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Real Madrid vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.7
SpainACBRound 29· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
95avg 93
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 93
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 93
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 93
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 93
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 93
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 93
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
193.1Avg total
105.4Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)106.385.3191.6+21.0100%
Season at home (5)101.680.8182.4+20.8100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)105.487.7193.1+17.790%
Last 5 (5)98.285.4183.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)94.292.1186.3+2.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)99.889.7189.5+10.265%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 97
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 97
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 97
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 97
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 97
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 97
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 97
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 97
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 97
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
202.8Avg total
106.0Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.798.7201.4+4.057%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (4)101.098.0199.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)106.096.8202.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)101.698.4200.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar (12)91.993.3185.2-1.442%
vs Weaker (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
94.2Avg total
51.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.044.693.6+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.543.492.9+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.994.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)51.842.494.2+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.889.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)46.647.193.7-0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.143.493.5+6.875%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/11
ACB
95.8Avg total
51.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.845.891.5+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.844.892.5+3.054%-
Last 30 away (17)44.246.590.8-2.335%-
Last 10 (10)51.544.395.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.095.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)43.247.290.5-4.033%-
vs Weaker (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.2%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.2%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
Breogan
LWLLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#7
+23.0
Net rating
+11.0
114.6
Offensive rating
114.3
91.6
Defensive rating
103.4
60.2%
Effective FG%
64.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.9%
3-point %
44.8%
62.4%
Assist %
59.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 114.3Defence91.6 · 103.4Shooting60.2% · 64.1%3-point %41.9% · 44.8%Ball care12.7% · 15.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Real Madrid v Breogan97-101
24/01/26Breogan v Real Madrid85-103
11/05/25Breogan v Real Madrid69-79
15/12/24Real Madrid v Breogan106-69
11/02/24Breogan v Real Madrid73-80
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ABarcelona91-99
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.3101.6118.0
Allowed / game85.380.896.5
Point differential+21.0+20.8+21.5
Avg total191.6182.4214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%50%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game102.7105.0101.0
Allowed / game98.799.798.0
Point differential+4.0+5.3+3.0
Avg total201.4204.7199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+11.1
3 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+7.7
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+4.9
6 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+4.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+2.6
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-8.0
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-0.6
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-0.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-10.7
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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