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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-93
27-25 10-21 23-20 26-27
Position#3
Record22-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#9
Record14-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
117avg 114
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
135avg 114
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
110avg 114
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
100-75
100
75
+25
140avg 114
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
91-57
91
57
+34
124avg 114
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
81avg 114
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 114
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 114
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 114
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 114
A31/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-12
15-12
22-23
27-25
25-20
25-16
24-25
22-17
21-19
17-12
23-26
24-22
27-16
19-12
30-25
29-13
17-25
23-6
22-13
19-33
31-23
24-19
18-14
18-22
18-17
17-25
23-22
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
14-32
19-13
20-14
21-14
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
164.1Avg total
87.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.977.6163.5+8.476%
Season at home (14)92.478.4170.7+14.093%
Season away (15)79.976.8156.7+3.160%
Last 10 (10)87.177.0164.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)81.882.4164.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)83.378.4161.7+4.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.780.0166.7+6.773%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
131avg 101
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
85-59
85
59
+26
no box
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 101
H14/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H16/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
70avg 101
A20/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 101
H22/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
A24/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
72-68
72
68
+4
70avg 101
A29/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H31/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
22-25
19-16
15-17
25-10
21-17
31-18
21-19
18-17
24-14
21-10
22-18
22-20
26-15
21-18
16-26
23-7
20-21
28-19
17-23
19-23
17-22
21-14
28-24
22-18
27-12
19-16
26-21
26-18
23-19
33-18
11-23
16-18
18-20
14-13
24-17
19-18
14-13
22-18
30-14
156.8Avg total
85.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.278.2157.5+1.048%
Season at home (15)81.878.3160.1+3.553%
Season away (14)76.578.1154.6-1.643%
Last 10 (10)85.671.2156.8+14.490%
Last 5 (5)85.871.8157.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.080.3146.3-14.30%
vs Similar (9)75.976.0151.9-0.156%
vs Weaker (18)85.371.5156.8+13.883%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
86.3Avg total
45.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.183.7+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.442.287.6+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.038.280.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.386.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.086.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.438.680.0+2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.040.884.8+3.259%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/03
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A10/03
LKL
Bayern
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H14/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H16/03
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H22/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H31/03
LKL
76.7Avg total
41.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.674.7+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.433.674.0+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)36.239.275.4-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.076.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.742.373.0-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)35.638.173.7-2.633%-
vs Weaker (18)40.734.875.6+5.972%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.3
53.7%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
37.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
76.7%16.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.18.0
39.8%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
76.7%15.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLLWWWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#9
+13.0
Net rating
+6.8
117.5
Offensive rating
112.0
104.5
Defensive rating
105.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.5%
3-point %
39.8%
62.1%
Assist %
68.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 112.0Defence104.5 · 105.2Shooting54.9% · 54.3%3-point %37.5% · 39.8%Ball care15.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
28/03/19APanathinaikos74-73
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82
22/03/19ABaskonia76-86
20/03/19HOlimpia Milano92-89
17/03/19HManresa91-57
14/03/19AKhimki M.100-75
09/03/19AJoventut Badalona83-74
07/03/19HFenerbahce101-86
03/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HLietkabelis85-63
29/03/19AOlympiacos72-68
24/03/19ASiauliai93-78
22/03/19HDarussafaka94-67
20/03/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv85-83
16/03/19HPieno Zvaigzdes88-70
14/03/19HBayern85-79
10/03/19ARytas85-59
07/03/19HGran Canaria98-64
03/03/19ANeptunas71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %76%93%60%
Points / game85.992.479.9
Allowed / game77.678.476.8
Point differential+8.4+14.0+3.1
Avg total163.5170.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%71%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW48%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%53%43%
Points / game79.281.876.5
Allowed / game78.278.378.1
Point differential+1.0+3.5-1.6
Avg total157.5160.1154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)25% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2924583%84.675.8+8.8
2 CSKA Moscow3024680%86.880.3+6.5
3 Real Madrid2922776%85.977.6+8.4
4 Anadolu Efes30201067%85.480.2+5.2
5 Barcelona29171259%78.976.4+2.4
6 Panathinaikos30161453%79.678.5+1.1
7 Baskonia30151550%81.979.6+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%79.378.2+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%79.278.2+1.0
10 Olympiacos29141548%77.277.0+0.1
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%87.387.2+0.1
12 Bayern29131645%78.980.9-2.0
13 Khimki M.2992031%78.381.8-3.5
14 Gran Canaria2982128%77.887.9-10.1
15 Buducnost3062420%74.385.0-10.7
16 Darussafaka2952417%74.685.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2710232686
Zalgiris Kaunas2521202793
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