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Pesaro vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 63-74
13-18 14-22 18-19 18-15
Position#17
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game94.4
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.2
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Cremona
28 Apr 2024
PES91
CRE86
06 Feb 2022
PES93
CRE87
01 Nov 2020
PES95
CRE83
01 Dec 2019
PES63
CRE74
16 Dec 2018
PES106
CRE122
29 Oct 2017
PES68
CRE79
02 Apr 2017
PES63
CRE73
30 Nov 2015
PES74
CRE86
04 Apr 2015
PES74
CRE89
06 Apr 2014
PES86
CRE91
14 Apr 2013
PES88
CRE81
09 Apr 2012
PES86
CRE64
03 Apr 2011
PES82
CRE59
06 Dec 2009
PES101
CRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A24/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-26
19-24
17-17
20-23
21-17
7-26
24-14
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
173.5Avg total
79.2Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.194.4174.6-14.30%
Season at home (4)77.891.2169.0-13.50%
Season away (5)82.097.0179.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)79.294.3173.5-15.10%
Last 5 (5)78.493.8172.2-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)78.694.9173.4-16.37%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
54-78
54
78
-24
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H24/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
33-24
18-24
19-19
19-20
26-23
23-27
23-21
22-26
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
16-24
24-13
23-17
19-24
15-21
17-16
13-18
10-12
14-29
19-20
14-9
7-20
24-19
24-19
19-22
13-13
22-21
22-22
22-20
23-16
22-21
16-17
28-17
22-23
158.1Avg total
78.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.080.2158.2-2.256%
Season at home (5)78.678.8157.4-0.280%
Season away (4)77.282.0159.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)78.479.7158.1-1.360%
Last 5 (5)73.275.0148.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (14)71.473.2144.6-1.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.480.3167.6+7.171%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
PesaroCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
85.5Avg total
37.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.847.785.5-9.913%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.947.287.1-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)35.848.284.0-12.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.947.685.5-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.280.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.647.885.3-10.214%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/11
Lega A
83.9Avg total
41.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.442.384.7+0.155%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.884.4+2.869%-
Last 30 away (13)41.044.285.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.483.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (13)38.942.981.8-4.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.742.388.0+3.457%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.0
51.9%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.8
30.9%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
73.6%11.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.921.6
47.1%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.912.1
67.6%
73.6%12.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
Cremona
WWWLLWLLWW
#17
League position
#6
-24.1
Net rating
-1.2
103.1
Offensive rating
107.6
127.1
Defensive rating
108.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
60.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.9%
3-point %
31.2%
38.8%
Assist %
49.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 107.6Defence127.1 · 108.8Shooting49.5% · 47.0%3-point %30.9% · 31.2%Ball care16.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds27.0% · 36.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
07/04/19Cremona v Pesaro97-64
16/12/18Pesaro v Cremona106-122
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
14/12/14Cremona v Pesaro73-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94
29/09/19ASassari79-99
24/09/19HFortitudo Bologna72-80
12/05/19ATorino71-93
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/19HTrieste88-78
17/11/19ATrento89-79
10/11/19HFortitudo Bologna80-73
03/11/19HCantu54-78
26/10/19AVenezia55-67
20/10/19HOlimpia Milano82-78
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
06/10/19AVirtus Roma94-97
29/09/19HTreviso89-87
19/05/19HTrieste82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.177.882.0
Allowed / game94.491.297.0
Point differential-14.3-13.5-15.0
Avg total174.6169.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%25%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game78.078.677.2
Allowed / game80.278.882.0
Point differential-2.2-0.2-4.8
Avg total158.2157.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Sassari107370%81.170.7+10.4
3 Brindisi107370%83.978.8+5.1
4 Olimpia Milano117464%82.674.5+8.2
5 Fortitudo Bologna106460%76.978.6-1.7
6 Cremona95456%78.080.2-2.2
7 Brescia116555%82.375.4+6.9
8 Varese105550%81.878.6+3.2
9 Reggiana105550%80.879.9+0.9
10 Trento105550%78.679.8-1.2
11 Venezia115645%75.973.5+2.5
12 Treviso115645%75.975.7+0.2
13 Virtus Roma115645%76.282.8-6.6
14 Cantu93633%71.275.8-4.6
15 Trieste103730%72.578.5-6.0
16 Pistoia113827%73.483.7-10.4
17 Pesaro9090%80.194.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1314181863
Cremona1822191574
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