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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 132-120
39-35 33-25 35-24 25-36
Position#3
Record10-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game108.6
vs
Position#26
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game122.8
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
123-101
123
101
+22
126avg 111
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
134-116
134
116
+18
134avg 111
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-105
108
105
+3
96avg 111
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 111
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
111-108
111
108
+3
109avg 111
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-115
110
115
-5
111avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
119-124
119
124
-5
111avg 111
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 111
A25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-31
35-21
37-27
25-27
34-44
40-21
35-24
26-21
27-26
23-31
32-27
30-23
20-23
26-28
28-33
28-26
32-26
24-32
27-24
28-36
25-33
33-26
24-20
27-29
31-37
17-26
34-29
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
28-28
34-28
26-26
31-42
19-29
24-31
26-24
17-21
221.6Avg total
111.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)111.9108.6220.4+3.362%
Season at home (7)118.6107.6226.1+11.0100%
Season away (9)106.7109.3216.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)111.1110.5221.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)106.2113.6219.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)113.7110.3224.0+3.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)109.099.9208.9+9.190%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-152
111
152
-41
95avg 105
A07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
105-126
105
126
-21
102avg 105
A09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
110-117
110
117
-7
99avg 105
H11/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
113-118
113
118
-5
115avg 105
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
87-123
87
123
-36
73avg 105
A15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
120-129
120
129
-9
115avg 105
H18/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 105
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
99-124
99
124
-25
91avg 105
H21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 105
H23/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
112-118
112
118
-6
102avg 105
A25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-44
33-42
26-33
24-33
16-33
35-32
21-34
33-27
27-22
27-34
19-34
37-27
29-15
24-35
31-32
29-36
25-28
23-30
18-33
21-32
31-29
31-33
32-33
26-34
35-26
33-25
26-36
14-33
27-33
28-33
22-25
22-33
14-26
34-28
22-28
32-27
35-32
20-27
26-27
31-32
230.3Avg total
106.7Scored
123.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)109.9122.8232.7-12.919%
Season at home (9)112.6120.9233.4-8.311%
Season away (7)106.4125.3231.7-18.929%
Last 10 (10)106.7123.6230.3-16.90%
Last 5 (5)108.2120.0228.2-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)112.3125.5237.9-13.227%
vs Similar (2)112.0121.5233.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (2)103.588.0191.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
54.5Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.0111.6+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.151.4107.5+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)57.158.1115.2-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)54.557.5112.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.461.2115.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)57.157.1114.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)55.750.6106.3+5.180%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H11/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H13/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H21/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H23/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
55.5Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.860.2117.0-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.559.8119.4-0.338%-
Last 30 away (17)54.860.5115.2-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)55.560.7116.2-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.4116.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)56.563.0119.5-6.523%-
vs Similar (2)61.043.0104.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)56.541.097.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.730.1
54.0%
54.4%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.6
35.5%
36.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
78.2%16.1
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.3
51.5%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.0
32.7%
36.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
78.2%14.1
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWLWWW
San Antonio Spurs
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#26
+0.6
Net rating
-16.2
113.7
Offensive rating
102.5
113.1
Defensive rating
118.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.5%
3-point %
32.7%
66.7%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 102.5Defence113.1 · 118.8Shooting53.7% · 50.5%3-point %35.5% · 32.7%Ball care11.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.3% · 23.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AHouston Rockets86-105
23/11/23AOrlando Magic119-124
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103
19/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-121
18/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-115
15/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-108
13/11/23AHouston Rockets104-107
09/11/23HGolden State Warriors108-105
07/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans134-116
05/11/23HChicago Bulls123-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AGolden State Warriors112-118
23/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers102-109
21/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers99-124
19/11/23HMemphis Grizzlies108-120
18/11/23HSacramento Kings120-129
15/11/23AOklahoma City Thunder87-123
13/11/23HMiami Heat113-118
11/11/23HMinnesota Timberwolves110-117
09/11/23ANew York Knicks105-126
07/11/23AIndiana Pacers111-152

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%100%33%
Points / game111.9118.6106.7
Allowed / game108.6107.6109.3
Point differential+3.3+11.0-2.7
Avg total220.4226.1216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %19%11%29%
Points / game109.9112.6106.4
Allowed / game122.8120.9125.3
Point differential-12.9-8.3-18.9
Avg total232.7233.4231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1713476%115.8107.3+8.5
2 Minnesota Timberwolves1612475%113.4106.4+7.0
3 Orlando Magic1712571%112.6107.4+5.3
4 Milwaukee Bucks1712571%120.4117.5+2.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder1611569%119.6111.2+8.3
6 Philadelphia 76ers1611569%119.4112.9+6.6
7 Phoenix Suns1711665%117.1113.2+3.9
8 Denver Nuggets1610662%111.9108.6+3.3
9 Dallas Mavericks1610662%119.4118.3+1.1
10 Indiana Pacers159660%128.8125.5+3.3
11 Sacramento Kings159660%115.5115.3+0.2
12 Miami Heat1710759%109.8107.8+2.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers1710759%112.9112.2+0.6
14 Houston Rockets148657%109.6104.4+5.3
15 New York Knicks169756%109.7105.9+3.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans179853%112.9112.9+0.0
17 Cleveland Cavaliers179853%110.8112.6-1.8
18 Atlanta Hawks168850%123.6121.1+2.4
19 Brooklyn Nets168850%115.3114.6+0.8
20 Golden State Warriors178947%114.2114.0+0.2
21 Toronto Raptors178947%111.9112.4-0.5
22 Los Angeles Clippers157847%112.3108.1+4.1
23 Charlotte Hornets1551033%114.1122.2-8.1
24 Utah Jazz1651131%114.2121.1-6.9
25 Chicago Bulls1851328%106.7112.2-5.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers1641225%104.2112.7-8.4
27 Memphis Grizzlies1631319%105.6114.1-8.4
28 San Antonio Spurs1631319%109.9122.8-12.9
29 Detroit Pistons1621412%109.8117.2-7.4
30 Washington Wizards1621412%115.5125.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets39333525132
San Antonio Spurs35252436120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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