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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-88 (OT)
25-16 16-25 23-23 17-17 11-7
Position#2
Record20-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game71.7
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#3
Record18-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
81avg 75
H06/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
L
51-66
51
66
-15
38avg 75
A08/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H11/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 75
A13/02
ACB
Breogan
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
59-64
59
64
-5
no box
H20/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
47-68
47
68
-21
36avg 75
A24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 75
H06/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
62-65
62
65
-3
60avg 75
A08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
18-20
23-23
22-20
8-19
9-8
13-21
21-18
8-28
23-24
24-19
13-15
25-23
22-26
18-16
27-26
27-16
14-15
16-19
16-17
26-20
24-18
23-17
21-19
19-5
10-13
17-23
13-23
11-18
18-20
8-11
10-19
16-14
22-15
16-28
18-23
15-16
13-19
14-8
20-22
146.6Avg total
71.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.471.7149.1+5.774%
Season at home (14)81.471.1152.6+10.393%
Season away (13)73.172.3145.4+0.854%
Last 10 (10)71.175.5146.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)66.870.2137.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.064.0123.0-5.00%
vs Similar (6)76.580.0156.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.173.2154.3+8.073%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 72
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 72
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 72
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
93avg 72
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 72
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 72
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
79avg 72
A06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-21
19-14
20-19
17-18
18-17
18-16
21-19
21-10
19-15
26-23
23-30
23-12
19-15
25-13
24-17
27-18
15-19
23-9
23-22
21-12
15-25
18-13
15-13
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
14-19
26-17
23-15
13-24
19-22
21-15
23-14
18-13
145.9Avg total
78.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.570.5144.0+3.069%
Season at home (13)75.971.2147.2+4.777%
Season away (13)71.169.7140.8+1.462%
Last 10 (10)78.367.6145.9+10.790%
Last 5 (5)72.466.0138.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.074.0148.0+0.050%
vs Similar (8)70.472.9143.2-2.550%
vs Weaker (19)77.566.3143.8+11.284%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H06/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A08/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H11/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/02
ACB
Breogan
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H20/02
Spanish Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A08/03
Euroleague
72.6Avg total
35.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.575.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.835.975.7+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.175.9+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.872.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.666.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.018.047.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (6)34.842.877.7-8.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.935.976.7+5.059%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
Lega A
71.5Avg total
38.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.571.5+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.435.373.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)35.433.568.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.271.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.670.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.531.562.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (8)38.036.674.6+1.475%-
vs Weaker (19)37.133.770.8+3.353%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.7
47.2%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.6%
35.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.713.7
87.3%
77.2%13.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.3
52.6%
52.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.7
37.5%
35.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws11.07.8
70.9%
77.2%7.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLLLWWWLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
-4.8
Net rating
+9.9
100.0
Offensive rating
108.6
104.8
Defensive rating
98.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
28.6%
3-point %
37.5%
55.9%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 108.6Defence104.8 · 98.7Shooting45.4% · 54.1%3-point %28.6% · 37.5%Ball care17.3% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
16/12/21Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid73-75
08/01/21Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano76-80
16/10/20Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid78-70
20/03/19Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano92-89
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
27/10/16Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid90-101
05/12/13Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid71-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/22ACrvena zvezda62-65
06/03/22HBaskonia72-80
24/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas47-68
20/02/22HBarcelona59-64
19/02/22ATenerife94-74
17/02/22HBreogan73-67
13/02/22AUnicaja92-91
11/02/22HBarcelona68-86
08/02/22AFenerbahce51-66
06/02/22HValencia93-94
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22ATortona81-64
04/03/22APanathinaikos76-75
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
19/02/22HBrescia69-63
16/02/22HSassari88-68
13/02/22HPesaro91-57
10/02/22HBaskonia89-78
08/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-70
05/02/22ATrento79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL74%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%93%54%
Points / game77.481.473.1
Allowed / game71.771.172.3
Point differential+5.7+10.3+0.8
Avg total149.1152.6145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game73.575.971.1
Allowed / game70.571.269.7
Point differential+3.0+4.7+1.4
Avg total144.0147.2140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2621581%83.075.3+7.7
2 Real Madrid2720774%77.471.7+5.7
3 Olimpia Milano2618869%73.570.5+3.0
4 Olympiacos26161062%79.574.6+5.0
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
8 Anadolu Efes27141352%82.880.1+2.7
9 Monaco28141450%83.482.2+1.2
10 Fenerbahce25121348%76.273.9+2.3
11 Bayern25121348%74.574.5+0.0
12 Crvena zvezda28131546%73.173.9-0.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv26121446%78.779.7-1.0
14 Alba Berlin27111641%76.079.3-3.3
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne2791833%73.079.4-6.3
16 Baskonia2891932%73.979.8-5.9
17 Panathinaikos2671927%73.879.7-5.9
18 Zalgiris Kaunas2662023%71.278.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Real Madrid251623171192
Olimpia Milano16252317788
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