PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-138
34-32 26-45 27-31 14-30
Position#27
Record20-42
FormLLWLW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#12
Record34-29
FormLWLWW
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-110
98
110
-12
88avg 92
H08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
98-117
98
117
-19
93avg 92
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 92
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
87avg 92
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
118avg 92
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
106-114
106
114
-8
89avg 92
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
104-124
104
124
-20
92avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
118avg 92
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
110-131
110
131
-21
101avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 92
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-36
26-29
26-25
22-34
29-25
21-28
26-30
24-24
17-22
20-31
26-23
29-22
25-28
26-31
21-25
29-31
32-31
30-32
21-18
29-34
29-39
23-16
25-25
14-31
31-17
32-37
27-39
29-36
40-25
23-32
31-30
32-35
27-24
31-40
20-32
24-24
31-33
31-22
33-28
223.6Avg total
107.9Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)102.1108.7210.9-6.632%
Season at home (30)102.1107.6209.7-5.530%
Season away (32)102.2109.8212.0-7.734%
Last 10 (10)107.9115.7223.6-7.830%
Last 5 (5)113.6120.2233.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)104.4110.4214.8-6.024%
vs Similar (5)103.6107.0210.6-3.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
134-114
134
114
+20
128avg 105
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
119-132
119
132
-13
103avg 105
A10/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
122-134
122
134
-12
111avg 105
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
129-120
129
120
+9
121avg 105
A13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
126-120 OT
126
120
+6
110avg 105
H16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 105
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
119-114
119
114
+5
107avg 105
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
102-133
102
133
-31
91avg 105
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
127-122
127
122
+5
120avg 105
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
129-114
129
114
+15
124avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-35
38-32
29-23
32-24
37-29
27-42
37-28
18-33
27-27
32-33
32-32
31-42
33-37
41-25
28-36
27-22
27-24
25-34
26-29
30-21
23-30
28-19
23-23
17-31
21-31
32-25
31-27
35-31
25-34
24-31
25-27
28-41
26-37
38-24
37-27
26-34
34-27
34-29
28-31
33-27
240.4Avg total
119.8Scored
120.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)113.6112.3225.8+1.354%
Season at home (31)109.8107.1216.9+2.761%
Season away (32)117.2117.3234.5-0.247%
Last 10 (10)119.8120.6240.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)113.6117.2230.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.0134.0258.0-10.00%
vs Similar (19)117.2116.7233.9+0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.4112.1233.5+9.380%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A03/03
NBA
111.0Avg total
53.9Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.756.3108.0-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.256.2106.4-6.123%-
Last 30 away (17)52.956.4109.3-3.424%-
Last 10 (10)53.957.1111.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)57.259.6116.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)51.856.3108.1-4.628%-
vs Similar (5)51.656.2107.8-4.60%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A10/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A12/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H02/03
NBA
121.2Avg total
60.7Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.657.3117.9+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.652.6108.2+3.058%-
Last 30 away (18)63.960.5124.4+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)60.760.5121.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)57.057.4114.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (19)58.655.6114.2+3.163%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)63.759.0122.7+4.750%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.729.9
51.8%
53.1%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.0
31.8%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
77.4%15.1
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.828.0
56.2%
53.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.415.1
35.6%
35.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.5
76.1%
77.4%18.5
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWLLWLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWLWWLLW
#27
League position
#12
-7.5
Net rating
-0.8
103.4
Offensive rating
113.5
110.9
Defensive rating
114.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.8%
3-point %
35.6%
59.2%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 113.5Defence110.9 · 114.2Shooting50.3% · 54.9%3-point %31.8% · 35.6%Ball care12.8% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.7% · 21.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22ADenver Nuggets119-107
01/03/22HSacramento Kings110-131
26/02/22AIndiana Pacers129-125 OT
25/02/22HPhoenix Suns104-124
17/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs106-114
15/02/22ANew York Knicks127-123 OT
13/02/22AChicago Bulls101-106
12/02/22APhiladelphia 76ers87-100
10/02/22HToronto Raptors98-117
08/02/22HGolden State Warriors98-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22HGolden State Warriors129-114
01/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers127-122
26/02/22HPhiladelphia 76ers102-133
25/02/22HMemphis Grizzlies119-114
17/02/22HToronto Raptors91-103
16/02/22HCharlotte Hornets126-120 OT
13/02/22AIndiana Pacers129-120
12/02/22AChicago Bulls122-134
10/02/22ASacramento Kings119-132
09/02/22ASacramento Kings134-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLWWW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %32%30%34%
Points / game102.1102.1102.2
Allowed / game108.7107.6109.8
Point differential-6.6-5.5-7.7
Avg total210.9209.7212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%13%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)36% (11)60% (10)
Overtime %6%3%9%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %54%61%47%
Points / game113.6109.8117.2
Allowed / game112.3107.1117.3
Point differential+1.3+2.7-0.2
Avg total225.8216.9234.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%39%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns62501281%113.7105.6+8.1
2 Golden State Warriors63432068%110.9104.3+6.6
3 Memphis Grizzlies64432167%113.8109.2+4.6
4 Miami Heat64422266%109.7105.0+4.7
5 Utah Jazz61392264%114.1107.4+6.8
6 Philadelphia 76ers62392363%108.7106.2+2.5
7 Milwaukee Bucks64392561%113.8110.2+3.6
8 Chicago Bulls64392561%112.5110.9+1.7
9 Dallas Mavericks63382560%107.0103.6+3.4
10 Boston Celtics65382758%109.3103.8+5.5
11 Denver Nuggets62362658%110.4107.8+2.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers63362757%106.7103.3+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves63342954%113.6112.3+1.3
14 Toronto Raptors63342954%108.4107.3+1.1
15 Los Angeles Clippers65343152%107.2107.4-0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets64323250%110.6111.6-1.0
17 Atlanta Hawks63313249%112.5111.7+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets64313348%114.1114.5-0.4
19 Washington Wizards62283445%107.7110.5-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers62273544%110.4112.7-2.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans62263642%107.1109.0-1.9
22 New York Knicks62253740%105.1107.3-2.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers62253740%107.4112.7-5.3
24 San Antonio Spurs63243938%112.7112.8-0.1
25 Sacramento Kings65244137%110.0115.1-5.1
26 Indiana Pacers65224334%109.9112.3-2.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder62204232%102.1108.7-6.6
28 Detroit Pistons64174727%103.4112.5-9.1
29 Orlando Magic64164825%104.0111.7-7.8
30 Houston Rockets62154724%108.5118.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder34262714101
Minnesota Timberwolves32453130138
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.