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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 70-82
15-22 21-20 11-27 23-13
Position#7
Record7-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record11-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game83.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 71
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 71
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 71
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 71
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 71
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 71
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
154.9Avg total
78.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.280.3158.5-2.147%
Season at home (7)85.681.0166.6+4.657%
Season away (8)71.879.8151.5-8.038%
Last 10 (10)78.576.4154.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)72.477.2149.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.682.0157.6-6.442%
vs Similar (6)75.577.3152.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (12)91.283.0174.2+8.267%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 80
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 80
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
85-62
85
62
+23
89avg 80
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 80
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 80
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
98-77
98
77
+21
102avg 80
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
82-63
82
63
+19
75avg 80
H17/01
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
W
98-78 OT
98
78
+20
no box
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#14
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 80
A24/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
28-27
17-28
24-15
17-20
28-20
23-17
17-21
31-18
23-26
17-19
15-21
23-16
23-16
19-12
20-18
14-24
15-26
24-16
23-22
23-17
11-29
24-11
20-24
19-26
39-12
19-19
21-20
18-15
23-22
22-13
19-13
22-23
27-19
13-20
19-11
19-19
18-26
12-18
20-19
165.8Avg total
86.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.483.9173.3+5.573%
Season at home (8)91.486.5177.9+4.962%
Season away (7)87.181.0168.1+6.186%
Last 10 (10)86.479.4165.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)85.076.2161.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.0166.7-1.367%
vs Similar (5)80.883.0163.8-2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.279.3166.5+7.973%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
76.4Avg total
40.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.579.3+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.840.283.0+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)37.138.976.0-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.176.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.939.477.3-1.542%-
vs Similar (6)36.841.278.0-4.350%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.881.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/01
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
Champions League
86.5Avg total
44.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.682.9+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.283.3+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.182.5+2.257%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.286.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.685.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.045.788.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.738.582.3+5.273%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.4
50.0%
54.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.716.5
72.7%
74.2%16.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
54.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.115.0
78.5%
74.2%15.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLLWWLWLW
Rytas
LWWWLLWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+2.5
Net rating
+6.3
104.1
Offensive rating
111.9
101.7
Defensive rating
105.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
35.0%
63.0%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 111.9Defence101.7 · 105.6Shooting48.7% · 52.5%3-point %31.3% · 35.0%Ball care18.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.8% · 39.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
17/10/20Neptunas v Rytas60-98
18/01/20Rytas v Neptunas92-69
24/11/19Neptunas v Rytas91-84
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AJonava75-76
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
12/12/22HNevezis86-79
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/23AManresa69-82
21/01/23HNevezis98-78 OT
17/01/23HPAOK82-63
14/01/23HPrienai98-77
11/01/23APAOK78-81
07/01/23HBC Wolves76-88
03/01/23HPAOK85-62
28/12/22ANevezis86-84
21/12/22HTenerife85-78
17/12/22HSiauliai107-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game78.285.671.8
Allowed / game80.381.079.8
Point differential-2.1+4.6-8.0
Avg total158.5166.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%62%86%
Points / game89.491.487.1
Allowed / game83.986.581.0
Point differential+5.5+4.9+6.1
Avg total173.3177.9168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1615194%87.770.4+17.3
2 Rytas1511473%89.483.9+5.5
3 BC Wolves1611569%84.179.9+4.2
4 Juventus1611569%85.181.9+3.2
5 Jonava159660%81.779.1+2.5
6 Lietkabelis1710759%84.281.9+2.2
7 Siauliai168850%81.082.2-1.2
8 Neptunas157847%78.280.3-2.1
9 Nevezis167944%80.281.1-0.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1531220%78.388.4-10.1
11 Gargzdai1621412%77.385.0-7.7
12 Prienai171166%77.089.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1521112370
Rytas2220271382
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