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Prienai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-72
15-18 25-18 15-19 14-17
Position#12
Record4-26
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.7
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#6
Record15-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Jonava
28 Apr 2023
PRI69
JON72
24 Sep 2022
PRI74
JON80
29 Dec 2021
PRI68
JON81
07 Oct 2021
PRI81
JON85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 63
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 63
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 63
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
66avg 63
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A23/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
75avg 63
H25/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
25-20
22-12
21-28
22-17
27-28
13-22
18-16
27-25
22-21
16-27
14-23
6-23
27-24
19-21
7-21
22-15
18-26
32-24
16-22
18-22
172.0Avg total
81.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.089.7168.7-10.613%
Season at home (15)76.290.5166.7-14.37%
Season away (15)81.988.9170.7-7.020%
Last 10 (10)81.190.9172.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)78.487.4165.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.390.8168.1-13.512%
vs Similar (6)85.590.7176.2-5.217%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 71
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
83avg 71
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 71
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 71
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 71
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-106
81
106
-25
70avg 71
H23/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
16-14
23-15
21-26
18-24
28-23
25-16
13-14
9-29
17-12
22-17
32-22
18-25
19-7
29-19
18-22
18-18
11-16
22-24
19-18
17-22
22-18
11-18
24-27
23-16
11-26
27-25
15-21
14-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
14-15
10-16
18-19
25-15
17-23
23-31
21-21
20-31
161.4Avg total
78.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.880.3160.1-0.552%
Season at home (15)77.579.7157.2-2.140%
Season away (14)82.281.0163.2+1.264%
Last 10 (10)78.483.0161.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)74.085.8159.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.883.6162.3-4.844%
vs Similar (13)81.083.2164.2-2.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.475.6154.0+2.875%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
PrienaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H25/04
LKL
87.5Avg total
42.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.046.585.5-7.517%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.346.484.7-8.18%-
Last 30 away (17)39.546.686.1-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.187.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.089.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.247.085.3-8.812%-
vs Similar (6)41.844.386.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A13/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H23/04
LKL
74.8Avg total
34.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.179.1+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.178.9+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.279.3+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.274.8-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.676.6-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.639.977.4-2.344%-
vs Similar (13)40.740.080.7+0.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.636.978.5+4.850%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
54.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.0
71.4%
74.2%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.212.3
80.9%
74.2%12.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLWLLWLL
Jonava
LWLLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#6
-11.2
Net rating
-8.3
108.6
Offensive rating
106.1
119.8
Defensive rating
114.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.8%
3-point %
32.0%
47.2%
Assist %
66.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 106.1Defence119.8 · 114.4Shooting51.1% · 50.0%3-point %29.8% · 32.0%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Prienai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Jonava v Prienai74-85
24/09/22Prienai v Jonava74-80 OT
27/04/22Jonava v Prienai100-84
29/12/21Prienai v Jonava68-81
20/11/21Jonava v Prienai93-77
03/11/21Jonava v Prienai78-74
07/10/21Prienai v Jonava81-85
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23HNeptunas84-94
23/04/23ALietkabelis75-81
19/04/23ABC Wolves58-94
17/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes85-91
11/04/23HGargzdai90-77
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HRytas81-106
18/04/23HGargzdai67-65
16/04/23ALietkabelis72-85
11/04/23HJuventus76-88
02/04/23HBC Wolves74-85
26/03/23ANeptunas70-76
20/03/23ASiauliai84-73
13/03/23ABC Wolves99-94 OT
06/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-77
19/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLLWLL7%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %13%7%20%
Points / game79.076.281.9
Allowed / game89.790.588.9
Point differential-10.6-14.3-7.0
Avg total168.7166.7170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %13%13%13%
Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%40%64%
Points / game79.877.582.2
Allowed / game80.379.781.0
Point differential-0.5-2.1+1.2
Avg total160.1157.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)25% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%86.771.4+15.3
2 Rytas3024680%92.782.7+9.9
3 BC Wolves3021970%85.578.3+7.2
4 Lietkabelis30201067%85.581.6+3.9
5 Juventus30161453%87.186.6+0.5
6 Jonava29151452%79.880.3-0.5
7 Neptunas30151550%80.181.6-1.5
8 Nevezis30131743%86.788.2-1.5
9 Siauliai30121840%82.586.4-3.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3082227%78.889.5-10.7
11 Gargzdai3062420%76.283.9-7.7
12 Prienai3042613%79.089.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1525151469
Jonava1818191772
← all games of the day
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