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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-104
29-29 23-30 21-24 24-21
Position#3
Record51-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#9
Record42-29
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
115-109
115
109
+6
111avg 109
H08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
142-121
142
121
+21
149avg 109
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 109
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-106
117
106
+11
119avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 109
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-112
115
112
+3
116avg 109
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 109
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 109
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 109
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
32-26
28-26
25-29
38-22
40-22
24-44
40-33
32-34
19-34
42-30
32-21
26-19
24-25
22-27
28-17
37-18
21-31
28-30
31-27
34-30
27-28
18-26
26-23
35-28
35-27
17-29
28-28
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
225.0Avg total
117.4Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)114.8110.0224.8+4.871%
Season at home (35)119.0109.1228.2+9.983%
Season away (37)110.9110.8221.7+0.159%
Last 10 (10)117.4107.6225.0+9.890%
Last 5 (5)115.0106.6221.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)108.5104.5213.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.2107.3213.6-1.156%
vs Weaker (12)122.2109.8231.9+12.4100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 111
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
96avg 111
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
117-111
117
111
+6
111avg 111
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
112-127
112
127
-15
105avg 111
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-96
107
96
+11
111avg 111
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
129-140
129
140
-11
132avg 111
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
115-102
115
102
+13
120avg 111
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
128-115
128
115
+13
130avg 111
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
131-106
131
106
+25
133avg 111
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
102-104
102
104
-2
101avg 111
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-25
28-28
22-29
31-31
26-31
24-31
28-25
29-30
32-41
31-29
34-21
20-20
32-35
28-30
25-37
27-25
28-26
26-19
38-22
15-29
36-39
24-43
34-27
35-31
21-23
39-24
30-19
25-36
30-37
35-23
31-33
32-22
26-17
39-30
38-24
28-35
22-29
28-18
24-28
28-29
229.9Avg total
116.8Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)117.3114.3231.5+3.059%
Season at home (37)117.1114.1231.2+3.162%
Season away (34)117.4114.5231.9+2.956%
Last 10 (10)116.8113.1229.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)121.0113.4234.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.7120.7230.3-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)117.2114.7231.9+2.559%
vs Weaker (10)122.9111.0233.9+11.980%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
61.7Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.0113.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.154.5115.6+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)56.355.5111.8+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)61.751.9113.6+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)63.652.0115.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.557.5116.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.956.4112.2-0.556%-
vs Weaker (12)62.252.8115.0+9.375%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A26/03
NBA
117.2Avg total
59.4Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.058.1119.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.057.5117.5+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)61.858.5120.4+3.359%-
Last 10 (10)59.457.8117.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)60.056.6116.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.064.3118.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.859.1118.9+0.747%-
vs Weaker (10)65.254.4119.6+10.890%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.834.5
57.7%
54.4%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.9
40.2%
36.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.7
80.1%
78.2%15.7
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.932.2
59.7%
54.4%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.4
40.4%
36.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws15.912.2
76.7%
78.2%12.2
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
LWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#9
+10.0
Net rating
+3.8
120.3
Offensive rating
118.7
110.3
Defensive rating
115.0
58.5%
Effective FG%
60.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
11.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.18
40.2%
3-point %
40.4%
68.3%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 118.7Defence110.3 · 115.0Shooting58.5% · 60.0%3-point %40.2% · 40.4%Ball care11.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
20/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-112
17/03/24ADallas Mavericks105-107
16/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs117-106
13/03/24AMiami Heat100-88
12/03/24HToronto Raptors125-119
10/03/24HUtah Jazz142-121
08/03/24HBoston Celtics115-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs102-104
24/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs131-106
22/03/24HAtlanta Hawks128-115
21/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers115-102
17/03/24AMilwaukee Bucks129-140
15/03/24ACharlotte Hornets107-96
14/03/24ABoston Celtics112-127
11/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers117-111
10/03/24HBoston Celtics107-117
08/03/24HToronto Raptors120-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %71%83%59%
Points / game114.8119.0110.9
Allowed / game110.0109.1110.8
Point differential+4.8+9.9+0.1
Avg total224.8228.2221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%51%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)40% (5)57% (14)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713734
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game117.3117.1117.4
Allowed / game114.3114.1114.5
Point differential+3.0+3.1+2.9
Avg total231.5231.2231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)70% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics71571480%121.2109.4+11.8
2 Denver Nuggets72512171%114.8110.0+4.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder72502269%120.4113.2+7.2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves72502269%113.1106.3+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks70452564%120.3116.8+3.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers72452762%116.3112.9+3.5
7 New York Knicks71442762%112.3107.0+5.3
8 New Orleans Pelicans70432761%115.9110.1+5.8
9 Cleveland Cavaliers73442960%112.7109.4+3.3
10 Dallas Mavericks72432960%118.8116.6+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns71422959%117.3114.3+3.0
12 Sacramento Kings71422959%117.3116.1+1.2
13 Orlando Magic72423058%110.6108.7+1.9
14 Los Angeles Lakers71393255%118.0118.4-0.4
15 Indiana Pacers72393354%122.9121.1+1.8
16 Miami Heat72393354%109.3108.9+0.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers73393453%114.1112.0+2.1
18 Golden State Warriors72383453%118.0116.2+1.9
19 Houston Rockets72373551%114.4112.6+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls73353848%112.2113.6-1.4
21 Atlanta Hawks72333946%119.2120.5-1.3
22 Utah Jazz73294440%116.5120.8-4.2
23 Brooklyn Nets73284538%111.0113.5-2.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies73244933%106.1113.1-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers73195426%107.6115.8-8.3
27 Charlotte Hornets72185425%106.3116.8-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs73175623%111.9119.2-7.2
29 Washington Wizards73145919%113.7123.4-9.7
30 Detroit Pistons73126116%110.8120.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2923212497
Phoenix Suns29302421104
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