PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 89-85
16-32 16-10 25-17 32-26
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion
Other2025
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
16 Jul 2025
MIN89
PHX85
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 106
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 106
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 106
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 106
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
129avg 106
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
73avg 106
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
89avg 106
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
143-101
143
101
+42
142avg 106
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
126-128
126
128
-2
124avg 106
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-124
94
124
-30
78avg 106
A29/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
21-21
19-21
29-31
33-24
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
30-23
32-24
31-25
28-38
23-20
25-24
18-32
22-38
25-29
25-29
21-35
32-25
34-14
38-27
35-29
36-31
30-37
27-28
28-25
41-38
9-26
23-39
30-23
32-36
219.3Avg total
109.9Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.9109.4219.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)110.8117.0227.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.8117.0227.8-6.220%
vs Similar (16)113.9108.8222.6+5.169%
vs Weaker (9)119.0103.2222.2+15.889%
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
109-124
109
124
-15
105avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
123-133
123
133
-10
109avg 108
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-123
103
123
-20
90avg 108
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
80avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
95-133
95
133
-38
82avg 108
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-125
112
125
-13
106avg 108
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
117-98
117
98
+19
113avg 108
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 108
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
21-27
24-30
30-35
34-32
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
19-31
38-29
26-35
40-38
22-31
25-29
28-30
28-33
23-27
20-26
27-34
28-25
24-37
19-32
18-26
34-38
39-29
28-33
26-43
19-20
28-33
25-14
39-17
25-34
25-33
29-24
21-29
23-23
230.3Avg total
106.6Scored
123.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.6123.7230.3-17.110%
Last 5 (5)104.0115.4219.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)112.9125.0237.9-12.117%
vs Similar (10)115.3111.0226.3+4.360%
vs Weaker (2)120.5116.0236.5+4.550%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
72-41
72
41
+31
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A29/05
NBA
101.1Avg total
50.6Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.252.4106.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.952.3109.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)51.152.6103.7-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.650.5101.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (16)52.952.9105.8-0.138%-
vs Weaker (9)58.050.3108.3+7.789%-
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
43-69
43
69
-26
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A13/04
NBA
112.8Avg total
51.2Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.958.1112.9-3.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.758.1114.8-1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)53.058.1111.1-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)51.261.6112.8-10.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.057.6109.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)53.560.8114.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (10)55.854.5110.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker (2)62.551.5114.0+11.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.726.1
54.7%
50.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.9
37.6%
31.5%41.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
72.4%16.0
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.8
55.6%
50.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.213.6
33.8%
31.5%40.8
🏀 Free throws15.312.2
79.7%
72.4%12.2
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWWL
Phoenix Suns
LWLLLLLLLL
+0.5
Net rating
-17.6
111.5
Offensive rating
109.6
111.0
Defensive rating
127.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.17
37.6%
3-point %
33.8%
63.0%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 109.6Defence111.0 · 127.1Shooting55.4% · 53.4%3-point %37.6% · 33.8%Ball care16.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 25.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder94-124
27/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder126-128
25/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder143-101
23/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-118
21/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder88-114
15/05/25HGolden State Warriors121-110
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
11/05/25AGolden State Warriors102-97
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ASacramento Kings98-109
12/04/25HSan Antonio Spurs117-98
10/04/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-125
09/04/25HGolden State Warriors95-133
06/04/25ANew York Knicks98-112
04/04/25ABoston Celtics103-123
01/04/25AMilwaukee Bucks123-133
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148
29/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves109-124
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Phoenix Suns
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves1616253289
Phoenix Suns3210172685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.