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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game94.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Unipol Forum
European cup2026
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
175.0Avg total
86.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.090.2172.2-8.211%
Season at home (4)88.593.2181.8-4.825%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.988.1175.0-1.220%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.790.2173.9-6.611%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
113-60
113
60
+53
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
101-93
101
93
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
178.9Avg total
90.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (5)84.695.0179.6-10.440%
Last 10 (10)90.388.6178.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.294.0180.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.494.4179.9-9.022%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (21)89.574.2163.7+15.386%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.087.4+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.344.988.2-1.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.744.385.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#17
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
43.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.884.2+4.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.238.383.5+6.984%-
Last 30 away (11)43.042.385.3+0.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.247.190.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.286.4-12.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.348.789.0-8.344%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (21)46.136.082.1+10.290%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
77.1%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLLWLLWLL
Bayern
LLWLLWWLWL
#19
League position
#18
-1.4
Net rating
+2.0
100.0
Offensive rating
103.8
101.4
Defensive rating
101.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
37.8%
66.8%
Assist %
65.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 103.8Defence101.4 · 101.8Shooting55.5% · 57.5%3-point %36.0% · 37.8%Ball care16.5% · 16.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game82.088.576.8
Allowed / game90.293.287.8
Point differential-8.2-4.8-11.0
Avg total172.2181.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game85.486.584.6
Allowed / game94.493.895.0
Point differential-9.0-7.2-10.4
Avg total179.9180.2179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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