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Neptunas vs Rytas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 05 May 2027
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 80
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 80
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 80
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 80
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
176.7Avg total
86.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.656%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%
vs Weaker (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 87
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 87
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 87
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 87
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 87
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 87
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
102-82
102
82
+20
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
32-16
20-20
22-25
28-21
171.3Avg total
87.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)87.983.4171.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)92.085.8177.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.584.5164.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)93.085.6178.6+7.480%
vs Weaker (23)90.884.5175.3+6.370%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.3-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.538.584.1+7.082%-
vs Weaker (13)44.543.588.0+1.154%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
Champions League
83.7Avg total
44.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.485.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.787.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.383.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.687.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.042.085.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker (23)46.041.287.1+4.870%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWL
Rytas
WLWLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+2.5
98.4
Offensive rating
99.7
100.1
Defensive rating
97.2
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.44
32.8%
3-point %
33.9%
64.0%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 99.7Defence100.1 · 97.2Shooting51.8% · 55.3%3-point %32.8% · 33.9%Ball care15.6% · 15.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Rytas v Neptunas86-77
29/04/26Neptunas v Rytas91-98
14/02/26Rytas v Neptunas100-95
31/01/26Neptunas v Rytas95-87
18/10/25Rytas v Neptunas97-93
24/04/25Rytas v Neptunas103-85
12/04/25Neptunas v Rytas92-85
18/01/25Rytas v Neptunas77-92
04/01/25Neptunas v Rytas76-94
21/12/24Neptunas v Rytas67-78
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNanterre102-82
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.289.879.5
Allowed / game84.781.488.8
Point differential+0.6+8.4-9.2
Avg total169.9171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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