PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-89
17-24 19-13 12-30 33-22
Position#5
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 75
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 75
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 75
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
92avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
168.4Avg total
80.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.283.2150.5-16.025%
Season at home (2)64.076.0140.0-12.050%
Season away (2)70.590.5161.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)80.987.5168.4-6.640%
Last 5 (5)78.885.4164.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.887.6160.4-14.87%
vs Similar (12)83.182.1165.2+1.067%
vs Weaker (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
99avg 79
A27/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 79
H30/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 79
A02/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
62avg 79
H05/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
59avg 79
A07/06
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
76-66
76
66
+10
no box
A18/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H25/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
89-111
89
111
-22
no box
H02/10
LKL
Oldenburg
#35
L
72-76
72
76
-4
61avg 79
A06/10
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
85-71
85
71
+14
95avg 79
H09/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
19-17
29-19
19-16
25-24
20-20
20-24
22-12
23-23
12-28
24-20
16-19
16-25
23-21
15-21
16-25
15-16
23-25
15-23
20-20
19-17
13-17
19-17
25-15
17-16
23-15
26-14
13-31
20-24
17-31
26-26
26-30
18-16
20-21
21-21
13-18
19-15
21-26
22-14
23-16
162.0Avg total
80.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.281.0163.2+1.275%
Season at home (3)84.386.0170.3-1.767%
Season away (1)76.066.0142.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.082.0162.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.280.0160.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.088.2165.2-11.220%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.476.1164.5+12.480%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.678.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.038.078.0+2.069%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.579.8-3.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.541.979.5-4.427%-
vs Similar (12)39.938.178.0+1.867%-
vs Weaker (3)44.734.379.0+10.367%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A27/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A02/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/06
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A18/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H02/10
LKL
Oldenburg
#35
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/10
LKL
80.9Avg total
39.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.982.3+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.740.884.4+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.038.979.9+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.980.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.444.884.2-5.420%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.038.981.9+4.256%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
53.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
33.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
73.1%13.2
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
33.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
73.1%15.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWWWLLLW
Rytas
WLLWWLLLWW
#5
League position
#1
-10.5
Net rating
-1.7
105.9
Offensive rating
113.7
116.3
Defensive rating
115.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
22.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.6%
3-point %
34.7%
64.9%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 113.7Defence116.3 · 115.4Shooting55.6% · 52.9%3-point %36.6% · 34.7%Ball care22.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
17/10/20Neptunas v Rytas60-98
18/01/20Rytas v Neptunas92-69
24/11/19Neptunas v Rytas91-84
28/09/19Rytas v Neptunas85-75
10/04/19Neptunas v Rytas89-74
30/03/19Rytas v Neptunas70-52
18/11/18Neptunas v Rytas78-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21HLietkabelis85-71
06/10/21AOldenburg72-76
02/10/21HJuventus89-111
25/09/21HSiauliai79-76
18/09/21APieno Zvaigzdes76-66
07/06/21AZalgiris Kaunas73-84
05/06/21HZalgiris Kaunas70-92
02/06/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-90
30/05/21HLietkabelis87-80
27/05/21ALietkabelis94-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.264.070.5
Allowed / game83.276.090.5
Point differential-16.0-12.0-20.0
Avg total150.5140.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game82.284.376.0
Allowed / game81.086.066.0
Point differential+1.2-1.7+10.0
Avg total163.2170.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%89.479.4+10.0
2 Jonava43175%79.872.8+7.0
3 Juventus43175%86.079.0+7.0
4 Rytas43175%82.281.0+1.2
5 Alytaus Dzukija53260%78.278.2+0.0
6 Lietkabelis63350%77.068.7+8.3
7 Siauliai42250%76.271.5+4.8
8 Nevezis31233%76.378.7-2.3
9 Neptunas41325%67.283.2-16.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes5050%68.880.0-11.2
11 Prienai4040%72.285.5-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1719123381
Rytas2413302289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.