PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 126-114
35-25 25-33 29-33 37-23
Position#25
Record20-46
FormWLWWW
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game117.6
vs
Position#13
Record33-32
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game113.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
117avg 100
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
97-127
97
127
-30
78avg 100
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
105-130
105
130
-25
90avg 100
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
119-111
119
111
+8
119avg 100
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-124
105
124
-19
93avg 100
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
138avg 100
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
125-128
125
128
-3
119avg 100
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
101-96
101
96
+5
83avg 100
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
105-104
105
104
+1
104avg 100
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
107avg 100
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
37-29
25-32
30-30
25-33
27-40
22-31
23-23
19-24
25-37
35-45
26-24
26-37
35-24
27-32
31-18
26-29
27-43
16-32
36-20
39-43
35-31
25-29
35-17
34-44
25-26
39-25
27-33
26-40
26-18
30-16
19-22
17-33
32-14
34-23
22-34
28-23
31-27
19-29
36-28
229.0Avg total
112.6Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)110.7117.6228.3-6.930%
Season at home (32)107.2114.6221.8-7.434%
Season away (34)114.0120.4234.4-6.426%
Last 10 (10)112.6116.4229.0-3.860%
Last 5 (5)115.8111.0226.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)113.2119.4232.6-6.138%
vs Similar (8)114.6119.2233.9-4.650%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
125-109
125
109
+16
124avg 106
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
116-107
116
107
+9
108avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
147-109
147
109
+38
148avg 106
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
119-101
119
101
+18
119avg 106
A16/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
114-119
114
119
-5
108avg 106
A18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
98avg 106
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
114-118
114
118
-4
96avg 106
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
118-97
118
97
+21
129avg 106
H24/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-113
117
113
+4
115avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-133
103
133
-30
95avg 106
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
33-18
29-32
31-29
33-32
23-29
43-22
17-24
36-32
39-22
50-29
22-26
28-31
35-21
26-27
30-22
33-24
33-36
23-29
25-30
24-24
31-31
20-15
32-26
20-38
38-22
35-26
21-32
30-24
24-26
32-24
32-23
32-39
31-26
31-27
23-21
12-36
17-26
35-41
39-30
228.2Avg total
118.0Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)112.8113.2226.0-0.451%
Season at home (31)115.0111.5226.5+3.465%
Season away (34)110.9114.7225.6-3.838%
Last 10 (10)118.0110.2228.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)111.8111.4223.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4114.8227.2-2.460%
vs Similar (19)107.6115.2222.8-7.532%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)122.5111.2233.7+11.383%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
74-74
74
74
+0
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBA
119.0Avg total
56.9Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.261.4117.5-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.858.9111.7-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)59.563.9123.4-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)56.962.1119.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)58.659.8118.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.161.0117.1-5.019%-
vs Similar (8)57.162.8119.9-5.612%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A16/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H26/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H28/04
NBA
115.1Avg total
58.4Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.157.7113.8-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.057.8112.8-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)57.057.6114.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.7115.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)51.858.4110.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.655.4108.0-2.840%-
vs Similar (19)54.058.9112.9-4.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)65.855.8121.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.7
54.7%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.414.4
35.6%
36.6%43.2
🏀 Free throws24.618.0
73.2%
77.7%18.0
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.226.3
55.7%
52.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.716.4
40.3%
36.6%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.116.2
80.6%
77.7%16.2
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWLWLLW
Golden State Warriors
LWWLWLWWWW
#25
League position
#13
-3.7
Net rating
+7.6
109.1
Offensive rating
114.3
112.8
Defensive rating
106.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
57.9%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.6%
3-point %
40.3%
64.6%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 114.3Defence112.8 · 106.7Shooting54.1% · 57.9%3-point %35.6% · 40.3%Ball care13.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds20.9% · 20.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21AHouston Rockets114-107
27/04/21HUtah Jazz105-104
25/04/21AUtah Jazz101-96
22/04/21ASacramento Kings125-128
21/04/21ASacramento Kings134-120
19/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-124
17/04/21HMiami Heat119-111
14/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks105-130
13/04/21HBrooklyn Nets97-127
12/04/21HChicago Bulls121-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21HDallas Mavericks103-133
26/04/21HSacramento Kings117-113
24/04/21HDenver Nuggets118-97
21/04/21AWashington Wizards114-118
19/04/21APhiladelphia 76ers107-96
18/04/21ABoston Celtics114-119
16/04/21ACleveland Cavaliers119-101
15/04/21AOklahoma City Thunder147-109
13/04/21HDenver Nuggets116-107
11/04/21HHouston Rockets125-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW30%
HomeWLLWW34%
AwayLWLWW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %30%34%26%
Points / game110.7107.2114.0
Allowed / game117.6114.6120.4
Point differential-6.9-7.4-6.4
Avg total228.3221.8234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)50% (10)43% (14)
Overtime %8%6%9%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL51%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %51%65%38%
Points / game112.8115.0110.9
Allowed / game113.2111.5114.7
Point differential-0.4+3.4-3.8
Avg total226.0226.5225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)67% (6)27% (11)
Overtime %2%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz65481774%116.9106.9+10.0
2 Brooklyn Nets65452069%118.8113.7+5.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers64432167%113.4108.2+5.2
4 Phoenix Suns66442267%113.7108.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets65432266%115.7109.7+6.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%113.7108.5+5.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers66402661%109.7106.1+3.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks64382659%118.8113.2+5.5
9 Dallas Mavericks65372857%112.3109.9+2.4
10 New York Knicks67382957%106.6103.8+2.8
11 Atlanta Hawks67363154%112.8111.7+1.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers66353153%114.4115.0-0.6
13 Memphis Grizzlies65343152%114.0112.6+1.3
14 Miami Heat65343152%106.4107.3-0.8
15 Boston Celtics65333251%111.5110.4+1.2
16 Golden State Warriors65333251%112.8113.2-0.4
17 San Antonio Spurs64313348%110.4111.7-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets66313547%110.0111.5-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans64293545%115.2114.5+0.7
20 Indiana Pacers65293645%113.6114.7-1.2
21 Washington Wizards65293645%114.2117.3-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls66293744%111.2112.2-1.0
23 Toronto Raptors65283743%111.6111.0+0.6
24 Sacramento Kings66273941%114.2119.0-4.8
25 Cleveland Cavaliers66234335%103.7110.8-7.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder65224334%105.7114.7-9.0
27 Orlando Magic66214532%105.0112.9-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons67214631%106.5110.0-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves66204630%110.7117.6-6.9
30 Houston Rockets66184827%108.0114.2-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves35252937126
Golden State Warriors25333323114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.