PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 91-86
22-26 21-23 23-19 25-18
Position#16
Record9-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game87.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record12-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game79.5
ItalyLega ARound 29· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Cremona
28 Apr 2024
PES91
CRE86
06 Feb 2022
PES93
CRE87
01 Nov 2020
PES95
CRE83
01 Dec 2019
PES63
CRE74
16 Dec 2018
PES106
CRE122
29 Oct 2017
PES68
CRE79
02 Apr 2017
PES63
CRE73
30 Nov 2015
PES74
CRE86
04 Apr 2015
PES74
CRE89
06 Apr 2014
PES86
CRE91
14 Apr 2013
PES88
CRE81
09 Apr 2012
PES86
CRE64
03 Apr 2011
PES82
CRE59
06 Dec 2009
PES101
CRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 70
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 70
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 70
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 70
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 70
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 70
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 70
A20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
174.2Avg total
84.3Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.287.5167.7-7.232%
Season at home (14)81.486.5167.9-5.136%
Season away (14)79.188.4167.5-9.429%
Last 10 (10)84.389.9174.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.488.1166.5-9.730%
vs Similar (10)84.786.4171.1-1.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 73
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 73
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 73
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 73
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 73
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 73
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 73
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 73
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 73
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 73
H20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
17-14
21-22
12-19
21-23
24-20
18-22
17-30
33-18
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
23-20
30-29
16-24
16-20
22-21
23-20
22-19
17-17
159.9Avg total
78.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.379.5159.8+0.843%
Season at home (14)84.076.6160.6+7.471%
Season away (14)76.682.4158.9-5.814%
Last 10 (10)78.981.0159.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.082.0163.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.682.2159.8-4.640%
vs Similar (16)82.179.9162.0+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.374.8153.1+3.644%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
PesaroCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
84.8Avg total
42.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.482.6-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.881.2-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)40.144.084.1-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.684.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.944.582.4-6.620%-
vs Similar (10)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/04
Lega A
77.5Avg total
38.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.635.778.3+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)34.239.974.1-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.177.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.239.880.0+0.460%-
vs Similar (16)38.938.577.4+0.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.635.472.0+1.156%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
76.3%15.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.9
53.1%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
76.3%15.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLLWLWLL
Cremona
WLWLWLLLWL
#16
League position
#11
-8.6
Net rating
-2.4
109.6
Offensive rating
108.5
118.2
Defensive rating
110.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.1%
3-point %
36.2%
57.2%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 108.5Defence118.2 · 110.8Shooting51.8% · 53.7%3-point %35.1% · 36.2%Ball care14.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.6% · 24.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Cremona v Pesaro96-69
06/02/22Pesaro v Cremona93-87
21/11/21Cremona v Pesaro84-88
07/03/21Cremona v Pesaro100-78
01/11/20Pesaro v Cremona95-83 OT
01/12/19Pesaro v Cremona63-74
07/04/19Cremona v Pesaro97-64
16/12/18Pesaro v Cremona106-122
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ATortona76-94
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HBrescia84-77
14/04/24AVirtus Bologna85-93
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
24/03/24HVenezia92-90
17/03/24ATreviso71-78
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLWWLW36%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%36%29%
Points / game80.281.479.1
Allowed / game87.586.588.4
Point differential-7.2-5.1-9.4
Avg total167.7167.9167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game80.384.076.6
Allowed / game79.576.682.4
Point differential+0.8+7.4-5.8
Avg total159.8160.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2820871%88.477.4+11.0
2 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
3 Olimpia Milano2820871%80.674.5+6.1
4 Venezia28181064%82.878.3+4.4
5 Reggiana28151354%80.479.9+0.5
6 Trento28151354%84.283.7+0.5
7 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
8 Pistoia28141450%80.383.5-3.2
9 Basket Napoli28131546%86.186.9-0.8
10 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
11 Scafati28121643%82.786.6-3.9
12 Sassari28121643%78.683.8-5.2
13 Varese28111739%86.790.1-3.5
14 Treviso28101836%80.284.9-4.6
15 Brindisi2891932%75.681.5-5.9
16 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2221232591
Cremona2623191886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.