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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-79
14-26 25-14 20-25 19-14
Position#11
Record9-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#7
Record10-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game87.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 76
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 76
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 76
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
85avg 76
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
94avg 76
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 76
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 76
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
91avg 76
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 76
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-103
74
103
-29
64avg 76
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
26-22
16-29
25-16
20-22
30-21
29-27
19-16
24-19
17-18
25-26
25-22
17-31
20-27
29-19
28-21
23-15
30-27
26-23
22-21
18-20
23-16
22-25
29-23
22-24
20-29
11-13
20-16
16-24
24-19
36-17
18-21
19-25
24-29
22-18
27-22
15-38
25-24
20-17
14-24
178.6Avg total
90.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.487.6175.1-0.256%
Season at home (8)90.084.6174.6+5.475%
Season away (8)84.990.6175.5-5.838%
Last 10 (10)90.488.2178.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)85.088.8173.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.891.2173.0-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.383.7169.0+1.669%
vs Weaker (7)93.487.9181.3+5.657%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
99avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
100-78
100
78
+22
94avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
68avg 80
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 80
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
86avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 80
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 80
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
28-17
24-17
19-19
28-21
20-17
29-20
23-20
19-25
23-25
10-29
25-22
14-21
21-24
24-16
18-17
22-27
26-29
25-18
17-27
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
172.0Avg total
88.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.787.9176.6+0.862%
Season at home (8)96.886.1182.9+10.6100%
Season away (8)80.689.6170.2-9.025%
Last 10 (10)88.683.4172.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)89.880.6170.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.691.0171.6-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.084.0172.0+4.083%
vs Weaker (12)85.274.5159.7+10.775%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A17/12
Euroleague
90.7Avg total
44.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.039.682.6+3.471%-
Last 30 away (13)39.545.384.8-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.690.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.690.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.245.778.8-12.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.941.884.6+1.156%-
vs Weaker (7)45.942.388.1+3.657%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
88.5Avg total
44.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.282.4+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.340.384.6+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.980.5-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.188.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.845.482.2-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.641.484.0+1.258%-
vs Weaker (12)41.838.880.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.5
55.2%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.8
42.0%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.620.0
88.5%
78.0%20.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.7
57.9%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.9
38.9%
36.2%38.7
🏀 Free throws14.411.7
81.2%
78.0%11.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWWLWWW
Bayern
LWWWWLLLWW
#11
League position
#7
+3.0
Net rating
+7.6
123.2
Offensive rating
119.2
120.2
Defensive rating
111.6
58.6%
Effective FG%
58.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.22
42.0%
3-point %
38.9%
55.6%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 119.2Defence120.2 · 111.6Shooting58.6% · 58.1%3-point %42.0% · 38.9%Ball care14.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 34.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24APanathinaikos74-103
15/12/24AVarese92-94
13/12/24ABarcelona94-81
08/12/24HVirtus Bologna73-82
06/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84
04/12/24HCrvena zvezda101-86
01/12/24HTortona94-98
29/11/24AFenerbahce91-85
21/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
18/11/24ACremona95-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
15/12/24ARostock80-70
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80
03/12/24AAnadolu Efes90-101
01/12/24HVechta77-78
29/11/24ACrvena zvezda77-101
22/11/24HBarcelona100-78
17/11/24HBonn93-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game87.490.084.9
Allowed / game87.684.690.6
Point differential-0.2+5.4-5.8
Avg total175.1174.6175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game88.796.880.6
Allowed / game87.986.189.6
Point differential+0.8+10.6-9.0
Avg total176.6182.9170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
2 Monaco1711665%86.381.3+5.0
3 Olympiacos1711665%85.381.2+4.1
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
7 Anadolu Efes1710759%85.081.6+3.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%76.975.0+1.9
9 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
10 Crvena zvezda179853%83.481.9+1.5
11 Barcelona179853%86.084.9+1.1
12 Real Madrid178947%84.782.6+2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne178947%82.384.5-2.2
14 Partizan1771041%81.281.2-0.1
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Virtus Bologna1741324%80.985.1-4.2
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv1741324%83.988.1-4.2
18 Alba Berlin1731418%79.991.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1425201978
Bayern2614251479
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