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Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-115
19-27 25-25 21-35 17-28
Position#16
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#5
Record8-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game84.5
ItalyLega ARound 14· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Olimpia Milano
05 Jan 2025
PIS82
MIL115
04 Feb 2024
PIS72
MIL78
10 Mar 2020
PIS v MIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2019
PIS20
MIL0
08 Jan 2018
PIS63
MIL79
26 Mar 2017
PIS85
MIL74
14 Feb 2016
PIS80
MIL85
12 Jan 2015
PIS73
MIL79
25 May 2014
PIS84
MIL82
23 May 2014
PIS82
MIL71
17 Feb 2014
PIS79
MIL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 70
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 70
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 70
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 70
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 70
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
88-91
88
91
-3
70avg 70
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 70
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 70
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 70
A29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
21-22
27-23
24-27
16-20
25-18
17-18
18-21
28-34
22-21
13-29
25-19
28-25
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
173.8Avg total
84.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.186.5168.5-4.423%
Season at home (6)81.784.7166.3-3.033%
Season away (7)82.488.0170.4-5.614%
Last 10 (10)84.589.3173.8-4.810%
Last 5 (5)90.095.0185.0-5.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.085.2164.2-6.130%
vs Similar (9)90.392.1182.4-1.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 78
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 78
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
91avg 78
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 78
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-103
74
103
-29
64avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
75avg 78
H20/12
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 78
H23/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 78
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 78
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
68avg 78
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-16
22-25
29-23
22-24
20-29
11-13
20-16
16-24
24-19
36-17
18-21
19-25
24-29
22-18
27-22
15-38
25-24
20-17
14-24
14-26
25-14
20-25
19-14
22-24
28-23
31-16
24-27
19-19
21-22
20-23
23-20
24-20
25-16
23-24
17-19
19-19
17-13
15-19
24-15
169.7Avg total
85.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.384.5170.8+1.862%
Season at home (7)89.784.3174.0+5.471%
Season away (6)82.384.8167.2-2.550%
Last 10 (10)85.584.2169.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)86.079.6165.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.389.7172.0-7.333%
vs Similar (16)85.182.6167.7+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.986.8179.6+6.162%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
PistoiaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
82.7Avg total
40.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.883.4-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.345.085.3-4.723%-
Last 30 away (17)39.042.981.9-3.941%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.182.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.286.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.843.581.2-5.735%-
vs Similar (9)44.145.689.7-1.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H23/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/01
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
42.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.984.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.540.884.3+2.665%-
Last 30 away (13)41.043.384.3-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.486.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.544.780.2-9.217%-
vs Similar (16)43.141.184.1+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.241.587.8+4.862%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.1
49.4%
52.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.3
76.9%
76.8%16.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.6%
52.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.8
39.7%
35.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.419.7
87.9%
76.8%19.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLLLWLW
#16
League position
#5
-5.7
Net rating
+2.1
104.4
Offensive rating
115.8
110.2
Defensive rating
113.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.3%
3-point %
39.7%
55.9%
Assist %
63.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 115.8Defence110.2 · 113.8Shooting50.7% · 54.9%3-point %35.3% · 39.7%Ball care16.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.3% · 24.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ABrescia83-90
22/12/24HTortona89-93
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
07/12/24HTrapani88-94
30/11/24ATreviso88-91
17/11/24HTrento88-92
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-66
29/12/24ATreviso89-79
26/12/24HOlympiacos83-84
23/12/24HTrapani105-90
20/12/24HBayern78-79
17/12/24APanathinaikos74-103
15/12/24AVarese92-94
13/12/24ABarcelona94-81
08/12/24HVirtus Bologna73-82
06/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game82.181.782.4
Allowed / game86.584.788.0
Point differential-4.4-3.0-5.6
Avg total168.5166.3170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game86.389.782.3
Allowed / game84.584.384.8
Point differential+1.8+5.4-2.5
Avg total170.8174.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1311285%90.683.5+7.1
2 Brescia1411379%89.985.4+4.5
3 Trapani1310377%94.686.2+8.4
4 Virtus Bologna139469%86.782.1+4.6
5 Reggiana139469%80.577.2+3.4
6 Olimpia Milano138562%86.384.5+1.8
7 Tortona148657%86.284.2+2.0
8 Trieste137654%84.983.5+1.4
9 Treviso147750%85.886.6-0.8
10 Sassari146843%83.184.3-1.1
11 Venezia135838%76.576.9-0.5
12 Varese145936%89.196.4-7.3
13 Scafati134931%85.993.1-7.2
14 Pistoia1331023%82.186.5-4.4
15 Cremona1321115%76.581.2-4.6
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1925211782
Olimpia Milano27253528115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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