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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 96-89
21-26 33-18 26-15 16-30
Position#13
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#7
Record9-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
95avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 81
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 81
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 81
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
94-90
94
90
+4
89avg 81
H07/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-20
26-12
14-25
25-13
21-16
21-16
20-18
18-9
22-23
16-19
24-21
27-21
20-22
20-13
21-31
15-21
23-23
22-21
20-21
25-25
20-24
19-27
19-29
21-30
20-14
24-26
17-16
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
20-23
22-26
12-21
24-18
26-23
26-25
16-25
26-17
172.9Avg total
87.1Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.183.8167.9+0.350%
Season at home (6)86.087.7173.7-1.750%
Season away (8)82.680.9163.5+1.850%
Last 10 (10)87.185.8172.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.891.4179.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.389.3181.7+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.980.6160.5-0.836%
vs Weaker (12)86.777.2163.9+9.467%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
48avg 87
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 87
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
103avg 87
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 87
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 87
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 87
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 87
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 87
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
74avg 87
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
110-66
110
66
+44
115avg 87
H07/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
20-26
8-21
28-19
22-22
26-21
19-13
22-16
27-28
25-15
20-29
29-23
22-16
30-22
21-21
14-18
23-15
18-36
20-12
21-14
25-24
20-24
30-14
28-20
16-19
23-20
19-12
20-14
27-31
21-13
25-6
18-19
22-19
22-19
17-27
18-24
30-21
23-13
34-12
23-20
166.6Avg total
88.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.785.6174.4+3.164%
Season at home (7)92.384.6176.9+7.771%
Season away (7)85.186.7171.9-1.657%
Last 10 (10)88.877.8166.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)92.274.2166.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.388.2173.5-2.831%
vs Weaker (16)90.975.2166.1+15.894%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Trento
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H07/12
Lega A
86.0Avg total
43.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.883.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.041.885.8+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.540.181.5+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.286.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.847.694.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.746.391.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.439.179.4+1.357%-
vs Weaker (12)44.741.185.8+3.658%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/11
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/11
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Basket League
Partizan
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Basket League
87.8Avg total
45.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.089.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.487.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.686.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.043.885.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker (16)46.440.987.4+5.575%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.5
54.9%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.816.7
80.3%
78.2%16.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.6
56.8%
60.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
78.2%14.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLLWWWW
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#7
+1.7
Net rating
+15.0
115.3
Offensive rating
120.0
113.6
Defensive rating
104.9
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
36.1%
67.0%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 120.0Defence113.6 · 104.9Shooting55.2% · 55.7%3-point %37.0% · 36.1%Ball care18.0% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 34.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HTrento94-90
05/12/25ABaskonia78-88
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88
23/11/25ATrieste82-86
20/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv83-105
16/11/25HTrapani80-86
14/11/25HOlympiacos88-87
12/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne80-72
09/11/25HTreviso87-63
07/11/25AAnadolu Efes97-93 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HPanionios110-66
05/12/25HValencia79-89
25/11/25HPartizan91-69
22/11/25AMykonos78-65
20/11/25HDubai103-82
16/11/25HAris82-77
13/11/25AReal Madrid87-77
11/11/25AParis101-95
08/11/25APeristeri89-72
05/11/25ACrvena zvezda68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.186.082.6
Allowed / game83.887.780.9
Point differential+0.3-1.7+1.8
Avg total167.9173.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game88.792.385.1
Allowed / game85.684.686.7
Point differential+3.1+7.7-1.6
Avg total174.4176.9171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1410471%90.483.8+6.6
2 Monaco149564%90.883.1+7.6
3 Crvena zvezda149564%86.381.9+4.4
4 Valencia149564%89.085.3+3.7
5 Panathinaikos149564%88.785.6+3.1
6 Barcelona149564%85.684.1+1.4
7 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
8 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%85.580.4+5.1
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano147750%84.183.8+0.3
12 Virtus Bologna147750%81.482.9-1.6
13 Dubai146843%85.687.4-1.8
14 Paris145936%90.492.1-1.8
15 Baskonia145936%85.789.1-3.4
16 Partizan145936%82.487.2-4.9
17 Anadolu Efes145936%80.185.7-5.6
18 Bayern145936%77.483.7-6.3
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%88.892.1-3.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1531220%76.686.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2133261696
Panathinaikos2618153089
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