PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-77
17-19 17-18 24-21 12-19
Position#6
Record7-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game78.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 79
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 79
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 79
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 79
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 79
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 79
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 79
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 79
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 79
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 79
A17/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
31-16
21-16
10-22
26-22
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
162.9Avg total
84.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.984.0168.9+0.950%
Season at home (6)86.581.8168.3+4.767%
Season away (8)83.885.6169.4-1.938%
Last 10 (10)84.678.3162.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)77.877.0154.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.296.9182.1-11.612%
vs Similar (8)84.584.8169.2-0.262%
vs Weaker (14)90.781.6172.4+9.179%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 86
H11/11
LKL
Opava
#51
W
99-63
99
63
+36
96avg 86
H14/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
101-89
101
89
+12
100avg 86
A18/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
60avg 86
H25/11
LKL
Promitheas
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 86
H29/11
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#7
W
77-60
77
60
+17
74avg 86
A02/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-77
101
77
+24
98avg 86
A09/12
LKL
Opava
#51
W
95-75
95
75
+20
93avg 86
A12/12
Champions League
Gargzdai
#12
W
110-79
110
79
+31
116avg 86
H16/12
LKL
Dijon
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 86
H19/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
22-10
24-20
19-17
26-17
22-23
30-12
21-11
21-24
21-22
32-26
27-17
19-18
16-21
22-20
17-25
27-23
24-15
11-17
15-20
18-18
27-20
17-14
15-8
22-19
24-27
26-12
29-19
24-18
24-19
25-18
22-20
22-25
37-15
22-15
29-24
22-17
18-18
22-24
17-18
166.0Avg total
90.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.078.8171.8+14.286%
Season at home (8)90.676.8167.4+13.975%
Season away (6)96.281.5177.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.675.4166.0+15.290%
Last 5 (5)92.473.6166.0+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.687.8172.4-3.240%
vs Similar (5)76.479.6156.0-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.278.8173.1+15.595%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
82.3Avg total
42.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.586.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.445.187.6-2.729%-
Last 30 away (16)44.940.285.2+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.782.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.846.489.1-3.638%-
vs Similar (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (14)45.441.987.3+3.650%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H11/11
LKL
Opava
#51
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/11
LKL
Promitheas
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/11
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A02/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/12
LKL
Opava
#51
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/12
Champions League
Gargzdai
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H16/12
LKL
Dijon
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H19/12
Champions League
86.1Avg total
46.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.885.7+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.338.984.2+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.987.4+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.786.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.286.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.644.086.6-1.420%-
vs Similar (5)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.239.887.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
55.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.4
38.5%
34.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
73.2%12.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.7
61.4%
55.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.6%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.116.7
72.3%
73.2%16.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWLWWLWW
Rytas
WWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#2
+8.4
Net rating
+20.5
115.0
Offensive rating
118.2
106.6
Defensive rating
97.7
57.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
43.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.5%
3-point %
30.6%
70.4%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 118.2Defence106.6 · 97.7Shooting57.4% · 54.4%3-point %38.5% · 30.6%Ball care18.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 43.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
9
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Rytas v Neptunas93-75
14/05/23Neptunas v Rytas91-95
12/05/23Rytas v Neptunas107-99 OT
10/04/23Neptunas v Rytas86-90
28/01/23Neptunas v Rytas70-82
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
27/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas88-76
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HDijon79-77
16/12/23HGargzdai110-79
12/12/23AOpava95-75
09/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes101-77
02/12/23AMazeikiai77-60
29/11/23HPromitheas77-75
25/11/23HBC Wolves74-84
18/11/23AJonava101-89
14/11/23HOpava99-63
11/11/23HNeptunas93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%67%38%
Points / game84.986.583.8
Allowed / game84.081.885.6
Point differential+0.9+4.7-1.9
Avg total168.9168.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Rytas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game93.090.696.2
Allowed / game78.876.881.5
Point differential+14.2+13.9+14.7
Avg total171.8167.4177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%75%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1412286%93.078.8+14.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%81.470.6+10.8
3 BC Wolves1411379%83.476.9+6.5
4 Juventus149564%89.077.7+11.3
5 Lietkabelis138562%85.583.6+1.8
6 Neptunas147750%84.984.0+0.9
7 Jonava146843%80.484.0-3.6
8 Mazeikiai135838%74.981.2-6.3
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
10 Nevezis1431121%83.191.4-8.4
11 Gargzdai1431121%77.792.9-15.2
12 Siauliai1421214%79.088.6-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1717241270
Rytas1918211977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.