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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-86 (OT)
18-19 15-17 17-17 22-19 15-14
Position#16
Record6-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game87.1
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record16-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game76.3
ItalyLega ARound 23· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
64avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 70
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 70
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 70
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 70
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
22-22
11-25
16-22
26-24
19-21
13-19
16-26
17-19
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
165.1Avg total
77.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.187.1166.2-8.027%
Season at home (11)81.486.9168.3-5.527%
Season away (11)76.987.3164.2-10.427%
Last 10 (10)77.188.0165.1-10.910%
Last 5 (5)83.090.4173.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.287.5163.6-11.326%
vs Similar (11)84.787.8172.5-3.136%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 80
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
100-61
100
61
+39
115avg 80
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 80
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 80
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 80
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 80
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 80
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 80
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 80
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 80
H15/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-12
27-27
26-26
21-25
30-9
29-16
20-11
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
161.3Avg total
83.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.476.3164.7+12.173%
Season at home (11)92.975.5168.5+17.491%
Season away (11)83.977.1161.0+6.855%
Last 10 (10)83.477.9161.3+5.550%
Last 5 (5)80.481.0161.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.380.5150.8-10.217%
vs Similar (12)82.481.7164.1+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.574.2162.7+14.473%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
82.3Avg total
39.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.983.4-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.982.6-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.244.984.1-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.382.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.489.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.845.182.9-7.321%-
vs Similar (11)42.341.884.1+0.555%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
41.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.1+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.939.180.0+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.982.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.979.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.743.278.8-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.681.6+0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.836.882.6+9.073%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.1
46.8%
53.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.9
32.2%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.4%
76.3%15.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.320.5
59.8%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
76.3%13.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLLLLLLL
Virtus Bologna
LWLLWLWLWW
#16
League position
#2
-14.4
Net rating
+9.0
99.0
Offensive rating
115.4
113.4
Defensive rating
106.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
35.1%
61.2%
Assist %
68.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 115.4Defence113.4 · 106.4Shooting47.5% · 56.6%3-point %32.2% · 35.1%Ball care16.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds22.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
10
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86
21/01/24HOlimpia Milano65-85
14/01/24ABasket Napoli75-93
07/01/24HSassari69-79
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81
05/02/24ATreviso100-61
02/02/24HPartizan88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game79.181.476.9
Allowed / game87.186.987.3
Point differential-8.0-5.5-10.4
Avg total166.2168.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game88.492.983.9
Allowed / game76.375.577.1
Point differential+12.1+17.4+6.8
Avg total164.7168.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%82%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2317674%88.777.5+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Venezia2316770%82.076.3+5.7
4 Olimpia Milano2315865%79.073.1+5.9
5 Reggiana23131057%81.281.0+0.2
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Pistoia23121152%78.782.3-3.6
8 Tortona23111248%80.179.0+1.1
9 Trento23111248%83.283.7-0.4
10 Scafati23111248%83.487.0-3.6
11 Sassari23111248%77.882.3-4.4
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2391439%84.290.0-5.8
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2361726%74.282.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro181517221587
Virtus Bologna191717191486
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