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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 131-130 (OT)
27-32 27-36 32-18 29-29 16-15
Position#21
Record33-41
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game113.5
vs
Position#2
Record51-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
114-131
114
131
-17
no box
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
135-130 OT
135
130
+5
119avg 101
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
103-92
103
92
+11
88avg 101
H11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
107-133
107
133
-26
95avg 101
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
100-120
100
120
-20
89avg 101
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
102-117
102
117
-15
91avg 101
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-117
107
117
-10
no box
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
106-113
106
113
-7
no box
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-99
112
99
+13
112avg 101
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
no box
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-22
29-38
24-30
26-41
28-39
32-32
35-28
26-22
23-22
32-23
25-20
23-27
20-31
28-27
30-36
29-39
25-34
30-30
26-27
19-29
30-26
19-24
29-43
24-24
27-30
20-29
28-32
32-26
25-25
26-29
27-27
28-32
25-25
24-25
35-18
28-31
23-42
32-33
30-25
26-22
227.1Avg total
109.7Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.4113.5225.9-1.145%
Season at home (35)114.3109.7224.1+4.666%
Season away (39)110.7116.8227.6-6.126%
Last 10 (10)109.7117.4227.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)107.6113.6221.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)111.8119.8231.6-8.018%
vs Similar (14)114.9116.1230.9-1.243%
vs Weaker (5)115.0106.4221.4+8.680%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 112
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
111-115
111
115
-4
108avg 112
H11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
106-104
106
104
+2
105avg 112
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
110-88
110
88
+22
110avg 112
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
no box
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
117-107
117
107
+10
no box
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
112-89
112
89
+23
no box
H22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
91-126
91
126
-35
73avg 112
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-114
121
114
+7
127avg 112
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-103
118
103
+15
120avg 112
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
37-30
23-25
32-30
29-16
28-40
23-23
31-36
33-23
21-29
31-26
21-26
40-27
24-19
23-25
23-17
25-25
22-33
31-24
27-29
30-27
29-20
32-28
26-32
19-19
34-24
35-19
24-27
22-37
24-37
24-34
21-18
29-28
34-21
34-28
24-37
31-37
35-23
23-24
29-19
217.5Avg total
111.3Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)117.3111.5228.8+5.769%
Season at home (37)117.3112.5229.8+4.870%
Season away (37)117.3110.6227.9+6.768%
Last 10 (10)111.3106.2217.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)111.8107.8219.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)112.5109.2221.7+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)118.8112.7231.5+6.172%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H27/03
NBA
111.9Avg total
53.3Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.758.9116.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.458.2115.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)57.959.4117.4-1.535%-
Last 10 (10)53.358.6111.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.6107.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.558.6114.2-3.127%-
vs Similar (14)57.460.1117.5-2.829%-
vs Weaker (5)63.455.8119.2+7.680%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H09/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H11/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
46-74
46
74
-28
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A28/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.6Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.757.2116.0+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.457.5114.9-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)59.957.0116.9+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)57.653.5111.1+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.6112.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)57.855.0112.8+2.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)59.458.7118.1+0.761%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.231.0
49.8%
51.7%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.517.6
78.2%
76.6%17.6
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.529.0
56.3%
51.7%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.2
37.9%
35.4%39.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.3
77.3%
76.6%13.3
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLLLLWWL
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWLWWLW
#21
League position
#2
-7.5
Net rating
+4.9
106.2
Offensive rating
111.8
113.7
Defensive rating
106.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.4%
3-point %
37.9%
58.7%
Assist %
71.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 111.8Defence113.7 · 106.9Shooting49.9% · 56.5%3-point %33.4% · 37.9%Ball care12.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/19HLos Angeles Clippers111-122
24/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies112-99
21/03/19ACharlotte Hornets106-113
20/03/19HGolden State Warriors107-117
18/03/19AHouston Rockets102-117
15/03/19AUtah Jazz100-120
13/03/19ADenver Nuggets107-133
11/03/19HNew York Knicks103-92
10/03/19HWashington Wizards135-130 OT
07/03/19ADetroit Pistons114-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies118-103
25/03/19HDetroit Pistons121-114
24/03/19HDallas Mavericks91-126
22/03/19HIndiana Pacers112-89
20/03/19AMinnesota Timberwolves117-107
19/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs105-111
17/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder110-88
14/03/19AHouston Rockets106-104
11/03/19HPhoenix Suns111-115
09/03/19HDenver Nuggets122-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeWWWLL66%
AwayLLLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743539
Win %45%66%26%
Points / game112.4114.3110.7
Allowed / game113.5109.7116.8
Point differential-1.1+4.6-6.1
Avg total225.9224.1227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%37%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)55% (11)25% (8)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWLWLW70%
AwayWWLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %69%70%68%
Points / game117.3117.3117.3
Allowed / game111.5112.5110.6
Point differential+5.7+4.8+6.7
Avg total228.8229.8227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)62% (8)54% (13)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76571975%117.5108.1+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors76532370%114.2108.5+5.6
3 Golden State Warriors74512369%117.3111.5+5.7
4 Denver Nuggets74502468%111.1106.9+4.2
5 Portland Trail Blazers75482764%114.7110.5+4.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers75482764%115.2112.1+3.1
7 Houston Rockets76482863%112.9109.4+3.5
8 Utah Jazz75453060%110.9105.9+5.0
9 Boston Celtics76453159%112.6108.1+4.5
10 Indiana Pacers76453159%107.8104.1+3.7
11 Los Angeles Clippers76453159%114.9113.7+1.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder75443159%114.2110.9+3.3
13 San Antonio Spurs76443258%111.9110.3+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons75383751%107.6107.7-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets76383850%112.0112.5-0.5
16 Miami Heat75373849%105.7105.8-0.1
17 Sacramento Kings75373849%114.2114.8-0.6
18 Orlando Magic76373949%106.2106.2-0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets74353947%110.9111.7-0.8
20 Minnesota Timberwolves74334145%112.4113.5-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers75334244%111.7113.8-2.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans77324542%115.5116.3-0.8
23 Washington Wizards76314541%114.3117.1-2.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies75304540%102.8105.3-2.5
25 Dallas Mavericks75294639%108.5110.1-1.6
26 Atlanta Hawks76274936%112.7118.6-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls76215528%105.2113.2-8.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers76195725%104.5113.5-9.0
29 Phoenix Suns76175922%106.9116.2-9.3
30 New York Knicks75146119%105.0114.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves2727322916131
Golden State Warriors3236182915130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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