20	Betfair 1.22	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +17.5	81.2%	1.12	Betano 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 126.5	76.0%	1.17	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Under 241.5	72.2%	1.25	Betfair 1.26	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Under 240.5	70.4%	1.25	Betfair 1.29	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Under 250.5	85.3%	1.07	Betfair 1.09	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +16.5	79.2%	1.13	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.13	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 125.5	73.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.18	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +15.5	77.0%	1.15	Betano 1.16	Betfair 1.14	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +14.5	74.7%	1.18	Betano 1.19	Betfair 1.17	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Golden State Warriors +13.5	72.3%	1.21	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves under 124.5	70.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 64.5	82.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +11.5	78.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors +9.5	72.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-6.0pp	Won
1st half: Golden State Warriors under 62.5	75.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-6.9pp	Lost
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves under 65.5	76.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-9.3pp	Won
Over 215	80.6%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.41	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +6	79.7%	1.23	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Over 216	79.0%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Minnesota Timberwolves +5	77.4%	1.27	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	-	-	-	Push
Over 217	77.3%	1.38	Marathon Bet 1.38	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	58.7	28.1	47.9%	54.0%	56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.6	12.7	36.7%	35.1%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	25.3	17.2	68.0%	77.1%	17.2

They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	24.8	55.2%	54.0%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.1	14.8	38.8%	35.1%	44.4
🏀 Free throws	24.2	20.3	83.9%	77.1%	20.3

They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.4	30.0	57.3%	54.0%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	11.7	32.7%	35.1%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	25.4	19.3	76.0%	77.1%	19.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.7	29.1	59.8%	54.0%	58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.1	14.2	39.3%	35.1%	42.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	16.0	81.6%	77.1%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.7	29.3	51.6%	54.0%	58.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.8	12.5	35.8%	35.1%	37.4
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.7	73.6%	77.1%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	26.2	56.2%	54.0%	52.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.9	14.4	35.1%	35.1%	43.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	17.6	80.5%	77.1%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.9	29.8	53.3%	54.0%	59.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	10.5	32.5%	35.1%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	26.5	20.9	79.1%	77.1%	20.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.4	29.6	58.8%	54.0%	59.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.7	13.9	37.8%	35.1%	41.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	17.2	81.6%	77.1%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Minnesota Timberwolves

LWWWLLWLLW

Golden State Warriors

WLLLLWLLLW

League position

-2.8

Net rating

-2.5

105.9

Offensive rating

113.9

108.6

Defensive rating

116.4

50.5%

Effective FG%

56.6%

53.9%

Opp. effective FG%

59.4%

13.7%

Turnover %

16.0%

31.8%

Off. rebound %

22.7%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.29

36.7%

3-point %

38.8%

55.1%

Assist %

67.7%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Minnesota Timberwolves ■ Golden State Warriors

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minnesota Timberwolves wins

Golden State Warriors wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/26	Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves	117-127
27/01/26	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	108-83
25/01/26	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	85-111
13/12/25	Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves	120-127
15/05/25	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	121-110
13/05/25	Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves	110-117
11/05/25	Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves	97-102
09/05/25	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	117-93
07/05/25	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	88-99
16/01/25	Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors	115-116

Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	125-127 OT
25/10/26	H	Toronto Raptors	117-94
23/10/26	A	Orlando Magic	115-93
21/10/26	A	Miami Heat	131-106
16/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	109-139
13/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	97-126
10/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	114-109
09/05/26	H	San Antonio Spurs	108-115
07/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	95-133
05/05/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	104-102

Golden State Warriorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/26	A	Denver Nuggets	134-114
25/10/26	A	Phoenix Suns	122-131
24/10/26	H	Memphis Grizzlies	108-111
22/10/26	A	Los Angeles Lakers	105-127
18/04/26	A	Phoenix Suns	96-111
16/04/26	A	Los Angeles Clippers	126-121
13/04/26	A	Los Angeles Clippers	110-115
11/04/26	A	Sacramento Kings	118-124
10/04/26	H	Los Angeles Lakers	103-119
08/04/26	H	Sacramento Kings	110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	W	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	75%	100%	67%
Points / game	122.0	117.0	123.7
Allowed / game	105.0	94.0	108.7
Point differential	+17.0	+23.0	+15.0
Avg total	227.0	211.0	232.3
Over 227.5	50%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	75%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	25%	0%	33%

Golden State Warriors

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLW	25%
Home	L	0%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	25%	0%	33%
Points / game	117.2	108.0	120.3
Allowed / game	120.8	111.0	124.0
Point differential	-3.5	-3.0	-3.7
Avg total	238.0	219.0	244.3
Over 227.5	75%	0%	100%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Portland Trail Blazers	3	3	0	100%	129.3	110.7	+18.7
2	Oklahoma City Thunder	4	4	0	100%	111.2	100.8	+10.5
3	Houston Rockets	4	4	0	100%	120.8	111.0	+9.8
4	Memphis Grizzlies	4	4	0	100%	116.8	107.0	+9.8
5	Detroit Pistons	5	4	1	80%	109.8	103.4	+6.4
6	Philadelphia 76ers	5	4	1	80%	110.8	107.4	+3.4
7	Minnesota Timberwolves	4	3	1	75%	122.0	105.0	+17.0
8	Toronto Raptors	4	3	1	75%	117.5	102.5	+15.0
9	Boston Celtics	4	3	1	75%	119.8	111.8	+8.0
10	Los Angeles Lakers	4	3	1	75%	128.2	120.2	+8.0
11	Cleveland Cavaliers	4	3	1	75%	119.8	117.8	+2.0
12	Charlotte Hornets	5	3	2	60%	101.0	108.2	-7.2
13	San Antonio Spurs	4	2	2	50%	116.5	109.8	+6.8
14	Dallas Mavericks	4	2	2	50%	112.5	116.0	-3.5
15	Atlanta Hawks	5	2	3	40%	120.2	115.2	+5.0
16	Indiana Pacers	5	2	3	40%	115.0	114.8	+0.2
17	Washington Wizards	5	2	3	40%	113.6	115.8	-2.2
18	Los Angeles Clippers	3	1	2	33%	113.0	109.7	+3.3
19	Denver Nuggets	3	1	2	33%	113.0	121.7	-8.7
20	Phoenix Suns	3	1	2	33%	109.3	123.7	-14.3
21	New York Knicks	4	1	3	25%	104.0	105.2	-1.2
22	Golden State Warriors	4	1	3	25%	117.2	120.8	-3.5
23	Milwaukee Bucks	4	1	3	25%	116.8	122.2	-5.5
24	Utah Jazz	4	1	3	25%	112.8	121.0	-8.2
25	Orlando Magic	4	1	3	25%	107.0	119.5	-12.5
26	Chicago Bulls	4	1	3	25%	110.8	129.5	-18.8
27	Miami Heat	5	1	4	20%	113.0	120.8	-7.8
28	New Orleans Pelicans	3	0	3	0%	124.7	128.0	-3.3
29	Brooklyn Nets	4	0	4	0%	114.2	124.0	-9.8
30	Sacramento Kings	4	0	4	0%	107.8	125.5	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minnesota Timberwolves	23	25	33	33	114
Golden State Warriors	30	34	29	26	119

← all games of the day

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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