Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.4	75.6	163.0	+11.9	78%
Season at home (4)	93.2	71.0	164.2	+22.2	100%
Season away (5)	82.8	79.2	162.0	+3.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	75.0	163.3	+13.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	70.6	157.8	+16.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	83.7	78.4	162.1	+5.4	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.1	75.1	161.2	+11.1	89%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Barcelona

80-92

-12

72avg 76

H30/10

ACB

Olympiacos

83-82

78avg 76

A04/11

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

88-83

82avg 76

A06/11

ACB

Monaco

89-84

86avg 76

H11/11

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#14

59-89

-30

44avg 76

A17/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

78-94

-16

69avg 76

A19/11

ACB

Real Madrid

73-80

-7

64avg 76

H22/11

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

76-80

-4

67avg 76

H25/11

Euroleague

Unicaja

67-83

-16

55avg 76

H27/11

ACB

Partizan

100-96 OT

100

no box

A01/12

Euroleague

18-23

22-32

20-22

20-15

22-28

12-19

24-24

25-11

18-24

30-17

17-27

23-15

20-20

21-20

23-14

25-30

8-24

17-18

17-24

17-23

17-27

19-23

18-23

24-21

19-31

12-10

15-18

27-21

31-24

13-13

17-22

15-21

15-14

21-31

21-16

10-22

21-21

16-22

23-21

24-20

165.6Avg total

79.3Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.1	85.7	167.8	-3.6	44%
Season at home (4)	80.5	86.8	167.2	-6.2	25%
Season away (5)	83.4	84.8	168.2	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	86.3	165.6	-7.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	86.6	165.4	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	81.0	86.2	167.2	-5.2	40%
vs Similar (14)	80.5	82.1	162.6	-1.6	43%
vs Weaker (6)	86.2	79.5	165.7	+6.7	83%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	17.7	40.3	+4.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	17.3	40.5	+5.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.1	44.3	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	20.0	47.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.1	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.1	17.1	40.1	+6.0	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.1	40.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	12.8	31.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.6	18.6	38.3	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	39%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.8	36.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.8	83%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#18

52-30

+22

H30/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

47-50

-3

A03/11

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

36-48

-12

A06/11

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

54-43

+11

H10/11

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

#17

53-37

+16

H17/11

Euroleague

Murcia

52-22

+30

H20/11

ACB

Valencia

#13

41-31

+10

A22/11

Euroleague

Partizan

54-51

H24/11

Euroleague

Real Betis

#17

39-26

+13

A27/11

ACB

Fenerbahce

46-34

+12

A02/12

Euroleague

84.6Avg total

47.4Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	36.3	78.5	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	36.5	80.9	+8.0	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	37.2	84.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	32.8	79.2	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	41.2	37.1	78.3	+4.1	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.7	35.9	78.7	+6.8	78%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

40-55

-15

H30/10

ACB

Olympiacos

34-47

-13

A04/11

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

48-41

A06/11

ACB

Monaco

41-40

H11/11

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#14

25-42

-17

A17/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

36-50

-14

A19/11

ACB

Real Madrid

31-41

-10

H22/11

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

44-37

H25/11

Euroleague

Unicaja

36-45

-9

H27/11

ACB

Partizan

37-43

-6

A01/12

Euroleague

81.3Avg total

37.2Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	44.1	81.3	-6.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.2	80.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.6	43.9	81.5	-6.3	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.3	37.7	81.0	+5.7	83%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.6	20.6	43.3	+2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	17.7	38.3	+3.0	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	20.3	41.7	+1.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.9	41.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.4	20.4	36.9	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	39.3	82.3	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	38.9	81.1	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	37.8	78.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	42.5	41.3	83.8	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+3.9	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.9	39.5	78.4	-0.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.1	42.5	82.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.0	81.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	41.8	41.1	82.9	+0.7	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.2	40.1	76.4	-3.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.8	41.8	84.7	+1.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	21.4	56.9%	52.1%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.7	37.7%	34.5%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	15.8	84.5%	73.9%	15.8

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	16.6	50.2%	52.1%	33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	10.2	35.1%	34.5%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	16.8	13.4	79.8%	73.9%	13.4

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	17.5	46.4%	52.1%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.8	34.6%	34.5%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.7	12.9	82.2%	73.9%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.7	54.3%	52.1%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.6	39.0%	34.5%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.8	78.3%	73.9%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.6	53.0%	52.1%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.1	35.9%	34.5%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.4	80.9%	73.9%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.2%	52.1%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.5	35.1%	34.5%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.7	75.5%	73.9%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.3	48.4%	52.1%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.3	33.2%	34.5%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	16.6	13.1	79.1%	73.9%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.5	53.9%	52.1%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.1	36.2%	34.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	17.0	13.2	77.8%	73.9%	13.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWWWWLWW

Valencia

WLLLLLWWWL

League position

+18.1

Net rating

-7.9

118.2

Offensive rating

105.7

100.2

Defensive rating

113.6

56.8%

Effective FG%

51.3%

48.7%

Opp. effective FG%

56.0%

18.3%

Turnover %

19.7%

33.9%

Off. rebound %

31.5%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.27

37.7%

3-point %

35.1%

64.3%

Assist %

61.2%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/22	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-80
06/02/22	Real Madrid v Valencia	93-94
10/10/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	79-93
10/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	80-77
08/06/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-67
06/06/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-70
09/05/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	69-79
19/02/21	Valencia v Real Madrid	89-78
11/02/21	Real Madrid v Valencia	85-74
01/11/20	Valencia v Real Madrid	78-86

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/22	A	Fenerbahce	85-71
27/11/22	A	Real Betis	73-55
24/11/22	H	Partizan	105-97
22/11/22	A	Valencia	80-73
20/11/22	H	Murcia	93-57
17/11/22	H	Alba Berlin	90-72
10/11/22	H	Anadolu Efes	94-85
06/11/22	A	Basket Zaragoza	89-94
03/11/22	A	Olimpia Milano	83-77
30/10/22	H	Fuenlabrada	91-69

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/22	A	Partizan	100-96 OT
27/11/22	H	Unicaja	67-83
25/11/22	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	76-80
22/11/22	H	Real Madrid	73-80
19/11/22	A	Tenerife	78-94
17/11/22	A	Virtus Bologna	59-89
11/11/22	H	Monaco	89-84
06/11/22	A	Breogan	88-83
04/11/22	A	Olympiacos	83-82
30/10/22	H	Barcelona	80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	78%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	78%	100%	60%
Points / game	87.4	93.2	82.8
Allowed / game	75.6	71.0	79.2
Point differential	+11.9	+22.2	+3.6
Avg total	163.0	164.2	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	100%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	44%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	25%	60%
Points / game	82.1	80.5	83.4
Allowed / game	85.7	86.8	84.8
Point differential	-3.6	-6.2	-1.4
Avg total	167.8	167.2	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	22%	25%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tenerife	10	9	1	90%	83.7	68.8	+14.9
2	Real Madrid	9	7	2	78%	87.4	75.6	+11.9
3	Unicaja	10	7	3	70%	84.2	73.4	+10.8
4	Barcelona	10	7	3	70%	84.3	75.0	+9.3
5	Gran Canaria	10	7	3	70%	80.8	73.3	+7.5
6	Baskonia	10	7	3	70%	90.6	83.5	+7.1
7	Joventut Badalona	10	6	4	60%	83.3	80.9	+2.4
8	Bilbao	10	6	4	60%	77.7	77.1	+0.6
9	Granada	9	5	4	56%	83.8	86.8	-3.0
10	Breogan	10	5	5	50%	76.0	75.6	+0.4
11	Valencia	9	4	5	44%	82.1	85.7	-3.6
12	Obradoiro CAB	10	4	6	40%	80.2	83.7	-3.5
13	Murcia	10	4	6	40%	79.1	84.9	-5.8
14	Fuenlabrada	10	3	7	30%	77.7	88.0	-10.3
15	Basket Zaragoza	10	2	8	20%	77.7	84.7	-7.0
16	Basquet Girona	10	2	8	20%	72.8	81.0	-8.2
17	Manresa	10	2	8	20%	81.7	93.3	-11.6
18	Real Betis	9	1	8	11%	74.2	86.9	-12.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	19	13	26	21	79
Valencia	7	20	16	19	62

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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