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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 95-89
24-27 29-17 25-18 17-27
Position#3
Record16-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#8
Record9-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game93.7
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
90avg 84
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 84
H06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 84
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
98-83
98
83
+15
102avg 84
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
110-82
110
82
+28
108avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 84
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-98
91
98
-7
90avg 84
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
81avg 84
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
83avg 84
H10/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 84
H13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
19-20
22-24
14-23
31-20
28-28
15-21
21-20
29-20
19-29
23-19
17-25
23-23
27-17
25-24
23-19
31-22
39-15
18-24
22-21
19-16
19-23
23-15
19-29
24-24
21-22
22-20
24-32
20-20
23-27
18-30
30-25
30-30
18-25
21-24
22-18
22-27
28-27
19-28
21-11
183.7Avg total
93.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)92.790.3183.0+2.452%
Season at home (15)95.389.5184.8+5.960%
Season away (16)90.291.1181.4-0.944%
Last 10 (10)93.090.7183.7+2.340%
Last 5 (5)88.694.6183.2-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.4101.1186.6-15.711%
vs Similar (9)89.087.7176.7+1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.489.0181.4+3.450%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 76
H21/03
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
65avg 76
A03/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 76
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
77avg 76
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 76
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-98
81
98
-17
67avg 76
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 76
H29/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
106avg 76
A02/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 76
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 76
H12/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-15
19-15
24-15
20-26
23-26
19-21
15-23
16-16
20-28
30-15
20-26
20-34
20-18
20-31
24-18
21-27
31-21
17-19
21-22
13-29
21-20
24-25
23-24
18-15
26-8
9-27
16-17
30-16
23-23
13-22
19-24
22-13
19-24
24-14
21-19
22-22
14-19
31-21
23-33
172.2Avg total
85.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.293.7178.9-8.529%
Season at home (16)84.589.8174.2-5.238%
Season away (15)85.997.9183.8-11.920%
Last 10 (10)85.386.9172.2-1.660%
Last 5 (5)87.086.8173.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)83.893.0176.7-9.230%
vs Similar (3)86.786.7173.3+0.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
70-37
70
37
+33
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H10/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H13/05
LKL
95.3Avg total
50.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.446.893.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.148.296.3-0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)44.145.189.2-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)50.045.395.3+4.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.848.293.0-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.853.497.2-9.70%-
vs Similar (9)44.443.487.9+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)49.844.494.2+5.358%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H21/03
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A03/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A22/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H29/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A02/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/05
LKL
83.6Avg total
41.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.146.187.2-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.243.986.2-1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)39.748.688.3-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.983.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.879.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.646.687.2-5.933%-
vs Similar (3)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.4
60.4%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.8
37.1%
35.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
74.3%19.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.1
53.6%
55.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.9
36.3%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
74.3%12.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLLWWLWW
Jonava
LWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#8
+2.9
Net rating
-1.7
106.5
Offensive rating
98.5
103.6
Defensive rating
100.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.1%
3-point %
36.3%
67.9%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 98.5Defence103.6 · 100.2Shooting58.2% · 53.9%3-point %37.1% · 36.3%Ball care13.5% · 13.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Jonava v Neptunas81-64
07/12/25Jonava v Neptunas117-124 OT
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas90-93
10/05/26HGargzdai91-97
02/05/26AJuventus91-102
29/04/26HRytas91-98
26/04/26ALietkabelis80-83
23/04/26ANevezis110-82
19/04/26HSiauliai98-83
11/04/26HNevezis88-93
06/04/26HJuventus95-89
28/03/26HLietkabelis96-87 OT
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/26HJuventus90-95
09/05/26HSiauliai86-70
02/05/26AGargzdai109-104 OT
29/04/26HLietkabelis69-67
22/04/26ARytas81-98
18/04/26HNevezis90-89
14/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas84-101
11/04/26AJuventus86-85
03/04/26ASiauliai77-96
21/03/26HNeptunas81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%60%44%
Points / game92.795.390.2
Allowed / game90.389.591.1
Point differential+2.4+5.9-0.9
Avg total183.0184.8181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL29%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %29%38%20%
Points / game85.284.585.9
Allowed / game93.789.897.9
Point differential-8.5-5.2-11.9
Avg total178.9174.2183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3231197%91.276.8+14.5
2 Rytas32201262%92.885.3+7.5
3 Siauliai32171553%85.387.6-2.3
4 Neptunas31161552%92.790.3+2.4
5 Lietkabelis32151747%83.480.8+2.6
6 Gargzdai32151747%83.887.4-3.7
7 Juventus32122038%87.490.5-3.1
8 Jonava3192229%85.293.7-8.5
9 Nevezis3282425%82.992.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2429251795
Jonava2717182789
← all games of the day
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