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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 76-80
13-13 19-30 26-17 18-20
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2021
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 76
A12/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 76
A14/10
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
71-64 OT
71
64
+7
no box
H17/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
75-73
75
73
+2
63avg 76
A21/10
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
78-50
78
50
+28
78avg 76
A24/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 76
H26/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A28/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 76
A31/10
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 76
A02/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
27-25
21-20
18-18
19-12
18-14
13-19
20-28
16-31
19-12
25-11
11-25
17-14
11-13
15-21
13-8
13-24
14-15
25-16
23-18
25-18
25-12
15-6
13-14
21-24
18-15
20-15
24-23
19-18
18-18
20-19
25-14
22-16
22-30
27-16
16-16
25-28
17-18
15-26
13-18
151.6Avg total
78.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.474.3148.7+0.143%
Season at home (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
Season away (5)73.272.6145.8+0.640%
Last 10 (10)78.373.3151.6+5.070%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.480.4156.8-4.020%
vs Similar (16)80.079.5159.5+0.556%
vs Weaker (8)83.077.9160.9+5.175%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 76
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 76
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
96avg 76
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 76
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 76
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 76
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
53avg 76
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
82avg 76
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-13
26-22
16-19
16-20
20-23
22-16
22-21
29-19
30-12
21-27
21-26
22-21
30-18
12-12
20-20
26-15
12-20
28-13
23-18
16-20
10-15
25-26
15-11
20-17
21-14
14-21
17-18
18-22
22-13
17-27
20-17
16-11
11-14
23-21
17-14
7-16
16-10
23-16
24-12
20-27
149.5Avg total
77.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.470.9147.3+5.671%
Season at home (4)83.572.2155.8+11.2100%
Season away (3)67.069.0136.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)77.871.7149.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)71.268.4139.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.286.2164.5-8.025%
vs Similar (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.072.7152.7+7.481%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/10
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A24/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/10
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/10
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A02/11
BBL
77.0Avg total
39.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.9-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.539.478.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.878.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.477.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.481.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
vs Similar (16)38.840.879.6-2.050%-
vs Weaker (8)42.537.680.1+4.962%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A31/10
ACB
74.6Avg total
39.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.976.4+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.735.576.3+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.376.6+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.374.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.471.8+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.076.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (4)44.238.883.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.835.875.5+4.071%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.2
47.9%
52.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
35.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
77.2%16.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.8
53.9%
52.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.9
76.3%
77.2%12.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWWWLLW
Real Madrid
WLWLWWWWWL
#11
League position
#2
+4.3
Net rating
+8.4
111.4
Offensive rating
109.2
107.1
Defensive rating
100.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
35.3%
58.7%
Assist %
68.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 109.2Defence107.1 · 100.9Shooting51.9% · 53.5%3-point %38.2% · 35.3%Ball care15.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/21As.Oliver Wurzburg70-90
31/10/21ABayreuth87-78
28/10/21AAlba Berlin82-69
26/10/21HOlimpia Milano83-77
24/10/21AFrankfurt78-50
21/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas75-73
17/10/21HGiessen71-64 OT
14/10/21AZenit Petersburg71-79
12/10/21AUnics Kazan70-73
10/10/21HBasketball Braunschweig96-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/21ABaskonia83-65
29/10/21AUnics Kazan58-65
27/10/21AZenit Petersburg75-68
24/10/21HGran Canaria70-75
21/10/21HFenerbahce70-69
17/10/21ABreogan79-71
15/10/21HPanathinaikos88-65
13/10/21HMonaco94-86
10/10/21AValencia93-79
08/10/21AOlympiacos68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game74.477.573.2
Allowed / game74.378.572.6
Point differential+0.1-1.0+0.6
Avg total148.7156.0145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game76.483.567.0
Allowed / game70.972.269.0
Point differential+5.6+11.2-2.0
Avg total147.3155.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano87188%78.071.0+7.0
2 Olympiacos86275%79.070.8+8.2
3 Barcelona86275%79.873.4+6.4
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv86275%77.872.9+4.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%78.875.2+3.5
6 Real Madrid75271%76.470.9+5.6
7 Zenit Petersburg85362%73.171.6+1.5
8 Monaco84450%78.578.5+0.0
9 CSKA Moscow84450%80.982.9-2.0
10 Bayern73443%74.474.3+0.1
11 Fenerbahce83538%74.671.0+3.6
12 Crvena zvezda83538%68.667.2+1.4
13 Alba Berlin83538%75.077.5-2.5
14 Unics Kazan83538%70.173.9-3.8
15 Baskonia83538%68.178.4-10.2
16 Anadolu Efes82625%77.880.6-2.9
17 Panathinaikos82625%73.080.2-7.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas8080%66.979.8-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1319261876
Real Madrid1330172080
← all games of the day
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