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Neptunas vs Rytas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 May 2019
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#2
Record30-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#3
Record28-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game76.9
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Semi-finals
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H18/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H28/04
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A03/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A09/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H15/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H19/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
13-13
16-16
21-16
15-19
23-12
21-14
14-24
31-18
18-25
28-19
24-25
21-21
20-15
21-19
24-21
23-21
14-7
17-21
21-19
26-18
23-27
27-14
20-16
17-23
24-27
19-26
20-14
17-22
31-14
26-21
28-21
22-33
36-18
13-16
14-27
21-14
16-22
22-18
18-17
162.1Avg total
84.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.878.1162.9+6.877%
Season at home (20)86.077.8163.8+8.275%
Season away (19)83.778.3162.0+5.479%
Last 10 (10)84.577.6162.1+6.980%
Last 5 (5)88.081.6169.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.484.8164.2-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.273.5150.8+3.862%
vs Weaker (17)86.580.0166.5+6.582%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H24/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A28/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
117-82
117
82
+35
A01/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
84-57
84
57
+27
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A12/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
H15/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A17/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H19/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
14-22
20-26
34-17
18-13
10-21
23-15
17-21
15-27
22-12
20-13
23-22
20-28
15-15
10-22
29-18
28-21
31-15
25-23
33-23
16-19
24-11
24-13
20-14
17-21
13-32
25-18
20-20
22-24
24-27
19-18
28-22
17-22
24-26
25-23
17-21
23-11
19-19
24-15
18-18
164.0Avg total
85.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.176.9160.9+7.272%
Season at home (20)83.374.5157.8+8.870%
Season away (19)84.879.3164.2+5.574%
Last 10 (10)85.079.0164.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)83.878.8162.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.883.8154.7-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.977.1153.0-1.343%
vs Weaker (17)87.176.9164.0+10.188%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H25/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/04
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A09/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H15/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A17/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/05
LKL
82.3Avg total
43.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.281.2+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.138.680.8+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)42.039.881.8+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.282.3+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.690.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.641.279.8-2.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.436.277.6+5.175%-
vs Weaker (17)43.439.983.4+3.576%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A01/05
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A12/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H15/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A17/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H19/05
LKL
80.4Avg total
39.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.038.378.3+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.740.280.9+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.880.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.237.774.8-0.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.938.776.6-0.943%-
vs Weaker (17)42.540.182.6+2.459%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.5
47.2%
55.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.9
33.2%
35.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
73.8%14.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLWWWWWW
Rytas
WLWLWWLWLW
#2
League position
#3
+9.4
Net rating
-1.0
97.6
Offensive rating
104.3
88.2
Defensive rating
105.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
12.9%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
33.2%
60.0%
Assist %
62.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 104.3Defence88.2 · 105.3Shooting52.6% · 48.2%3-point %37.0% · 33.2%Ball care20.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds12.9% · 29.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
6
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
10/04/19Neptunas v Rytas89-74
30/03/19Rytas v Neptunas70-52
18/11/18Neptunas v Rytas78-93
03/11/18Rytas v Neptunas66-78
06/06/18Rytas v Neptunas88-82
04/06/18Neptunas v Rytas74-70
02/06/18Rytas v Neptunas74-67
30/05/18Neptunas v Rytas49-67
28/05/18Rytas v Neptunas79-84
22/04/18Neptunas v Rytas72-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HSkycop77-71
17/05/19ASkycop85-94
15/05/19HSkycop102-78
09/05/19AZalgiris Kaunas80-90
05/05/19HSiauliai96-75
03/05/19ASkycop75-68
28/04/19HNevezis86-76
25/04/19HJuventus101-87
22/04/19ALietkabelis73-69
18/04/19HAlytaus Dzukija70-68
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HJuventus84-63
17/05/19AJuventus83-92
15/05/19HJuventus93-91
12/05/19AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
05/05/19HSkycop84-57
01/05/19ASiauliai117-82
28/04/19ALietkabelis74-83
24/04/19HPieno Zvaigzdes80-74
17/04/19HNevezis68-70
14/04/19AJuventus92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWWLL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %77%75%79%
Points / game84.886.083.7
Allowed / game78.177.878.3
Point differential+6.8+8.2+5.4
Avg total162.9163.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %8%5%11%
Rytas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLWLL74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %72%70%74%
Points / game84.183.384.8
Allowed / game76.974.579.3
Point differential+7.2+8.8+5.5
Avg total160.9157.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3834489%87.470.6+16.8
2 Neptunas3930977%84.878.1+6.8
3 Rytas39281172%84.176.9+7.2
4 Lietkabelis38251366%83.679.6+3.9
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes38162242%83.288.1-4.8
6 Juventus39162341%82.682.4+0.1
7 Skycop39142536%77.784.6-6.9
8 Alytaus Dzukija38122632%79.883.7-3.8
9 Nevezis3682822%74.986.0-11.1
10 Siauliai3672919%82.492.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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