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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 120-95
27-28 34-23 31-21 28-23
Position#4
Record56-26
FormWWLWL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#9
Record49-32
FormLLWWW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
95avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
114avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
133-85
133
85
+48
134avg 108
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 108
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-121
130
121
+9
125avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 108
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
109-106
109
106
+3
109avg 108
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
106-125
106
125
-19
102avg 108
H14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
29-17
25-21
24-34
22-33
32-31
25-20
22-25
16-23
38-22
27-27
32-34
23-19
35-23
33-18
42-25
20-32
21-25
20-20
26-20
33-37
46-27
23-28
25-25
26-44
34-26
39-24
31-27
28-26
24-23
28-34
27-33
25-27
31-20
24-33
29-26
22-44
31-22
25-23
28-36
220.4Avg total
112.4Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)113.0106.5219.5+6.568%
Season at home (41)112.0103.7215.7+8.273%
Season away (41)114.0109.3223.3+4.763%
Last 10 (10)112.4108.0220.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)115.8117.0232.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)107.6106.6214.3+1.045%
vs Weaker (19)114.8104.9219.7+9.979%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
104-97
104
97
+7
107avg 111
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
103-128
103
128
-25
94avg 111
A30/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
124-111
124
111
+13
123avg 111
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
122-101
122
101
+21
122avg 111
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
97-87
97
87
+10
99avg 111
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
105-113
105
113
-8
99avg 111
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-105
92
105
-13
71avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-108
124
108
+16
120avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
108-107
108
107
+1
108avg 111
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
125-106
125
106
+19
118avg 111
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
30-23
24-21
21-24
32-34
27-36
21-31
23-27
46-28
28-26
29-36
21-21
34-20
38-27
26-30
24-24
32-20
25-21
20-20
20-26
26-19
24-37
33-34
22-23
10-37
23-29
35-18
24-21
28-27
27-29
37-37
32-15
22-27
23-27
33-31
30-22
44-22
22-31
23-25
36-28
216.7Avg total
110.4Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)116.4113.3229.7+3.160%
Season at home (41)115.8112.8228.7+3.061%
Season away (40)117.0113.7230.7+3.360%
Last 10 (10)110.4106.3216.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)110.8107.8218.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0122.5230.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.3110.3224.6+4.065%
vs Weaker (6)117.3105.7223.0+11.783%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A11/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H13/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H14/04
NBA
111.6Avg total
56.9Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.7108.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.753.0105.7-0.341%-
Last 30 away (13)57.154.6111.7+2.546%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.7111.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)60.059.2119.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.454.9107.3-2.536%-
vs Weaker (19)55.953.0108.9+2.947%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A30/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
33-66
33
66
-33
H10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A11/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A14/04
NBA
111.9Avg total
57.0Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.956.6115.5+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.655.4114.0+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)59.257.6116.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)57.054.9111.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.857.0106.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.265.8121.0-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.857.0115.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)61.848.8110.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.528.1
56.8%
54.4%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.6
37.5%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.318.4
75.7%
78.2%18.4
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.825.8
52.9%
54.4%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.2
38.9%
36.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws18.916.2
85.7%
78.2%16.2
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWWLWWLW
Phoenix Suns
WWWLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#9
+4.4
Net rating
+4.2
113.5
Offensive rating
113.1
109.0
Defensive rating
108.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.5%
3-point %
38.9%
68.3%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 113.1Defence109.0 · 108.9Shooting56.6% · 55.2%3-point %37.5% · 38.9%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Off. rebounds21.5% · 23.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HPhoenix Suns106-125
13/04/24HAtlanta Hawks109-106
11/04/24ADenver Nuggets107-116
10/04/24HWashington Wizards130-121
08/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-117
06/04/24APhoenix Suns87-97
04/04/24HToronto Raptors133-85
03/04/24HHouston Rockets113-106
31/03/24HChicago Bulls101-109
30/03/24ADenver Nuggets111-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves125-106
13/04/24ASacramento Kings108-107
11/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-108
10/04/24HLos Angeles Clippers92-105
07/04/24HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
06/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves97-87
04/04/24HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
02/04/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-111
30/03/24AOklahoma City Thunder103-128
28/03/24ADenver Nuggets104-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWLWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %68%73%63%
Points / game113.0112.0114.0
Allowed / game106.5103.7109.3
Point differential+6.5+8.2+4.7
Avg total219.5215.7223.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%39%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)50% (14)71% (7)
Overtime %6%5%7%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %60%61%60%
Points / game116.4115.8117.0
Allowed / game113.3112.8113.7
Point differential+3.1+3.0+3.3
Avg total229.7228.7230.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%32%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)70% (10)50% (12)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics81641779%120.7109.1+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder82572570%120.1112.7+7.4
3 Denver Nuggets82572570%114.9109.6+5.3
4 Minnesota Timberwolves82562668%113.0106.5+6.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers82513162%115.6112.3+3.3
6 New York Knicks81503162%112.7107.7+4.9
7 Dallas Mavericks82503261%117.9115.6+2.2
8 Phoenix Suns81493260%116.4113.3+3.1
9 Milwaukee Bucks80483260%118.6116.1+2.5
10 New Orleans Pelicans82493360%115.0110.1+4.9
11 Cleveland Cavaliers83493459%112.4109.9+2.6
12 Philadelphia 76ers83483558%114.5111.5+3.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers81463557%117.9117.8+0.1
14 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
15 Orlando Magic83473657%110.1108.3+1.8
16 Indiana Pacers80453556%123.2120.4+2.9
17 Miami Heat84473756%110.1108.1+2.0
18 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27343128120
Phoenix Suns2823212395
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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