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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
16 Jul 2025
MIN89
PHX85
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
17 Jul 2016
MIN93
PHX83
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
122-104
122
104
+18
114avg 108
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
106-128
106
128
-22
95avg 108
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
116-133
116
133
-17
83avg 108
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
116avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
111-121
111
121
-10
no box
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
231.0Avg total
118.4Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2113.1231.3+5.254%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (9)119.2114.2233.4+5.056%
Last 10 (10)118.4112.6231.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.4231.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (14)114.9115.7230.6-0.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)122.0111.1233.1+10.980%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
110avg 101
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
107-109
107
109
-2
96avg 101
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 101
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
102-98
102
98
+4
91avg 101
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-123
103
123
-20
81avg 101
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
116-119
116
119
-3
95avg 101
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 101
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.2117.4226.6-8.121%
vs Similar (11)108.8114.0222.8-5.218%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#27
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
59.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.256.8115.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.957.4115.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.3116.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.4114.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (14)57.857.6115.4+0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)63.855.4119.2+8.490%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.361.5118.8-4.236%-
vs Similar (11)58.959.7118.6-0.845%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.4
52.3%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.4
39.1%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws31.122.5
72.3%
76.3%22.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.3%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWLLW
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#29
+5.0
Net rating
-5.8
106.1
Offensive rating
102.1
101.1
Defensive rating
107.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
47.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
34.3%
60.0%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 102.1Defence101.1 · 107.9Shooting55.0% · 54.4%3-point %39.1% · 34.3%Ball care14.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds47.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %54%50%56%
Points / game118.2116.0119.2
Allowed / game113.1110.5114.2
Point differential+5.2+5.5+5.0
Avg total231.3226.5233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%11%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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