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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 140-129
39-36 43-24 27-34 31-35
Position#8
Record42-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game116.9
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#9
Record39-27
FormWLWLW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-98
119
98
+21
126avg 112
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
123-85
123
85
+38
124avg 112
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-99
111
99
+12
102avg 112
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
113-97
113
97
+16
104avg 112
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
109avg 112
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
90-125
90
125
-35
71avg 112
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-123
122
123
-1
115avg 112
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-117
124
117
+7
118avg 112
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
94-129
94
129
-35
84avg 112
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-21
34-27
26-34
24-16
32-16
26-10
38-23
27-36
35-25
35-26
22-23
19-25
33-24
25-20
24-28
31-25
25-35
23-20
25-26
40-25
32-40
26-38
23-15
9-32
30-27
33-40
27-29
32-27
29-33
30-29
32-23
33-32
30-38
26-37
22-20
16-34
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
220.7Avg total
112.3Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)120.0116.9236.9+3.265%
Season at home (31)122.1115.3237.4+6.881%
Season away (34)118.2118.3236.4-0.150%
Last 10 (10)112.3108.4220.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)108.8119.8228.6-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)135.0102.0237.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.9116.1230.0-2.257%
vs Weaker (8)118.9108.9227.8+10.062%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 110
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
110-105
110
105
+5
97avg 110
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
109-118
109
118
-9
102avg 110
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
110-118
110
118
-8
105avg 110
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
117-107 OT
117
107
+10
113avg 110
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 110
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
96avg 110
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
117-111
117
111
+6
111avg 110
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
112-127
112
127
-15
105avg 110
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-96
107
96
+11
111avg 110
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
45-28
27-35
23-27
28-23
33-17
31-36
22-22
24-30
19-38
25-16
35-35
30-29
24-28
28-38
33-23
25-29
28-32
37-18
25-31
12-21
39-25
28-28
22-29
31-31
26-31
24-31
28-25
29-30
32-41
31-29
34-21
20-20
32-35
28-30
25-37
27-25
28-26
26-19
38-22
15-29
225.7Avg total
113.2Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)117.0114.3231.3+2.759%
Season at home (35)116.9114.4231.2+2.560%
Season away (31)117.1114.3231.4+2.858%
Last 10 (10)113.2112.5225.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)112.6112.8225.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.7120.7230.3-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)117.6113.3230.9+4.368%
vs Weaker (8)124.4112.6237.0+11.888%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A25/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
70-51
70
51
+19
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
115.9Avg total
59.2Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.456.7116.1+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.052.6112.6+7.462%-
Last 30 away (17)59.059.8118.8-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)59.256.7115.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)57.868.6126.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.038.0113.0+37.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)57.259.4116.6-2.238%-
vs Weaker (8)63.451.9115.2+11.575%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/03
NBA
117.2Avg total
59.1Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.858.4120.2+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.359.2118.5+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)63.657.9121.5+5.865%-
Last 10 (10)59.158.1117.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)58.859.0117.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.064.3118.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)60.458.4118.8+2.153%-
vs Weaker (8)67.956.4124.2+11.588%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.7
55.1%
54.4%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.7
37.4%
36.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws23.418.8
80.3%
78.2%18.8
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.129.6
53.7%
54.4%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.6
36.4%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
78.2%16.2
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLWWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#9
+4.0
Net rating
+0.7
114.9
Offensive rating
112.3
110.9
Defensive rating
111.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
36.4%
63.7%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 112.3Defence110.9 · 111.7Shooting55.6% · 54.1%3-point %37.4% · 36.4%Ball care11.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds18.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
07/02/24Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks114-106
15/03/23Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks104-116
26/02/23Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns104-101
06/03/22Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns132-122
11/02/22Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks131-107
21/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns105-98
18/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks119-123
15/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-103
12/07/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns120-100
09/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-108
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/03/24ASacramento Kings94-129
10/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-117
09/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers122-123
07/03/24AGolden State Warriors90-125
05/03/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-106
02/03/24AChicago Bulls113-97
01/03/24ACharlotte Hornets111-99
28/02/24HCharlotte Hornets123-85
25/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers119-98
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ACharlotte Hornets107-96
14/03/24ABoston Celtics112-127
11/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers117-111
10/03/24HBoston Celtics107-117
08/03/24HToronto Raptors120-113
06/03/24ADenver Nuggets117-107 OT
04/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder110-118
03/03/24HHouston Rockets109-118
01/03/24HHouston Rockets110-105
25/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers123-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %65%81%50%
Points / game120.0122.1118.2
Allowed / game116.9115.3118.3
Point differential+3.2+6.8-0.1
Avg total236.9237.4236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)100% (7)33% (9)
Overtime %5%6%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663531
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game117.0116.9117.1
Allowed / game114.3114.4114.3
Point differential+2.7+2.5+2.8
Avg total231.3231.2231.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%26%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)70% (10)50% (10)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics65521380%121.0109.5+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder67472070%120.7113.1+7.6
3 Denver Nuggets67472070%114.8110.3+4.6
4 Minnesota Timberwolves67462169%113.3106.6+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks65422365%120.0116.9+3.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers66422464%116.8112.7+4.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers67422563%113.6109.6+4.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans65402562%116.4110.6+5.8
9 New York Knicks66402661%111.8107.3+4.5
10 Phoenix Suns66392759%117.0114.3+2.7
11 Sacramento Kings65382758%118.0116.9+1.1
12 Orlando Magic67392858%110.7109.2+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks67382957%119.0117.7+1.3
14 Philadelphia 76ers67373055%115.1112.6+2.4
15 Indiana Pacers66363055%123.1121.3+1.8
16 Miami Heat66363055%110.1109.6+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors66353153%118.4116.8+1.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers66343252%117.1118.4-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls68333549%112.1113.6-1.6
20 Houston Rockets67323548%113.2112.5+0.8
21 Atlanta Hawks66293744%119.4121.3-1.9
22 Utah Jazz67293843%117.4120.7-3.3
23 Brooklyn Nets67264139%111.7114.0-2.3
24 Toronto Raptors67234434%113.9118.1-4.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies68234534%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers67194828%107.7115.9-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets68175125%106.8116.7-9.9
28 San Antonio Spurs67145321%112.2119.8-7.6
29 Detroit Pistons66125418%112.1120.3-8.2
30 Washington Wizards67115616%114.0123.9-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks39432731140
Phoenix Suns36243435129
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