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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 104-113
25-30 42-25 19-34 18-24
Position#4
Record45-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#12
Record38-30
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
MIN131
03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
MIN106
18 Dec 2023
MIA108
MIN112
26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-107 OT
111
107
+4
102avg 103
A18/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
115-100
115
100
+15
106avg 103
A26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
133-129
133
129
+4
123avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
108avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
119-120
119
120
-1
112avg 103
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 103
A04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
94avg 103
H06/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
123-106
123
106
+17
121avg 103
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
79avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
117-105
117
105
+12
113avg 103
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-30
10-24
17-17
23-16
30-32
35-23
25-30
25-15
28-40
33-18
38-39
34-32
30-21
25-25
36-21
21-32
28-36
38-28
31-29
22-27
23-35
37-32
28-17
25-23
22-14
32-26
19-28
26-14
25-32
37-26
28-20
33-28
27-29
28-28
19-34
16-20
28-18
30-39
27-15
32-33
219.8Avg total
113.2Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)109.5104.7214.2+4.866%
Season at home (32)110.3104.2214.5+6.275%
Season away (36)108.8105.2214.0+3.658%
Last 10 (10)113.2106.6219.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)108.4102.2210.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.9107.9216.8+1.050%
vs Weaker (14)114.7102.6217.4+12.1100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 106
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
119-114
119
114
+5
107avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
102-133
102
133
-31
91avg 106
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
127-122
127
122
+5
120avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
129-114
129
114
+15
124avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
138-101
138
101
+37
138avg 106
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
135-121
135
121
+14
139avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-81
124
81
+43
119avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
132-102
132
102
+30
135avg 106
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
28-19
23-23
17-31
21-31
32-25
31-27
35-31
25-34
24-31
25-27
28-41
26-37
38-24
37-27
26-34
34-27
34-29
28-31
33-27
32-34
45-26
31-27
30-14
32-34
31-30
46-37
26-20
31-15
30-19
29-26
34-21
32-21
42-26
27-32
31-23
36-24
29-36
28-37
17-21
231.6Avg total
120.7Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)114.6111.7226.3+2.956%
Season at home (34)111.6106.6218.2+5.165%
Season away (34)117.6116.9234.4+0.747%
Last 10 (10)120.7110.9231.6+9.870%
Last 5 (5)127.8104.6232.4+23.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)124.0134.0258.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)119.3118.6237.9+0.856%
vs Weaker (13)127.1111.2238.3+15.885%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A18/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H06/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H12/03
NBA
113.9Avg total
58.3Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.953.5111.4+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.552.9111.4+5.681%-
Last 30 away (14)57.154.1111.3+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)58.355.6113.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)57.855.8113.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.955.1113.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (14)57.951.6109.5+6.286%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A12/03
NBA
117.7Avg total
62.5Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.358.0121.3+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.653.5113.2+6.162%-
Last 30 away (17)66.161.4127.5+4.865%-
Last 10 (10)62.555.2117.7+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)68.053.0121.0+15.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.956.4116.4+3.569%-
vs Weaker (13)67.258.6125.8+8.662%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.028.3
54.4%
53.1%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.8
37.6%
35.3%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
77.4%18.2
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.526.8
60.2%
53.1%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.915.6
36.4%
35.3%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.620.3
79.3%
77.4%20.3
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWWLWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#12
+6.5
Net rating
+9.4
112.1
Offensive rating
116.0
105.6
Defensive rating
106.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
57.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.6%
3-point %
36.4%
63.7%
Assist %
65.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 116.0Defence105.6 · 106.6Shooting55.2% · 57.4%3-point %37.6% · 36.4%Ball care12.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds18.9% · 20.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22HCleveland Cavaliers117-105
10/03/22HPhoenix Suns90-111
08/03/22HHouston Rockets123-106
06/03/22HPhiladelphia 76ers99-82
04/03/22ABrooklyn Nets113-107
03/03/22AMilwaukee Bucks119-120
01/03/22HChicago Bulls112-99
27/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs133-129
26/02/22ANew York Knicks115-100
18/02/22ACharlotte Hornets111-107 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22AOrlando Magic110-118
10/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder132-102
08/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers124-81
06/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers135-121
05/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder138-101
02/03/22HGolden State Warriors129-114
01/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers127-122
26/02/22HPhiladelphia 76ers102-133
25/02/22HMemphis Grizzlies119-114
17/02/22HToronto Raptors91-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683236
Win %66%75%58%
Points / game109.5110.3108.8
Allowed / game104.7104.2105.2
Point differential+4.8+6.2+3.6
Avg total214.2214.5214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)83% (6)30% (10)
Overtime %6%3%8%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game114.6111.6117.6
Allowed / game111.7106.6116.9
Point differential+2.9+5.1+0.7
Avg total226.3218.2234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns67531479%113.6106.0+7.7
2 Memphis Grizzlies68462268%114.2109.3+4.9
3 Golden State Warriors67452267%111.2104.9+6.4
4 Miami Heat68452366%109.5104.7+4.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks67422563%114.6110.5+4.1
6 Utah Jazz66412562%113.6107.2+6.3
7 Philadelphia 76ers65402562%108.4106.4+2.0
8 Dallas Mavericks67412661%106.8103.7+3.1
9 Chicago Bulls66402661%112.5111.0+1.5
10 Boston Celtics68412760%109.7104.0+5.7
11 Denver Nuggets67402760%111.0108.2+2.8
12 Cleveland Cavaliers66382858%106.9103.7+3.2
13 Minnesota Timberwolves68383056%114.6111.7+2.9
14 Toronto Raptors66363055%108.5107.3+1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets67343351%111.4111.8-0.4
16 Los Angeles Clippers69353451%106.9107.7-0.7
17 Charlotte Hornets68333549%114.6114.9-0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks66323448%112.5111.8+0.7
19 Washington Wizards65293645%108.1110.9-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers66293744%111.1113.2-2.1
21 New York Knicks67283942%105.9107.0-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans67274040%107.9109.9-2.1
23 San Antonio Spurs67264139%112.6112.9-0.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers65254038%106.9113.4-6.5
25 Sacramento Kings68244435%110.0115.2-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers67224533%110.3112.8-2.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder66204630%102.3110.2-7.8
28 Detroit Pistons67184927%103.6112.5-8.9
29 Orlando Magic68185026%104.0111.6-7.5
30 Houston Rockets67175025%108.9118.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat25421918104
Minnesota Timberwolves30253424113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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