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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-75
17-16 22-21 27-13 21-25
Position#11
Record12-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
68avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
115-82
115
82
+33
117avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-68
100
68
+32
103avg 79
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 79
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 79
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 79
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 79
H26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-16
23-24
17-19
19-19
17-13
15-19
24-15
27-19
25-25
35-21
28-17
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
23-19
24-24
31-10
22-15
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
172.3Avg total
88.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.085.8171.8+0.252%
Season at home (12)87.683.2170.8+4.458%
Season away (11)84.388.6172.9-4.445%
Last 10 (10)88.983.4172.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)79.085.4164.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.692.6174.2-11.040%
vs Similar (17)85.282.4167.6+2.965%
vs Weaker (8)99.289.4188.6+9.962%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
111-90
111
90
+21
118avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
96-84
96
84
+12
95avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 83
A12/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
A15/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 83
A17/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 83
H20/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-76
89
76
+13
76avg 83
H23/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 83
A25/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-9
22-25
18-18
30-23
24-19
25-24
32-24
28-21
20-17
29-25
23-18
23-13
26-25
26-25
21-21
32-22
18-23
26-15
27-20
21-18
17-12
12-29
23-23
13-22
25-26
19-22
20-21
25-14
13-16
23-27
17-15
17-25
17-26
26-19
29-6
17-23
24-23
28-16
15-16
171.3Avg total
90.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.782.3168.9+4.461%
Season at home (11)95.481.9177.3+13.582%
Season away (12)78.782.6161.2-3.942%
Last 10 (10)90.780.6171.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)80.279.8160.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)81.785.9167.6-4.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.076.9170.9+17.190%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
87.5Avg total
44.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.987.8-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.042.987.9+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.187.5+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.287.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.447.886.2-9.420%-
vs Similar (17)43.141.884.9+1.259%-
vs Weaker (8)49.045.994.9+3.175%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#4
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A15/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A25/01
Basket League
84.3Avg total
44.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.283.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.238.184.4+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.542.983.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.784.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.078.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.041.081.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.339.985.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.5
56.4%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.3
42.2%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.917.0
81.3%
78.0%17.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.122.3
60.1%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.6
40.0%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.413.5
66.2%
78.0%13.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLWWWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
+6.9
Net rating
+14.2
124.2
Offensive rating
121.9
117.3
Defensive rating
107.7
59.5%
Effective FG%
60.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.2%
3-point %
40.0%
58.7%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence124.2 · 121.9Defence117.3 · 107.7Shooting59.5% · 60.1%3-point %42.2% · 40.0%Ball care15.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 35.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HTrieste87-74
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90
14/01/25HAlba Berlin100-68
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74
05/01/25APistoia115-82
02/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-66
29/12/24ATreviso89-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25APromitheas84-78
23/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-76
20/01/25HOlympiacos78-72
17/01/25ABaskonia77-91
15/01/25ABarcelona73-82
12/01/25AAEK Athens103-80
09/01/25HPartizan96-84
05/01/25HPAOK100-81
03/01/25HVirtus Bologna111-90
29/12/24HAS Karditsas96-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game86.087.684.3
Allowed / game85.883.288.6
Point differential+0.2+4.4-4.4
Avg total171.8170.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%82%42%
Points / game86.795.478.7
Allowed / game82.381.982.6
Point differential+4.4+13.5-3.9
Avg total168.9177.3161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%64%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2316770%87.582.2+5.3
2 Fenerbahce2215768%81.079.9+1.1
3 Monaco2314961%87.583.0+4.5
4 Panathinaikos2314961%86.782.3+4.4
5 Paris2213959%85.884.8+1.0
6 Bayern24141058%86.587.8-1.3
7 Real Madrid23131057%86.283.1+3.1
8 Barcelona23131057%86.584.3+2.3
9 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
10 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
11 Olimpia Milano23121152%86.085.8+0.2
12 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne23111248%81.584.7-3.2
14 Zalgiris Kaunas24111346%77.379.0-1.7
15 Baskonia2391439%80.582.0-1.5
16 Virtus Bologna2371630%80.784.2-3.5
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2461825%84.990.0-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2442017%80.292.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1722272187
Panathinaikos1621132575
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