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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-125
30-25 34-26 24-32 28-42
Position#12
Record42-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#1
Record58-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game106.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
138-101
138
101
+37
138avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
135-121
135
121
+14
139avg 107
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-81
124
81
+43
119avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
132-102
132
102
+30
135avg 107
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-104
113
104
+9
105avg 107
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
149-139
149
139
+10
145avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
124-104
124
104
+20
116avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
138-119
138
119
+19
134avg 107
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 107
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
45-26
31-27
30-14
32-34
31-30
46-37
26-20
31-15
30-19
29-26
34-21
32-21
42-26
27-32
31-23
36-24
29-36
28-37
17-21
30-25
25-42
34-19
24-18
40-32
35-41
46-33
28-33
31-17
36-29
19-31
38-27
34-28
34-28
38-26
32-37
29-23
25-37
27-26
27-24
237.0Avg total
127.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.4112.0227.4+3.558%
Season at home (36)112.7106.9219.6+5.967%
Season away (37)118.0116.9234.9+1.149%
Last 10 (10)127.1109.9237.0+17.280%
Last 5 (5)126.4115.2241.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)124.0134.0258.0-10.00%
vs Similar (17)121.5119.2240.6+2.365%
vs Weaker (12)125.0110.2235.2+14.883%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#19
W
115-114
115
114
+1
105avg 109
H05/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
122-132
122
132
-10
112avg 109
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
102-99
102
99
+3
94avg 109
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
105avg 109
A10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
112-117
112
117
-5
105avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
140-111
140
111
+29
142avg 109
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
131-115
131
115
+16
129avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
129avg 109
A17/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
129-102
129
102
+27
129avg 109
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
122avg 109
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
32-31
23-38
34-21
33-30
30-30
27-31
32-41
28-22
25-21
26-28
23-28
29-27
28-28
34-19
20-16
24-30
28-26
30-40
30-21
48-22
31-34
40-34
21-21
33-29
34-30
31-26
33-30
35-31
24-27
36-24
34-30
30-27
31-21
34-24
34-30
22-26
27-33
34-28
27-23
233.4Avg total
121.8Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)114.9106.5221.3+8.481%
Season at home (38)115.5106.3221.8+9.279%
Season away (34)114.1106.6220.7+7.582%
Last 10 (10)121.8111.6233.4+10.280%
Last 5 (5)131.2112.8244.0+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)115.3107.7223.0+7.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)119.3109.5228.9+9.887%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A22/03
NBA
122.6Avg total
65.9Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.258.7121.9+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.053.4114.4+7.664%-
Last 30 away (16)65.163.4128.4+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)65.956.7122.6+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)63.860.4124.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (17)60.958.3119.2+2.665%-
vs Weaker (12)66.158.1124.2+8.058%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H05/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A16/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A17/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A20/03
NBA
114.7Avg total
59.8Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.854.1112.9+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.855.2116.0+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)56.652.9109.4+3.771%-
Last 10 (10)59.854.9114.7+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)63.056.0119.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)56.754.9111.6+1.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)59.453.9113.3+5.570%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 127.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.426.0
56.0%
53.1%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.517.1
40.2%
35.3%51.3
🏀 Free throws28.523.8
83.5%
77.4%23.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 121.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.233.3
56.2%
53.1%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.713.2
40.4%
35.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws18.315.6
85.2%
77.4%15.6
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#1
+16.4
Net rating
+9.9
120.9
Offensive rating
118.7
104.5
Defensive rating
108.7
58.1%
Effective FG%
57.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.3%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.20
40.2%
3-point %
40.4%
63.1%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.9 · 118.7Defence104.5 · 108.7Shooting58.1% · 57.8%3-point %40.2% · 40.4%Ball care12.9% · 11.3%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/22ADallas Mavericks108-110
19/03/22HMilwaukee Bucks138-119
17/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers124-104
15/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs149-139
13/03/22AMiami Heat113-104
12/03/22AOrlando Magic110-118
10/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder132-102
08/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers124-81
06/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers135-121
05/03/22AOklahoma City Thunder138-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22ASacramento Kings127-124 OT
19/03/22HChicago Bulls129-102
17/03/22AHouston Rockets129-112
16/03/22ANew Orleans Pelicans131-115
14/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers140-111
12/03/22HToronto Raptors112-117
10/03/22AMiami Heat111-90
09/03/22AOrlando Magic102-99
06/03/22AMilwaukee Bucks122-132
05/03/22HNew York Knicks115-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %58%67%49%
Points / game115.4112.7118.0
Allowed / game112.0106.9116.9
Point differential+3.5+5.9+1.1
Avg total227.4219.6234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)60% (5)60% (10)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %81%79%82%
Points / game114.9115.5114.1
Allowed / game106.5106.3106.6
Point differential+8.4+9.2+7.5
Avg total221.3221.8220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (19)56% (9)100% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns72581481%114.9106.5+8.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies73502368%114.9109.5+5.4
3 Golden State Warriors73482566%111.0105.0+6.0
4 Miami Heat73472664%109.4105.1+4.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks72452762%115.1111.1+4.0
6 Boston Celtics74462862%110.4103.8+6.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers71442762%108.5106.5+2.0
8 Utah Jazz73452862%113.7107.6+6.1
9 Dallas Mavericks72442861%106.7104.2+2.5
10 Denver Nuggets73433059%111.5109.0+2.6
11 Chicago Bulls72423058%111.8111.2+0.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves73423158%115.4112.0+3.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers72413157%107.4104.6+2.8
14 Toronto Raptors72403256%108.7107.3+1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets73383552%112.2112.0+0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets73373651%114.8114.6+0.2
17 Atlanta Hawks73363749%112.8112.2+0.6
18 Los Angeles Clippers74363849%106.8108.1-1.4
19 Los Angeles Lakers72314143%111.5114.1-2.6
20 New York Knicks73314242%106.3106.9-0.6
21 Washington Wizards71304142%108.3111.6-3.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans72304242%108.5109.9-1.3
23 San Antonio Spurs72284439%112.7113.6-1.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers71274438%107.4114.2-6.8
25 Sacramento Kings74264835%110.5115.8-5.3
26 Indiana Pacers73254834%110.9113.1-2.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder72205228%103.1111.0-7.9
28 Orlando Magic73205327%104.1111.8-7.7
29 Detroit Pistons73205327%104.4112.4-8.0
30 Houston Rockets72185425%109.0118.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30342428116
Phoenix Suns25263242125
← all games of the day
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