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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 120-117
22-31 32-33 32-26 34-27
Position#7
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#22
Record9-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Phoenix Suns
31 Jan 2027
MIN v PHX
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
MIN v PHX
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
MIN116
PHX104
08 Dec 2025
MIN105
PHX108
28 Mar 2025
MIN124
PHX109
17 Nov 2024
MIN120
PHX117
23 Apr 2024
MIN105
PHX93
20 Apr 2024
MIN120
PHX95
14 Apr 2024
MIN106
PHX125
13 Jan 2023
MIN121
PHX116
09 Nov 2022
MIN117
PHX129
23 Mar 2022
MIN116
PHX125
15 Nov 2021
MIN96
PHX99
28 Feb 2021
MIN99
PHX118
07 Apr 2020
MIN v PHX
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
MIN98
PHX100
20 Jan 2019
MIN116
PHX114
16 Dec 2017
MIN106
PHX108
26 Nov 2017
MIN119
PHX108
19 Dec 2016
MIN115
PHX108
28 Mar 2016
MIN121
PHX116
17 Jan 2016
MIN117
PHX87
20 Feb 2015
MIN111
PHX109
07 Jan 2015
MIN111
PHX113
23 Mar 2014
MIN120
PHX127
08 Jan 2014
MIN103
PHX104
13 Apr 2013
MIN105
PHX93
29 Dec 2012
MIN111
PHX107
09 Apr 2012
MIN90
PHX114
06 Apr 2011
MIN98
PHX108
28 Mar 2010
MIN105
PHX111
27 Nov 2009
MIN95
PHX120
11 Apr 2009
MIN97
PHX110
26 Nov 2008
MIN102
PHX110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
114-120
114
120
-6
116avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
119-116
119
116
+3
120avg 107
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
103-113
103
113
-10
90avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
110avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
135-119
135
119
+16
130avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
127-102
127
102
+25
124avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
108-122
108
122
-14
102avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
98-106
98
106
-8
77avg 107
A14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
116avg 107
A16/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
25-35
23-32
32-27
33-29
31-32
27-24
28-31
32-32
25-30
25-33
21-18
24-24
33-21
34-26
23-22
28-34
28-31
34-30
45-24
35-17
29-34
34-24
29-27
20-27
31-25
20-16
23-27
17-28
36-32
21-33
34-29
33-23
15-25
28-28
22-30
32-27
30-27
36-28
17-33
225.4Avg total
114.2Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)113.4110.6224.0+2.854%
Season at home (6)113.3104.5217.8+8.867%
Season away (7)113.4115.9229.3-2.443%
Last 10 (10)114.2111.2225.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)111.4110.2221.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)107.8105.5213.3+2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)113.8110.2224.0+3.655%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 110
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
125-119
125
119
+6
122avg 110
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 110
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-116
118
116
+2
114avg 110
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
115-112
115
112
+3
114avg 110
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
114-113
114
113
+1
106avg 110
A09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
118-127 OT
118
127
-9
106avg 110
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
120-112
120
112
+8
110avg 110
A13/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
104-127
104
127
-23
84avg 110
A14/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
72avg 110
A16/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
25-14
26-35
33-22
20-37
32-33
39-23
34-26
22-18
21-29
44-18
16-32
28-26
37-37
29-30
24-23
26-25
29-33
29-29
31-25
36-26
27-24
24-33
27-30
31-36
22-24
29-19
29-32
33-21
31-28
23-30
33-33
29-35
27-26
24-32
24-34
14-29
22-19
24-35
23-16
223.6Avg total
110.9Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.9112.7224.6-0.869%
Season at home (6)112.8109.8222.7+3.083%
Season away (7)111.1115.1226.3-4.057%
Last 10 (10)110.9112.7223.6-1.870%
Last 5 (5)107.8115.6223.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)106.8114.8221.5-8.050%
vs Similar (22)110.2110.5220.7-0.259%
vs Weaker (4)120.2109.2229.5+11.075%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A16/11
NBA
113.0Avg total
57.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.354.2107.5-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.154.5109.6+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)51.553.9105.3-2.420%-
Last 10 (10)57.155.9113.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.653.0108.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)51.653.9105.5-2.437%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)56.254.6110.8+1.536%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A14/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A16/11
NBA
109.1Avg total
53.7Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.854.3110.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.455.1110.5+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)56.153.7109.8+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)53.755.4109.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.453.6108.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)48.556.8105.2-8.225%-
vs Similar (22)56.254.5110.7+1.755%-
vs Weaker (4)61.050.8111.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.8
56.6%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.215.7
38.1%
35.9%47.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.5
79.5%
77.8%15.5
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.024.1
52.4%
54.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.714.8
35.5%
35.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws23.518.3
77.9%
77.8%18.3
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWWWLWL
Phoenix Suns
LLWLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#22
+3.0
Net rating
-1.8
113.0
Offensive rating
111.4
110.1
Defensive rating
113.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.1%
3-point %
35.5%
62.2%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 111.4Defence110.1 · 113.2Shooting56.9% · 52.8%3-point %38.1% · 35.5%Ball care15.4% · 11.6%Off. rebounds23.7% · 23.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ASacramento Kings130-126 OT
14/11/24APortland Trail Blazers98-106
13/11/24APortland Trail Blazers108-122
11/11/24HMiami Heat94-95
09/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers127-102
08/11/24AChicago Bulls135-119
05/11/24HCharlotte Hornets114-93
03/11/24ASan Antonio Spurs103-113
02/11/24HDenver Nuggets119-116
29/10/24HDallas Mavericks114-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AOklahoma City Thunder83-99
14/11/24ASacramento Kings104-127
13/11/24AUtah Jazz120-112
11/11/24HSacramento Kings118-127 OT
09/11/24ADallas Mavericks114-113
07/11/24HMiami Heat115-112
05/11/24HPhiladelphia 76ers118-116
03/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers103-97
01/11/24ALos Angeles Clippers125-119
29/10/24HLos Angeles Lakers109-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game113.4113.3113.4
Allowed / game110.6104.5115.9
Point differential+2.8+8.8-2.4
Avg total224.0217.8229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game111.9112.8111.1
Allowed / game112.7109.8115.1
Point differential-0.8+3.0-4.0
Avg total224.6222.7226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers14140100%123.4111.2+12.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder1311285%115.1102.2+12.9
3 Golden State Warriors1210283%121.3110.8+10.6
4 Boston Celtics1411379%121.6111.4+10.2
5 Houston Rockets139469%112.4106.0+6.4
6 Los Angeles Lakers139469%116.8115.8+0.9
7 Phoenix Suns139469%111.9112.7-0.8
8 Denver Nuggets117464%118.5116.5+2.0
9 Orlando Magic148657%106.7102.4+4.3
10 Sacramento Kings148657%117.5114.1+3.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies137654%120.8113.7+7.2
12 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%113.4110.6+2.8
13 New York Knicks126650%115.7112.2+3.5
14 Dallas Mavericks136746%113.9109.9+4.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers136746%109.2110.2-1.0
16 Atlanta Hawks136746%117.2120.8-3.7
17 Miami Heat115645%111.5111.2+0.3
18 San Antonio Spurs146843%109.0110.0-1.0
19 Detroit Pistons146843%108.6110.6-2.1
20 Indiana Pacers125742%113.6117.2-3.6
21 Charlotte Hornets125742%108.2112.8-4.5
22 Brooklyn Nets135838%111.9114.7-2.8
23 Chicago Bulls135838%116.2122.2-6.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers135838%106.8114.5-7.7
25 Milwaukee Bucks134931%111.2113.6-2.4
26 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%104.6113.3-8.6
27 Utah Jazz123925%107.4118.7-11.2
28 Washington Wizards112918%110.8123.9-13.1
29 Philadelphia 76ers1221017%104.5112.8-8.3
30 Toronto Raptors1421214%112.2119.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves22323234120
Phoenix Suns31332627117
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