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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-89
19-33 31-23 24-19 18-14
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game77.0
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#11
Record14-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
100-75
100
75
+25
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
21-7
23-14
21-15
26-18
22-20
23-14
22-29
16-20
19-15
25-11
17-31
22-17
20-22
29-13
20-26
17-16
20-26
14-14
19-21
24-19
26-12
15-12
22-23
27-25
25-20
25-16
24-25
22-17
21-19
17-12
23-26
24-22
27-16
19-12
30-25
29-13
17-25
23-6
22-13
165.4Avg total
90.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.577.0163.5+9.677%
Season at home (13)92.477.5169.9+14.892%
Season away (13)80.776.4157.1+4.362%
Last 10 (10)90.375.1165.4+15.280%
Last 5 (5)92.471.6164.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)84.577.8162.3+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.478.0164.4+8.574%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
110-91
110
91
+19
H03/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A08/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A11/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
22-17
14-24
18-22
30-23
20-22
27-25
17-15
23-21
20-25
25-29
20-19
25-15
35-22
26-12
22-26
27-31
24-27
19-24
23-25
29-25
17-18
17-15
24-18
13-16
19-10
4-13
26-16
17-18
29-20
18-21
14-23
25-23
170.2Avg total
89.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.085.5172.5+1.554%
Season at home (13)85.282.8168.1+2.462%
Season away (13)88.788.2176.8+0.546%
Last 10 (10)89.081.2170.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)85.680.6166.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)90.096.5186.5-6.50%
vs Similar (14)83.482.2165.6+1.257%
vs Weaker (13)87.778.2165.8+9.577%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +8.9+8.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/03
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
ACB
83.0Avg total
45.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.182.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.638.784.3+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.579.8+4.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.683.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.686.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.737.579.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.338.582.7+5.870%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H03/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H17/03
Lega A
82.3Avg total
43.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.939.582.4+3.459%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.179.5+7.267%-
Last 30 away (14)42.543.185.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.882.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.545.587.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)41.439.881.2+1.664%-
vs Weaker (12)45.538.183.6+7.467%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.4
59.9%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
37.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
76.7%15.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.3
59.2%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.1
39.9%
37.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
76.7%14.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWLWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWLWW
#3
League position
#11
+15.5
Net rating
+14.6
116.8
Offensive rating
121.3
101.3
Defensive rating
106.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
59.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
39.9%
60.7%
Assist %
55.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 121.3Defence101.3 · 106.6Shooting56.7% · 59.4%3-point %34.9% · 39.9%Ball care17.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
17/10/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid85-91
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
27/10/16Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid90-101
05/12/13Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid71-78
01/11/13Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano93-74
01/12/11Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid65-72
27/10/11Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano85-78
13/01/10Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid66-75
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HManresa91-57
14/03/19AKhimki M.100-75
09/03/19AJoventut Badalona83-74
07/03/19HFenerbahce101-86
03/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-66
01/03/19ABarcelona70-77
22/02/19HBayern91-78
17/02/19HBarcelona93-94 OT
16/02/19HJoventut Badalona93-81
15/02/19HEstudiantes94-63
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HVenezia86-87
14/03/19HOlympiacos66-57
11/03/19AReggiana71-67
08/03/19ACSKA Moscow95-101
03/03/19HTorino110-91
28/02/19AKhimki M.90-88
21/02/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-83
14/02/19HVirtus Bologna84-86
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%92%62%
Points / game86.592.480.7
Allowed / game77.077.576.4
Point differential+9.6+14.8+4.3
Avg total163.5169.9157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%77%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game87.085.288.7
Allowed / game85.582.888.2
Point differential+1.5+2.4+0.5
Avg total172.5168.1176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2723485%84.475.5+9.0
2 CSKA Moscow2721678%87.881.1+6.7
3 Real Madrid2620677%86.577.0+9.6
4 Anadolu Efes27171063%84.079.1+4.9
5 Barcelona27161159%78.676.3+2.2
6 Olimpia Milano26141254%87.085.5+1.5
7 Baskonia27141352%81.578.9+2.6
8 Olympiacos27141352%77.976.7+1.1
9 Panathinaikos27141352%79.079.0+0.1
10 Zalgiris Kaunas27121544%79.079.0-0.1
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv27121544%79.179.3-0.3
12 Bayern27121544%78.880.9-2.1
13 Khimki M.2791833%78.882.1-3.3
14 Gran Canaria2772026%78.188.6-10.4
15 Buducnost2762122%73.984.3-10.4
16 Darussafaka2742315%74.385.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1931241892
Olimpia Milano3323191489
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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