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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 90
H09/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
99-83
99
83
+16
100avg 90
H11/10
Basket League
Valencia
#5
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
99avg 90
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
101avg 90
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 90
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 90
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 90
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 90
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
no box
H01/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
9-15
27-18
27-17
27-22
27-19
23-26
22-16
17-31
17-28
25-12
31-19
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
161.2Avg total
87.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.465.2151.6+21.2100%
Season at home (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)80.760.3141.0+20.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.673.6161.2+14.090%
Last 5 (5)80.464.4144.8+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)85.082.0167.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.176.1167.1+15.089%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 77
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 77
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 77
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 77
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#17
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 77
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 77
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 77
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 77
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 77
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 77
A31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
167.8Avg total
79.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.879.4155.2-3.640%
Season at home (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)79.788.1167.8-8.440%
Last 5 (5)72.886.0158.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.188.9164.0-13.822%
vs Similar (13)83.081.9164.9+1.162%
vs Weaker (8)89.979.8169.6+10.188%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H09/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H11/10
Basket League
Valencia
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
80.5Avg total
42.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.637.282.8+8.483%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.035.281.2+10.887%-
Last 30 away (15)45.339.284.5+6.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.780.5+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.674.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.042.380.3-4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.536.683.1+9.985%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#17
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
81.8Avg total
40.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.085.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.480.5-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.381.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.441.279.7-2.844%-
vs Similar (13)41.341.282.5+0.254%-
vs Weaker (8)46.041.587.5+4.538%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.0
58.7%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
70.8%15.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
70.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWLWWWWW
AEK Athens
LLLWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+15.7
Net rating
-9.2
101.3
Offensive rating
93.6
85.7
Defensive rating
102.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
33.2%
67.8%
Assist %
67.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 93.6Defence85.7 · 102.8Shooting55.2% · 51.9%3-point %33.5% · 33.2%Ball care15.3% · 14.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT
13/10/26AValencia102-97 OT
11/10/26HKolossos Rhodes99-83
09/10/26HAnadolu Efes89-66
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.495.080.7
Allowed / game65.272.560.3
Point differential+21.2+22.5+20.3
Avg total151.6167.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game75.887.568.0
Allowed / game79.474.582.7
Point differential-3.6+13.0-14.7
Avg total155.2162.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK550100%78.071.4+6.6
3 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
4 Aris54180%83.870.4+13.4
5 AS Karditsas53260%71.471.2+0.2
6 Peristeri53260%81.088.8-7.8
7 Lefkadas52340%78.880.4-1.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.682.6-2.0
9 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
10 Iraklis51420%73.475.8-2.4
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos51420%75.482.4-7.0
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Promitheas51420%69.685.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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